Consumer discretionary is among the most economically sensitive corners of the U.S. equity market, making it a natural focal point for investors gauging the health of household spending. FXD and PEZ both offer exposure to this segment, yet they are not direct substitutes. FXD applies a multi-factor, tiered equal-weighting methodology designed to tilt toward growth and value characteristics, while PEZ isolates stocks exhibiting the strongest recent price momentum. Comparing the two clarifies how structural design—rather than sector label alone—shapes risk, return drivers, and relative positioning in the current environment.
FXD seeks to track the StrataQuant Consumer Discretionary Index, a smart-beta benchmark that selects stocks from the Russell 1000 Index using First Trust's AlphaDEX methodology. The approach ranks constituents on growth factors such as price appreciation and sales growth, alongside value factors including book value to price, cash flow to price, and return on assets. The fund holds approximately 119 positions and weights them using a modified equal-dollar scheme, which limits single-stock dominance and tilts exposure toward mid-cap names alongside large-caps.
Top holdings have recently included Dillard's (DDS), Gap (GAP), Fox (FOXA), SharkNinja (SN), Lyft (LYFT), Macy's (M), Mattel (MAT), Thor Industries (THO), Duolingo (DUOL), and Penske Automotive (PAG), with no single position exceeding roughly 2% of assets. Sector allocation is dominated by consumer discretionary, complemented by communication services and industrials. The fund carries a 0.60% net expense ratio and is reconstituted and rebalanced quarterly.
PEZ tracks the Dorsey Wright Consumer Cyclicals Technical Leaders Index, a benchmark that identifies companies in the consumer discretionary and cyclicals universe showing powerful relative strength, or momentum. The fund typically holds between 30 and 40 securities selected and weighted on the basis of price momentum rather than fundamentals, and it is rebalanced and reconstituted quarterly. This design intentionally concentrates exposure in whatever names are currently exhibiting the strongest upward price trends.
Holdings shift with momentum conditions, and recent top positions have included Cardinal Health (CAH), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Marriott (MAR), Five Below (FIVE), Figs (FIGS), Hilton (HLT), Garmin (GRMN), Hasbro (HAS), eBay (EBAY), and Aramark (ARMK). Consumer discretionary is the largest sector weight, followed by communication services and industrials. PEZ reports a 0.60% net expense ratio but a higher gross fee, and its asset base and average daily trading volume are considerably smaller than FXD's.
Consumer discretionary performance remains tightly linked to the trajectory of inflation, wage growth, and interest-rate expectations, because durable goods, travel, and leisure spending are highly sensitive to financing costs and real household income. In recent market cycles, resilient employment and consumer balance sheets have supported spending on services and experiences, even as higher rates have pressured big-ticket, credit-sensitive purchases. Retail and automotive names—heavily represented in both funds—have also been shaped by inventory normalization, discounting pressures, and shifting e-commerce dynamics. The sector's cyclicality means that both ETFs carry elevated beta relative to the broader market, and their fortunes often hinge on the same macro catalysts even when their holdings differ.
Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have exhibited distinct behavior tied to their construction. FXD's multi-factor, equal-weight approach tends to moderate single-stock volatility and produce more balanced participation across large- and mid-cap discretionary names. PEZ's momentum engine, by contrast, can amplify both upside and downside, concentrating gains in a smaller set of high-relative-strength stocks and reacting more sharply to trend reversals. In an environment of sector rotation and choppy consumer data, PEZ's concentration and higher turnover can introduce greater whipsaw risk, while FXD's broader, value-and-growth blend has tended to provide more stable relative positioning. Liquidity differences also matter: FXD's larger asset base and higher volume support tighter execution, whereas PEZ's thinner trading can widen effective costs for larger orders.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trend strength, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters covering industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics, making it easier to surface trade ideas, trending names, and breakout candidates more efficiently than manual screening. Whether comparing sector funds or hunting for momentum setups, the AI Screener provides a structured way to narrow the opportunity set.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FXD over PEZ in the current environment. FXD offers a materially broader, more diversified portfolio that reduces idiosyncratic single-stock risk, a more balanced blend of growth and value signals rather than pure momentum, and a comparable net cost with meaningfully deeper liquidity and a larger asset base. PEZ's concentrated relative-strength strategy can deliver strong returns during clean uptrends, but its higher turnover, smaller footprint, and heavier exposure to any single holding elevate drawdown and execution risk. On a risk-adjusted, structural basis, the AI would assign the higher probability of durable, well-diversified sector exposure to FXD, while acknowledging that PEZ may outperform during pronounced, uninterrupted momentum regimes.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FXD moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 34 of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for FXD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
FXD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FXD as a result. In 67 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
FXD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FXD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 254 cases where FXD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.
PEZ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 76 of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 87%.
PEZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PEZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +0.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEZ advanced for three days, in 241 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 211 of 266 cases where PEZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PEZ moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
PEZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
| FXD | PEZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 7 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 79% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXD has been closely correlated with WSM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXD jumps, then WSM could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PEZ has been closely correlated with KBH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PEZ jumps, then KBH could also see price increases.
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| Invesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF (RWL) | |||
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| First Trust Short Duration Managed Municipal ETF (FSMB) | |||