Investors comparing natural resources exposure often evaluate Northern Trust Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources ETF (GUNR) and State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) as complementary yet distinct options. These ETFs do not compete directly; instead, they represent alternative strategies within the broader resources sector. GUNR delivers diversified global upstream exposure, while XME targets a narrower U.S. metals and mining universe. The comparison helps investors align structural preferences with goals such as geographic diversification, sector concentration, and cost efficiency in the current commodity and industrial environment.
Northern Trust Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources ETF (GUNR) is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources Index. The index selects equity securities of companies with significant operations in the ownership, management, or production of natural resources, including energy, agriculture, precious and industrial metals, timber, and water. The fund typically holds around 180 securities using a representative sampling strategy and maintains a net expense ratio of 0.46%. Top holdings often include major energy and materials names such as Exxon Mobil, BHP Group, Nutrien, Shell, and Chevron. Sector allocations emphasize basic materials and energy, with meaningful exposure to consumer defensive (agriculture-related) companies. Geographic exposure spans the United States, Canada, Australia, and other developed and emerging markets. The fund employs quarterly rebalancing aligned with its underlying index methodology.
State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) is a passively managed ETF designed to track the S&P Metals & Mining Select Industry Index. The index provides exposure to the metals and mining segment of the S&P Total Market Index, covering sub-industries such as aluminum, coal, copper, diversified metals and mining, gold, precious metals, silver, and steel. The fund holds approximately 40 securities and uses a modified equal-weighted approach, resulting in a net expense ratio of 0.35%. Top holdings typically feature companies such as Cleveland-Cliffs, Reliance Steel & Aluminum, Steel Dynamics, Nucor, and Freeport-McMoRan. Nearly all exposure is U.S.-focused, with sector allocations concentrated in basic materials and smaller portions in energy and industrials. The index undergoes quarterly rebalancing to maintain equal weighting characteristics across holdings.
The natural resources sector, encompassing metals, mining, energy, and agriculture, remains influenced by global industrial demand, commodity price cycles, and macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and infrastructure spending. Recent market cycles have highlighted supply constraints in critical minerals and metals alongside shifting energy transition dynamics. Regulatory developments around mining permits and environmental standards, along with geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, continue to shape capital allocation. Broader economic growth in emerging markets and U.S. manufacturing trends serve as key demand drivers, while inflation hedging characteristics attract certain investor flows during periods of elevated price pressures.
In recent market cycles, Northern Trust Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources ETF (GUNR) has demonstrated performance tied to a diversified basket of global energy and agricultural producers, offering some insulation from U.S.-specific industrial swings. State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME), with its equal-weighted U.S. metals focus, has shown greater sensitivity to domestic steel, copper, and precious metals price movements and earnings cycles of mid-cap miners. Relative positioning reflects differing volatility: the broader global scope of GUNR may moderate drawdowns during U.S.-centric downturns, while XME’s concentrated equal-weighted structure can amplify upside during strong metals rallies but also heighten downside risk in commodity corrections. Sector rotation favoring infrastructure or clean energy metals has periodically benefited both, though with varying magnitude due to their distinct exposures.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on ETFs like GUNR and XME may find the platform a useful complement to traditional research.
Based on observable factors including broader diversification across geographies and sub-sectors, consistent structural characteristics, and a balanced risk exposure profile, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Northern Trust Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources ETF (GUNR) for investors seeking comprehensive natural resources exposure. State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) may appeal more to those prioritizing lower costs and targeted U.S. metals and mining momentum, though its narrower focus introduces greater concentration risk. This assessment reflects structural attributes rather than short-term performance predictions.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GUNR turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GUNR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GUNR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +1.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GUNR advanced for three days, in 288 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
GUNR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 50 of 64 cases where GUNR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GUNR as a result. In 63 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
GUNR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GUNR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GUNR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for GUNR entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator for XME moved into overbought territory on October 22, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +2.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XME advanced for three days, in 337 of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
XME may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XME turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
XME moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XME crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XME declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for XME entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| GUNR | XME | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 83% | 17 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 9 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 79% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GUNR has been closely correlated with RIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GUNR jumps, then RIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GUNR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUNR | 100% | -1.18% | ||
| RIO - GUNR | 73% Closely correlated | -3.20% | ||
| FNV - GUNR | 71% Closely correlated | -4.74% | ||
| WPM - GUNR | 70% Closely correlated | -6.54% | ||
| BHP - GUNR | 70% Closely correlated | -4.01% | ||
| NEM - GUNR | 70% Closely correlated | -2.62% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XME has been closely correlated with CDE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XME jumps, then CDE could also see price increases.
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