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HIVE vs RIOT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) vs. Riot Platforms (RIOT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both HIVE and RIOT are Bitcoin miners pivoting toward AI (artificial intelligence) and HPC (high-performance computing) data center revenue, but they are executing that transition at very different scales and timelines.
- HIVE carries a "Strong Buy" sell-side consensus and has been converting AI cloud contracts into near-term contracted revenue more directly than its peer.
- RIOT holds a larger power portfolio and a transformational multi-billion-dollar AI lease, but its payoff is back-loaded behind heavy capital spending and funding that is not yet fully secured.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: HIVE is the ticker of choice, based on comparatively cleaner trend consistency, nearer-term contracted catalysts, and a more immediate AI revenue ramp relative to RIOT's longer-dated, funding-dependent buildout.
- For more context, explore HIVE Major News and HIVE Today's Price Move, as well as RIOT Major News and RIOT Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are navigating this kind of market, explore the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
HIVE Digital Technologies and Riot Platforms sit at the intersection of two of the market's most closely watched themes: Bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure. Both companies are attempting to move beyond pure cryptocurrency exposure by repurposing their power and data center assets for AI and HPC workloads, a shift that is reshaping how investors value them. This stock comparison is most relevant to traders and investors evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and execution risk between a smaller, green-energy-focused operator and a larger, Texas-based miner with a substantial power footprint. Understanding where these two names diverge — in scale, catalysts, and capital structure — is central to assessing which stock presents the more favorable risk-reward profile in the current environment.
HIVE Overview and Recent Performance
HIVE Digital Technologies builds and operates data centers powered by green energy across Canada, Sweden, and Paraguay. The company runs a "dual-engine" strategy combining Bitcoin mining with a fast-growing HPC/AI cloud business marketed under its BUZZ brand. In recent weeks, sentiment has been driven by HIVE's AI infrastructure momentum, including a five-year GPU (graphics processing unit) cloud agreement valued at roughly $350 million to deploy NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra GPUs. The deal lifted BUZZ HPC's contracted annualized revenue toward $180 million, moving the company closer to its stated target of $200 million in GPU cloud ARR (annualized recurring revenue).
That optimism has been tempered by dilution concerns. HIVE has refreshed an at-the-market equity program and issued exchangeable notes to fund its expansion, and the company remains loss-making on an EPS (earnings per share) basis even as revenue grows sharply. Recent market activity has reflected this push-and-pull, with the stock retreating from earlier highs despite a strongly positive analyst consensus. HIVE's smaller market capitalization makes it more sensitive to both AI contract announcements and Bitcoin price fluctuations, contributing to elevated volatility in recent trading.
RIOT Overview and Recent Performance
Riot Platforms is a vertically integrated Bitcoin miner with large-scale facilities in Texas and Kentucky, complemented by an engineering business that builds electrical equipment. RIOT's defining recent development is its pivot toward AI data center hosting: the company signed a roughly 20-year, $9.1 billion lease covering 191 megawatts at its Rockdale campus, reported to involve a leading frontier AI lab, alongside a smaller hosting agreement with AMD. These contracts have recast RIOT's narrative from pure Bitcoin proxy toward AI infrastructure provider.
However, the payoff is back-loaded. RIOT does not expect to deliver the first phase of the Rockdale build until late next year, and the full project requires an estimated $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion in capital that is not yet fully funded. The company has relied on an interim credit facility while an investment-grade backstop is finalized. Over the trailing twelve months, RIOT has posted a substantial net loss, and its mining economics remain sensitive to Bitcoin prices and rising network difficulty. These factors have kept the stock range-bound and volatile, with analysts recently trimming price targets even while maintaining broadly constructive ratings.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and set of covered securities. Because not every bot suits every market regime, Tickeron curates only the most relevant and best-performing strategies into its Trending AI Robots section. This selection highlights bots whose approaches align with current conditions — whether trend-following, momentum, or mean-reversion — giving traders a focused starting point rather than an overwhelming list. For those interested in how automated, data-driven strategies are positioning across names like HIVE and RIOT, exploring the Trending AI Robots page offers a practical next step.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply in scale and capital intensity. RIOT operates a far larger power portfolio — on the order of 1.7 gigawatts across its Texas sites — and its $9.1 billion AI lease dwarfs HIVE's individual contracts. Yet that scale brings heavier funding requirements and a longer wait before contracted revenue converts to cash flow. HIVE's AI deals, while smaller, are beginning to contribute recurring revenue sooner and are backed in part by upfront customer deposits.
On growth drivers, both depend on AI demand and Bitcoin prices, but HIVE has leaned further into sovereign AI and green-powered Canadian infrastructure, while RIOT emphasizes its scarce, power-dense Texas footprint. Risk profiles also diverge: HIVE faces meaningful shareholder dilution from equity and convertible financing, whereas RIOT carries a heavier debt load and must sell Bitcoin to help fund its buildout. In terms of market sentiment, HIVE enjoys a stronger consensus rating, while RIOT's story hinges on executing a single, very large infrastructure commitment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI currently favors HIVE. The assessment rests less on absolute size and more on relative positioning: HIVE exhibits cleaner trend consistency, a more immediate path to contracted AI revenue, and a strongly positive analyst consensus, even as both companies remain loss-making. RIOT's opportunity is arguably larger, but it carries greater execution and financing uncertainty, with its primary catalyst years out and contingent on securing long-term capital. In probabilistic terms, HIVE's nearer-term catalysts and less capital-intensive conversion path give it a comparatively more favorable setup in the current market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HIVE is a StrongBuy and RIOT is a Hold.
HIVE's RSI Oscillator entering oversold zone
The RSI Indicator for HIVE moved into overbought territory on November 05, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +6.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HIVE advanced for three days, in 211 of 253 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
HIVE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HIVE as a result. In 67 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HIVE turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
HIVE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HIVE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The 50-day moving average for HIVE moved below the 200-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for HIVE entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.972) is normal, around the industry mean (3.008). P/E Ratio (9.174) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.695). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (9.358) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.169) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. HIVE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
RIOT in +29.81% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 04, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where RIOT advanced for three days, in 242 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RIOT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RIOT as a result. In 69 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RIOT just turned positive on November 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where RIOT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for RIOT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The 50-day moving average for RIOT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIOT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
RIOT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for RIOT entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RIOT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.526) is normal, around the industry mean (3.008). P/E Ratio (-3.844) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.695). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.800) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.271) settles around the average of (9.358) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.504) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RIOT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
HIVE | RIOT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 79 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HIVE's Valuation (68) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as RIOT (87) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that HIVE’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
HIVE's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as RIOT (100) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that HIVE’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
HIVE's SMR Rating (98) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as RIOT (98) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that HIVE’s stock grew similarly to RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
RIOT's Price Growth Rating (79) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as HIVE (87) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that RIOT’s stock grew similarly to HIVE’s over the last 12 months.
HIVE's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Computer Communications industry is significantly better than the same rating for RIOT (98) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that HIVE’s stock grew significantly faster than RIOT’s over the last 12 months.
| HIVE | RIOT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 89% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 90% | 5 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HIVE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while RIOT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- HIVE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RIOT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HIVE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RIOT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HIVE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- RIOT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
HIVE (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а -21.26% price change this week, while RIOT (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was +7.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -5.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.70%.
Reported Earning Dates
HIVE is expected to report earnings on Nov 13, 2026.
RIOT is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-5.48% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
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HIVE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HIVE has been closely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HIVE jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HIVE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIVE | 100% | -10.44% | ||
| CLSK - HIVE | 76% Closely correlated | -16.47% | ||
| KEEL - HIVE | 76% Closely correlated | -21.43% | ||
| BTBT - HIVE | 75% Closely correlated | -15.38% | ||
| CIFR - HIVE | 73% Closely correlated | -14.62% | ||
| RIOT - HIVE | 73% Closely correlated | -3.97% | ||
More | ||||
RIOT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RIOT has been closely correlated with HUT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RIOT jumps, then HUT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RIOT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIOT | 100% | -3.97% | ||
| HUT - RIOT | 81% Closely correlated | -6.11% | ||
| CLSK - RIOT | 80% Closely correlated | -16.47% | ||
| MSTR - RIOT | 79% Closely correlated | -9.29% | ||
| MARA - RIOT | 78% Closely correlated | -14.48% | ||
| COIN - RIOT | 77% Closely correlated | -9.69% | ||
More | ||||
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