GLD
Price
$361.65
Change
+$5.87 (+1.65%)
Updated
Nov 2 closing price
Net Assets
134.8B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
IAU
Price
$74.15
Change
+$1.23 (+1.69%)
Updated
Nov 2 closing price
Net Assets
59.79B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GLD vs IAU

GLD vs IAU Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 22, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) vs. iShares Gold Trust (IAU)

Key Takeaways

  • Both GLD and IAU are physically backed gold ETFs structured as grantor trusts that hold allocated gold bullion rather than futures or mining equities.
  • The core structural difference is cost: IAU charges a 0.25% expense ratio versus 0.40% for GLD, a gap that compounds over long holding periods.
  • GLD offers superior scale and trading liquidity, with the largest assets under management (AUM) and the deepest options market in the physical-gold ETF category.
  • Both funds track the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association) Gold Price PM and hold essentially a single asset, so their returns and volatility are nearly identical over time.
  • Neither fund pays a dividend, and both are taxed as collectibles, which has distinct implications for taxable accounts.
  • In a gold bull market, the marginal edge tends to favor the lower-cost IAU, while active traders may prefer GLD for its tighter spreads and depth.

Introduction

When investors seek exposure to gold, GLD and IAU are the two heavyweight candidates that dominate the conversation. They are not competing strategies in the traditional sense; they are direct competitors offering near-identical exposure to the price of physical gold. The meaningful differences lie in cost, scale, and trading characteristics rather than in what they hold. Comparing them right now matters because gold has been a focal point of portfolio construction amid inflation concerns, central-bank buying, and geopolitical uncertainty, making an efficient allocation decision more consequential than usual.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Overview

SPDR Gold Shares, trading as GLD, is the world's first U.S.-listed ETF backed by physical gold and the largest by assets under management (AUM). Launched in November 2004, it is structured as a grantor trust that holds London Good Delivery gold bars in allocated form, with custody provided by HSBC Bank USA in London vaults. The fund's objective is to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less expenses, and it uses the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association) Gold Price PM as its reference benchmark.

The portfolio is concentrated to a single asset class: effectively 100% of holdings are physical gold bullion, with no equities, futures, or derivatives. Its gross expense ratio is 0.40%. GLD's defining advantage is its liquidity profile, supported by enormous AUM, high average daily trading volume, the tightest bid-ask spreads in the category, and a deep, active options market. This makes it the preferred vehicle for institutions and active traders who need to move large positions efficiently.

iShares Gold Trust (IAU) Overview

iShares Gold Trust, trading as IAU, is a passively managed grantor trust launched in January 2005 that seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of gold bullion. Like GLD, it holds physical gold bars in allocated form, with the gold held in vaults by its custodian, the Bank of Nova Scotia, with sub-custody arrangements including JPMorgan Chase. The trust's reference benchmark is the LBMA Gold Price.

IAU's portfolio is also essentially 100% physical gold bullion, making its exposure profile functionally identical to GLD's. The primary structural distinction is its lower sponsor fee of 0.25%, which gives IAU a measurable cost advantage for buy-and-hold investors. While IAU is smaller in AUM and average daily volume than GLD, it remains one of the most liquid ways to access physical gold and is widely used by retail investors, advisors, and long-term allocators seeking cost-efficient diversification.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate squarely within the precious-metals commodity complex, and their fortunes are tied almost entirely to the price of gold. In recent market cycles, gold has benefited from several reinforcing tailwinds: persistent inflation concerns, expectations around interest-rate policy, sustained central-bank gold purchases, and elevated geopolitical risk that has reinforced gold's safe-haven role.

Capital flows into physically backed gold ETFs have been broadly positive during these periods, reflecting investor demand for hard-asset diversification and a hedge against currency debasement. At the same time, the sector carries structural risks: gold produces no yield, so it competes directly with interest-bearing assets, and a period of rising real interest rates or a strong U.S. dollar can pressure prices. Regulatory and tax treatment also matters, as grantor trusts are generally taxed as collectibles at a higher maximum long-term capital-gains rate than ordinary securities.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Because both funds hold physical gold and track the same benchmark, their relative positioning is defined less by divergent returns than by cost and liquidity. Over recent weeks and months, GLD and IAU have moved in near lockstep, with performance differences typically measuring only a few basis points and stemming primarily from the expense-ratio gap. Over multi-year horizons, IAU's lower fee has historically translated into a slight cumulative return advantage, even as GLD's scale has kept its tracking error minimal.

Volatility profiles are effectively identical, as both are pure expressions of gold price risk with a low equity beta. Where they diverge is in execution: GLD offers the deepest order book and options liquidity for tactical positioning, while IAU's cost efficiency favors strategic, long-horizon allocations. In short, relative positioning is a trade-off between trading flexibility and ongoing cost, not a difference in underlying exposure.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own ETF comparison and surface high-conviction ideas faster.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Given the observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IAU for long-horizon and cost-sensitive investors. The two funds offer essentially identical gold exposure, trend consistency, and volatility, which means the durable differentiator is structural efficiency — and IAU's 0.25% expense ratio provides a compounding advantage that tends to widen over time. However, for active traders and institutions prioritizing execution, GLD remains the more probable choice due to its superior liquidity, tighter spreads, and deeper options market. The AI verdict is therefore conditional rather than absolute: cost efficiency favors IAU, while trading flexibility favors GLD, with sector momentum currently supporting both vehicles.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GLD vs. IAU commentary
Nov 03, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GLD is a Hold and IAU is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLD with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

GLD's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for GLD moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in 291 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

GLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In 57 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GLD turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 66%.

The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLD entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IAU with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

IAU in -4.77% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where IAU declined for three days, in 157 of 235 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IAU as a result. In 58 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IAU turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 66%.

The 10-day moving average for IAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator for IAU entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where IAU's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IAU advanced for three days, in 282 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

IAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GLDIAU
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
84%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
67%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
66%
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Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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