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HD vs TSCO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HD is a StrongBuy and TSCO is a Hold.
HD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HD turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where HD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HD as a result. In 45 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
HD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HD advanced for three days, in 195 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HD moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 51%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
HD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HD entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HD's P/B Ratio (19.677) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.630). P/E Ratio (22.902) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.860). HD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.446) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.177). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.221) among similar stocks. HD's P/S Ratio (1.781) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.937).
TSCO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSCO turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +3.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSCO advanced for three days, in 197 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 74 cases where TSCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSCO as a result. In 56 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
TSCO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSCO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
TSCO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TSCO entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSCO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.617) is normal, around the industry mean (2.438). P/E Ratio (17.406) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.021) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.094) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.101) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
HD | TSCO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 92 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSCO's Valuation (81) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HD (91) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that TSCO’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Profit vs Risk Rating (90) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (14) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (26) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (51) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
HD's P/E Growth Rating (59) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (82) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
| HD | TSCO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 15 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TSCO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TSCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSCO’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSCO’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
HD (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а +3.29% price change this week, while TSCO (@Specialty Stores) price change was +0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +2.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.45%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was -0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
HD is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
TSCO is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+2.74% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
@Specialty Stores (-0.18% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
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