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FUL vs SHW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) vs. The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FUL (H.B. Fuller) is the world's largest pure-play adhesives company, while SHW (Sherwin-Williams) is a diversified paints and coatings leader with a dominant North American store network.
- The two companies differ sharply in scale and valuation: SHW carries a market capitalization of roughly $81 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 31, while FUL trades at a P/E near 14 with a market cap of about $2.7 billion.
- Both businesses have leaned on pricing to protect margins, but FUL has shown clearer near-term momentum, posting a 21% year-over-year gain in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in its most recent quarter.
- SHW is a 48-year dividend-growth "Aristocrat" with a stronger, more diversified franchise, while FUL is mid-transformation under its Quantum Leap restructuring and a planned healthcare acquisition.
- For more detail on either company, explore FUL Major News and FUL Today's Price Move, as well as SHW Major News and SHW Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven strategies are positioning across these and thousands of other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors comparing FUL and SHW are essentially weighing two different plays on the chemicals and coatings complex. H.B. Fuller is a specialized adhesives maker serving industrial, hygiene, engineering, and building markets, while Sherwin-Williams is a far larger paints and coatings franchise built around its proprietary retail store network. This stock comparison is relevant to investors deciding between a lower-priced, more restructuring-driven value story and a premium-priced, steadier compounder. The two names also share common macro pressures—elevated raw-material costs and soft construction and consumer demand—making their divergent market positioning and relative performance an instructive lens for both long-term and momentum-oriented traders.
FUL Overview and Recent Performance
FUL (H.B. Fuller Company) formulates and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty coatings across more than 30 market segments and roughly 150 countries. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near the lower half of its 52-week range, with a year-to-date decline of roughly 16% and a market capitalization near $2.7 billion. That price weakness contrasts with a strengthening operating story: in its most recent fiscal quarter, revenue rose 5.2% year over year to $938 million, and adjusted EPS climbed 21% to $1.52, aided by 7.4% pricing that more than offset lower volumes.
Sentiment has been shaped by several factors. Management's "Project Quantum Leap" program—an effort to consolidate manufacturing facilities and reduce conversion costs—remains on track, and the company raised its quarterly dividend by 13% while authorizing a $300 million repurchase program. However, analysts remain divided: the stock received a downgrade from J.P. Morgan but an upgrade from Deutsche Bank. Persistently elevated raw-material costs and softness in packaging, electronics, and construction volumes continue to temper the bullish case.
SHW Overview and Recent Performance
SHW (The Sherwin-Williams Company) is a global paints and coatings manufacturer operating through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. With a market capitalization near $81 billion and a P/E ratio around 31, SHW trades at a meaningful premium to FUL. In its most recent quarter, consolidated sales grew by a high-single-digit percentage, adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rose 10.5% to about $1.5 billion, and management raised its full-year outlook.
Performance has been driven less by an end-market recovery than by share gains, account wins, and pricing. The company cited data centers, semiconductor infrastructure, and manufacturing onshoring as growth sources, while noting muted do-it-yourself (DIY) demand and soft new-residential activity. SHW also integrated the Suvinil acquisition in Latin America and continues to optimize its store network. As a dividend "Aristocrat" with 48 consecutive years of increases, SHW projects stability, though its premium valuation and housing-linked exposure leave it sensitive to macro sentiment.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates the artificial-intelligence-driven trading bots best suited to current market conditions from a broader library of hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and set of underlying tickers, so only those demonstrating the strongest recent fit earn a place in this featured section. Because the bots span swing, day, and position trading approaches, the page offers a useful cross-section for traders evaluating automated strategies across names like FUL and SHW. Exploring the Trending AI Robots can help you assess how quantitative models are currently reading momentum and positioning in this sector.
Head-to-Head Comparison
At a high level, FUL and SHW represent contrasting risk-and-reward profiles. SHW is a scale leader with a proprietary, controlled distribution network, a fortress-like franchise in architectural coatings, and a 48-year dividend-growth track record—but investors pay up for it at a P/E near 31. FUL is far smaller, more leveraged relative to its earnings, and earlier in its restructuring cycle, yet it trades at a much lower multiple while delivering stronger recent EPS growth.
Their growth drivers also differ. SHW's momentum is increasingly tied to commercial, protective, and marine coatings as well as share gains, whereas FUL's is anchored in pricing execution, margin expansion, and cost consolidation. Both face similar headwinds—raw-material inflation, soft residential construction, and cautious consumer demand—but SHW carries greater exposure to housing and DIY, while FUL is more sensitive to industrial and packaging end markets. On momentum, FUL has outperformed expectations recently despite a weak share-price trend, whereas SHW's shares have been steadier but still trade below earlier peaks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward FUL in the near term. FUL combines stronger recent EPS acceleration, record adjusted EBITDA margins, and a cheaper valuation with an active catalyst pipeline from its restructuring and acquisition initiatives. That said, SHW presents a more stable, higher-quality franchise with consistent pricing power and a proven long-term compounding record, which may appeal more to strategies that prioritize lower volatility and durability. A probabilistic reading therefore favors FUL on momentum and value dynamics, while acknowledging SHW's advantages in scale, balance-sheet strength, and defensive positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FUL is a StrongBuy and SHW is a Hold.
FUL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026
FUL moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 45 of 65 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FUL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 59 cases where FUL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FUL as a result. In 53 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +3.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FUL advanced for three days, in 149 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FUL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
FUL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FUL entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.333) is normal, around the industry mean (2.436). P/E Ratio (15.165) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-18.867). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.840) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.801) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FUL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FUL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
SHW in +6.75% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on November 02, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SHW advanced for three days, in 166 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHW as a result. In 46 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHW just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
SHW moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SHW crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHW moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 59 cases where SHW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The 50-day moving average for SHW moved below the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
SHW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SHW entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: SHW's P/B Ratio (22.191) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.436). P/E Ratio (32.209) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-18.867). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.143) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.266) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
FUL | SHW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FUL's Valuation (60) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHW (100). This means that FUL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHW’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FUL (100). This means that SHW’s stock grew somewhat faster than FUL’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's SMR Rating (18) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FUL (73). This means that SHW’s stock grew somewhat faster than FUL’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as FUL (60). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to FUL’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's P/E Growth Rating (58) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as FUL (88). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to FUL’s over the last 12 months.
| FUL | SHW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 61% | 7 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 50% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FUL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SHW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FUL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SHW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FUL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FUL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SHW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FUL (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +4.95% price change this week, while SHW (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +5.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -1.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
FUL is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
SHW is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-1.82% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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FUL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FUL has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FUL jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FUL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL | 100% | +3.74% | ||
| RPM - FUL | 72% Closely correlated | +5.23% | ||
| PPG - FUL | 68% Closely correlated | +4.49% | ||
| OLN - FUL | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.12% | ||
| ASIX - FUL | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.11% | ||
| AVNT - FUL | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.42% | ||
More | ||||
SHW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHW has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHW jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.