Regional banks Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) and KeyCorp (KEY) offer a relevant comparison for investors and traders seeking exposure to the U.S. banking sector. Both companies operate primarily in the Midwest and provide similar services including lending, deposits, and wealth management. This analysis examines their recent performance, business drivers, and relative positioning to help market participants evaluate trade-offs in volatility, growth potential, and sector dynamics during the current environment.
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) is a regional bank holding company focused on consumer and commercial banking across several Midwestern states. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected mixed sentiment following its Q1 2026 earnings release, which showed adjusted earnings per share beating estimates amid notable items related to acquisitions. The company reported strong organic growth in loans and deposits alongside excellent credit performance, with return on average tangible common equity (ROTCE) at 11.6%. Market activity has been influenced by broader regional banking trends and anticipation of the upcoming Q2 2026 results.
KeyCorp (KEY) operates as a regional bank with a focus on commercial and consumer banking, primarily in the Midwest and Northeast. Recent market activity around its Q1 2026 earnings showed positive momentum, with reported net income of $486 million and earnings per share beating consensus estimates. Revenue rose 10% year-over-year to $1.95 billion, supported by increases in net interest income and noninterest income. The stock has responded to these results and sector-wide factors, with attention now turning to the Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for late July.
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In business model terms, both HBAN and KEY derive the majority of revenue from traditional banking activities, though HBAN has placed greater recent emphasis on organic expansion while KEY has highlighted efficiency in net interest margin (NIM) management. Growth drivers show contrasts: HBAN reported notable sequential net interest income gains, whereas KEY achieved broader revenue uplift year-over-year. Recent momentum favors KEY in year-to-date returns amid stronger earnings beats, while HBAN exhibits potentially more stable credit metrics. Risk factors include shared exposure to commercial real estate and interest rate sensitivity, with market sentiment reflecting cautious optimism ahead of earnings. Sector exposure remains comparable within regional banking, though positioning differs in deposit franchise strength and geographic concentration.
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in earnings delivery, relative revenue momentum, and positioning ahead of upcoming reports, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to KEY for near-term consideration. This assessment draws from stronger year-over-year growth metrics and recent market response, tempered by comparable sector risks and the potential for either stock to outperform depending on Q2 results and macroeconomic data.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HBAN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKEY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HBAN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KEY’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
HBAN (@Regional Banks) experienced а -4.98% price change this week, while KEY (@Regional Banks) price change was -3.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +0.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.78%.
HBAN is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
KEY is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| HBAN | KEY | HBAN / KEY | |
| Capitalization | 34.7B | 24.1B | 144% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 0.813 | 11.231 | 7% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.20 | 13.16 | 100% |
| Revenue | 8.78B | 7.47B | 118% |
| Total Cash | 2.1B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 17B | 138% |
HBAN | KEY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 32 Undervalued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 9 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HBAN's Valuation (32) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (33) in the Major Banks industry. This means that HBAN’s stock grew similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
HBAN's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (74) in the Major Banks industry. This means that HBAN’s stock grew similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
HBAN's SMR Rating (9) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (10) in the Major Banks industry. This means that HBAN’s stock grew similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
KEY's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as HBAN (50) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that KEY’s stock grew similarly to HBAN’s over the last 12 months.
HBAN's P/E Growth Rating (41) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KEY (87) in the Major Banks industry. This means that HBAN’s stock grew somewhat faster than KEY’s over the last 12 months.
| HBAN | KEY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 12 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 60% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HBAN has been closely correlated with FITB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HBAN jumps, then FITB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HBAN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HBAN | 100% | -1.15% | ||
| FITB - HBAN | 88% Closely correlated | -0.71% | ||
| PNC - HBAN | 85% Closely correlated | -0.54% | ||
| KEY - HBAN | 85% Closely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| MTB - HBAN | 84% Closely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| CFG - HBAN | 84% Closely correlated | -1.09% | ||
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