FXG
Price
$62.84
Change
+$1.01 (+1.63%)
Updated
Nov 2 closing price
Net Assets
207.23M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDC
Price
$242.97
Change
-$3.89 (-1.58%)
Updated
Nov 3, 02:24 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
7.97B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FXG vs VDC

FXG vs VDC Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 30, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) vs. Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC)

Key Takeaways

  • FXG is a rule-based, fundamentally weighted fund built on the StrataQuant Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Index, tilting toward mid-cap food, beverage, and distribution names.
  • VDC is a broad, market-cap-weighted fund tracking the MSCI US Investable Market Consumer Staples 25/50 Index, anchored by mega-cap household names.
  • Cost and liquidity differ sharply: VDC charges a 0.09% expense ratio, versus roughly 0.63% for FXG, and holds a far larger asset base.
  • VDC offers greater diversification (about 104–107 holdings) but higher concentration in its top names; FXG spreads weight more evenly across roughly 41 positions.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: VDC — its lower cost, broader diversification, and structural liquidity make it the AI-preferred choice between the two.

Introduction

Consumer staples occupy a unique niche in ETF comparison: they are widely seen as a defensive anchor during slower growth and elevated uncertainty, yet their constituent companies differ enormously in scale, business model, and cyclical sensitivity. FXG and VDC both sit inside the same broad sector, but they approach it from opposite structural directions. VDC is a low-cost, capitalization-weighted index fund dominated by mega-cap retailers and packaged-goods giants. FXG is a fundamentally driven AlphaDEX strategy that leans into mid-cap food processors, distributors, and niche brands. For investors weighing sector exposure, relative positioning, and cost, the two funds represent distinct answers to the same question: how to own essential U.S. consumer businesses.

First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund (FXG) Overview

FXG seeks to track the StrataQuant Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Index, a modified equal-dollar-weighted benchmark that selects U.S. consumer staples stocks from the Russell 1000 Index using a proprietary, rules-based AlphaDEX methodology. Rather than weighting by market capitalization, the index emphasizes fundamental growth and value factors, which tends to lift mid-cap and specialty names relative to their mega-cap peers. The fund typically holds roughly 41 to 42 positions.

Top holdings have recently included Pilgrim's Pride, McKesson, Ingredion, Smithfield Foods, Bunge Global, General Mills, and McCormick. The portfolio skews toward food production, agricultural processing, and distribution, with a mid-cap tilt that historically produces higher volatility than a cap-weighted staples benchmark. FXG charges an expense ratio of approximately 0.63% and is passively managed but uses a non-traditional weighting scheme, making it more of a factor-tilted product than a pure index tracker. Its modest asset base also translates into thinner trading liquidity than larger staples funds.

Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) Overview

VDC tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Consumer Staples 25/50 Index, a capitalization-weighted benchmark spanning the full investable U.S. consumer staples universe. With roughly 104 to 107 holdings, it offers one of the broadest pure-play staples exposures available, at a 0.09% expense ratio. The fund is passively managed and has operated since 2004, supported by a multi-billion-dollar asset base and deep liquidity.

Its portfolio is anchored by household mega-caps: Walmart, Costco Wholesale, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo, Altria Group, Mondelez International, and Colgate-Palmolive. The top ten positions typically account for roughly 60% of assets, meaning VDC is broad in count but concentrated in its largest names. This structure delivers lower turnover, lower cost, and more stable relative positioning, though its returns are heavily influenced by a handful of mega-cap retailers and beverage giants.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within consumer staples, a sector prized for steady demand and dividend durability. In recent market cycles, investors have rotated toward defensive exposure as concerns over consumer spending, input costs, and rate expectations have fluctuated. Food and beverage companies continue to manage pricing power against persistent cost pressures, while retailers like Walmart and Costco benefit from trade-down and value-seeking behavior. Meanwhile, mid-cap food processors and agricultural names held in FXG are more sensitive to commodity costs, supply-chain dynamics, and distribution economics. Regulatory attention on tobacco and food labeling, along with shifting consumer preferences toward health and convenience, also shapes the sector's risk-reward profile. The broader environment favors diversified, liquid staples exposure, but it also rewards select mid-cap names with differentiated fundamentals.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have diverged in ways that reflect their underlying structures. VDC's mega-cap bias has provided relative stability and participation in the strength of large retailers, while its lower beta cushions downside during risk-off stretches. FXG's mid-cap, food-and-distribution tilt has made it more sensitive to earnings cycles among processors and to swings in agricultural input costs, contributing to greater relative volatility. In a defensive rotation, VDC's liquidity and broad reach tend to capture sector-wide flows more directly, whereas FXG's factor-based selection can outperform during periods when mid-cap staples fundamentals improve. Neither fund is structurally designed to mirror the other, so fund performance differences are driven less by sector direction and more by the behavior of mega-cap leaders versus mid-cap specialists.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters for industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener surfaces trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening, making it a practical complement to any sector or ETF comparison workflow.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor VDC. Its materially lower expense ratio, broader diversification, deep liquidity, and established mega-cap anchors provide a more cost-efficient and less idiosyncratic path to consumer staples exposure. FXG's factor tilt can add value in selective environments, but its higher fees, thinner trading, and mid-cap concentration introduce greater volatility and less predictable relative positioning. On a balance of cost efficiency, diversification profile, trend consistency, and risk exposure, VDC presents the stronger structural case between the two funds.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FXG vs. VDC commentary
Nov 03, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FXG is a Buy and VDC is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FXG with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

FXG in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026

The 10-day moving average for FXG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 18 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FXG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 55 cases where FXG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FXG as a result. In 80 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXG just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

FXG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXG advanced for three days, in 258 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 181 of 273 cases where FXG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for FXG moved below the 200-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

FXG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VDC with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

VDC in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026

The 10-day moving average for VDC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VDC as a result. In 81 of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VDC just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where VDC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

VDC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDC advanced for three days, in 252 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 212 of 299 cases where VDC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VDC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

VDC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FXGVDC
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
79%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
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FXG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VDC
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FXG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXG has been closely correlated with CAG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXG jumps, then CAG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FXG
1D Price
Change %
FXG100%
+1.63%
CAG - FXG
73%
Closely correlated
+1.51%
GIS - FXG
68%
Closely correlated
+1.34%
PG - FXG
64%
Loosely correlated
+1.23%
CL - FXG
64%
Loosely correlated
+2.25%
HSY - FXG
61%
Loosely correlated
+3.41%
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