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HRL vs HSY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HRL is a Hold and HSY is a Hold.
HRL in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026
HRL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 23 of 39 cases where HRL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HRL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HRL as a result. In 39 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HRL just turned positive on September 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where HRL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 19 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
Following a +2.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HRL advanced for three days, in 133 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HRL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for HRL entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.401) is normal, around the industry mean (5.422). P/E Ratio (32.210) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.504). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.405) is also within normal values, averaging (8.458). Dividend Yield (0.058) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.942) is also within normal values, averaging (4.925).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HRL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HRL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for HSY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
HSY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 56 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HSY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HSY just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where HSY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +4.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HSY advanced for three days, in 193 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HSY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
HSY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HSY entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HSY's P/B Ratio (7.241) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.067). P/E Ratio (22.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.001). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.856) is also within normal values, averaging (1.937).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HSY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
HRL | HSY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 88 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HRL's Valuation (10) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is in the same range as HSY (24) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew similarly to HSY’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's Profit vs Risk Rating (88) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as HRL (100) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that HSY’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's SMR Rating (31) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HRL (84) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that HSY’s stock grew somewhat faster than HRL’s over the last 12 months.
HSY's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as HRL (60) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that HSY’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
HRL's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HSY (47) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew somewhat faster than HSY’s over the last 12 months.
| HRL | HSY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 57% | 10 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HRL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while HSY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HRL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- HSY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HRL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HSY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HRL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- HSY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HRL (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а +7.94% price change this week, while HSY (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +4.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -2.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.34%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -1.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
HRL is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
HSY is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-2.45% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-1.52% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
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