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IR vs JCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ingersoll Rand (IR) vs. Johnson Controls (JCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ingersoll Rand (IR) is a diversified industrial flow-creation and life-sciences provider, while Johnson Controls (JCI) is a building-solutions leader riding strong data-center demand.
- Johnson Controls has shown sharper recent momentum, with strong order and backlog growth, while Ingersoll Rand has traded in a broader range with a more subdued 2026 trajectory.
- Both stocks carry premium valuations, but JCI's premium is tied to accelerating AI-driven data-center growth versus IR's more cyclical industrial exposure.
- Analysts rate both names favorably overall, with IR leaning toward a "Buy/Strong Buy" consensus and JCI toward a "Moderate Buy."
- The relative performance gap reflects different sector drivers: industrial machinery versus smart buildings and HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning).
- For more detail, explore IR Major News and IR Today's Price Move, as well as JCI Major News and JCI Today's Price Move.
- To see which names AI trading systems favor right now, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors comparing IR and JCI are effectively weighing two distinct approaches to industrial and infrastructure growth. Ingersoll Rand supplies mission-critical air, fluid, and precision technologies across industrial and life-sciences markets, while Johnson Controls focuses on smart building systems, HVAC, and refrigeration. Although both belong to the broad industrials complex, their recent price behavior and market positioning have diverged. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors evaluating relative performance, sector exposure, and momentum between a diversified industrial franchise and a building-solutions leader leveraged to data-center and electrification trends.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. operates through two segments: Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. The company's product portfolio spans air and gas compression, vacuum and blower equipment, fluid transfer, and life-science solutions. In recent quarters, IR has reported solid revenue growth, with second-quarter revenue rising roughly 9% year over year and orders increasing about 5%. However, organic order trends have been softer in parts of the portfolio, and tariff-related pressures have weighed on margins, particularly in the Industrial Technologies segment.
In recent market activity, IR shares have traded well below their 52-week high, reflecting a more cautious outlook on near-term industrial demand. Management has cited stabilizing short-cycle conditions in the U.S. alongside order delays in certain international markets. The company maintains a strong balance sheet, with liquidity near $4 billion, supporting an active bolt-on M&A (mergers and acquisitions) strategy and share repurchases. Despite this, the stock's year-to-date performance has trailed the broader market, and its forward valuation remains elevated relative to its modest single-digit organic growth expectations.
JCI Overview and Recent Performance
Johnson Controls International plc is a global leader in building products and technology, specializing in HVAC, refrigeration, building-management systems, and energy-efficiency solutions. Headquartered in Cork, Ireland, the company reports across three geographic segments: Americas, EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa), and APAC (Asia-Pacific). In recent quarters, JCI has delivered accelerating results, with double-digit organic sales growth and a substantial increase in orders and backlog, driven primarily by demand from data centers and other mission-critical facilities.
Management has highlighted that data centers could account for roughly one-third of revenue within three to five years, up from the high-teens percentage of current sales. This has supported a sharp re-rating in the stock, with shares posting strong gains over recent months and outperforming the broader industrials sector. The company has also raised its full-year guidance, reflecting confidence in its applied HVAC and services businesses. Insider selling has picked up amid the rally, and the valuation premium leaves less room for error, but the fundamental momentum remains notably strong relative to many industrial peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two names lies in their growth drivers and cyclicality. IR is tied to broad industrial production, compression demand, and life-sciences investment, giving it exposure to a wide range of end markets but also to tariff and manufacturing-cycle headwinds. JCI, by contrast, is increasingly leveraged to secular demand from AI data centers, electrification, and building decarbonization, which has produced faster order growth and stronger recent price momentum.
On valuation, both stocks trade at premium multiples, but the premium reflects different narratives. IR's multiple rests on margin expansion, M&A-driven growth, and a diversified aftermarket model, while JCI's premium is supported by accelerating revenue and a rapidly expanding backlog. Risk profiles also differ: IR faces near-term industrial softness and tariff pressure, whereas JCI carries concentration risk tied to data-center demand and a richer valuation that could be sensitive to any slowdown in that cycle. From a market-sentiment standpoint, JCI has been the clearer relative winner in recent months, though IR offers a more diversified, less concentrated exposure to the industrial economy.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, order momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward JCI. The stock's stronger order growth, expanding backlog, and clear catalyst in AI-driven data-center demand give it a more consistent upward trend than IR, which faces softer organic order trends and tariff-related margin pressure. That said, JCI's elevated valuation and heavy reliance on a single high-growth end market introduce stability risk. Accordingly, the AI's preference should be understood as a probabilistic, momentum- and catalyst-based tilt rather than a definitive judgment, and it could shift as market conditions and fundamental data evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IR is a Hold and JCI is a Hold.
IR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
The 10-day moving average for IR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 55 cases where IR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +2.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IR advanced for three days, in 211 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
IR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 185 of 269 cases where IR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IR as a result. In 46 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IR turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.
IR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.876) is normal, around the industry mean (3.949). P/E Ratio (31.049) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.002). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.619) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.547) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
JCI in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for JCI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JCI as a result. In 56 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JCI just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where JCI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
JCI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JCI advanced for three days, in 221 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 190 of 296 cases where JCI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JCI moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
JCI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JCI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.070) is normal, around the industry mean (3.137). P/E Ratio (27.605) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.023). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.702) is also within normal values, averaging (1.238). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. JCI's P/S Ratio (3.470) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.941).
IR | JCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IR's Valuation (63) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as JCI (82) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to JCI’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (60) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's SMR Rating (39) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (73) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as IR (59) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's P/E Growth Rating (75) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as IR (88) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | JCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 59% | 14 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while JCI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- JCI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JCI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JCI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -4.57% price change this week, while JCI (@Building Products) price change was +4.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +2.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.93%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was +0.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
IR is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
JCI is expected to report earnings on Feb 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+2.67% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Building Products (+0.85% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
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JCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JCI has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JCI jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI | 100% | +0.94% | ||
| IR - JCI | 77% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| TT - JCI | 76% Closely correlated | -2.73% | ||
| SPXC - JCI | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| CARR - JCI | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.70% | ||
| AAON - JCI | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
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