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HD vs TSCO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Home Depot (HD) vs. Tractor Supply (TSCO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HD shares have gained over 6% in recent weeks amid positive market activity and efficiency-focused acquisitions, outperforming TSCO's decline following a quarterly earnings miss.
- Both stocks offer attractive dividend yields around 2.1-2.6%, but HD's larger market cap of approximately $350 billion provides greater stability compared to TSCO's $23.6 billion.
- HD trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 24.7, slightly higher than TSCO's 21.8, reflecting its scale in the home improvement sector.
- Year-to-date, TSCO leads with roughly 10% gains versus HD's 2.7%, but recent momentum favors the home improvement leader.
- Investor sentiment around HD benefits from operational improvements, while TSCO faces pressure from flat same-store sales and negative cash flow signals.
Introduction
Home Depot (HD) and Tractor Supply (TSCO) operate in the consumer retail space, serving overlapping yet distinct customer bases in home improvement and rural lifestyle products. This comparison is relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights amid shifting consumer spending patterns and sector volatility. Investors focused on dividend stability, growth potential, and market positioning in discretionary retail will find value in evaluating their business models, recent trends, and risk profiles in the current environment.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
Home Depot is the world's largest home improvement retailer, offering tools, appliances, and building materials through extensive big-box stores and online channels. In recent market activity, HD shares have climbed around 4% weekly and 6-9% monthly, trading near $351 with a 52-week range of $315-$427. This upward momentum stems from strategic moves like the acquisition of SIMPL Automation to boost fulfillment efficiency and enhance customer service, alongside resilient demand in professional contractor segments. Sentiment has improved as the company navigates cautious consumer spending, supported by a market cap exceeding $349 billion and a dividend yield of about 2.66%.
TSCO Overview and Recent Performance
Tractor Supply specializes in farm, ranch, pet, and rural lifestyle supplies via community-focused stores. Recently, TSCO shares have fallen about 3-4% weekly and 4% monthly, hovering around $45 within a 52-week range of $43-$64. A Q1 earnings report missing sales expectations at $3.59 billion, coupled with flat same-store sales and negative cash flow, has weighed on performance. Despite year-to-date gains of around 10%, sentiment reflects concerns over mixed demand trends, though the company maintains a solid dividend yield near 2.14% and a $23.6 billion market cap.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HD’s vast scale and broad home improvement focus contrast with TSCO’s niche in rural essentials, exposing the latter to weather-sensitive farm demand while HD benefits from steady pro customer traffic. Growth drivers differ: HD leverages supply chain tech, TSCO community expansion. Recent momentum favors HD’s uptrend versus TSCO’s post-earnings pullback. Risks include broad consumer slowdowns, but HD’s size offers lower volatility. Both share retail sector exposure, yet HD commands premium valuation for stability, trading off TSCO’s lower P/E amid recovery potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently favors HD with higher probability due to its consistent recent uptrend, operational catalysts like automation enhancements, and superior relative stability in a choppy retail landscape. While TSCO shows year-to-date strength, short-term positioning leans toward the home improvement leader for trend-following strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HD is a StrongBuy and TSCO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTSCO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TSCO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSCO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HD (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а -0.97% price change this week, while TSCO (@Specialty Stores) price change was -3.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.81%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was -1.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
HD is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
TSCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+2.76% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
@Specialty Stores (-1.60% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
| HD | TSCO | HD / TSCO | |
| Capitalization | 326B | 15.6B | 2,090% |
| EBITDA | 25.1B | 1.95B | 1,286% |
| Gain YTD | -3.729 | -39.639 | 9% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.20 | 14.68 | 158% |
| Revenue | 167B | 15.6B | 1,071% |
| Total Cash | 1.6B | 224M | 715% |
| Total Debt | 63.2B | 6.41B | 986% |
HD | TSCO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 22 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 10 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSCO's Valuation (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HD (70) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that TSCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (90) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (11) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (22) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as TSCO (65) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
HD's P/E Growth Rating (56) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSCO (91) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew somewhat faster than TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
| HD | TSCO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 64% | 13 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 57% | 8 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 64% |
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TSCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSCO has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSCO jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSCO | 100% | -1.42% | ||
| CPRT - TSCO | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.48% | ||
| HD - TSCO | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| LOW - TSCO | 43% Loosely correlated | -3.51% | ||
| AZO - TSCO | 41% Loosely correlated | -3.77% | ||
| HNST - TSCO | 39% Loosely correlated | -7.96% | ||
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