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IR vs JCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) vs. Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IR reported Q1 2026 earnings that beat estimates with adjusted EPS of $0.77 and revenue of $1.85 billion, up year-over-year, supported by the acquisition of Fox s.r.l. to enhance metering capabilities.
- JCI shares have surged over 20% year-to-date, outperforming IR's flat to slightly negative YTD return, driven by AI integrations and data center demand.
- Both companies operate in industrials with exposure to compression, HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), and building technologies, but JCI benefits from stronger momentum in sustainable building solutions.
- Analyst consensus leans positive for both, with average price targets implying upside: $94.71 for IR (25% potential) and $144.86 for JCI (negligible near-term).
- JCI's larger market cap ($88.6 billion vs. $29.7 billion) reflects broader scale, while recent market activity shows IR trading near 52-week lows amid geopolitical headwinds.
- Relative performance highlights JCI's edge in growth drivers like data centers, contrasting IR's steady but pressured industrial focus.
Introduction
In the industrials sector, IR and JCI offer exposure to mission-critical technologies in compression, fluid management, and building efficiency. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market activity, business models, and performance metrics to aid traders seeking relative value or investors eyeing sector tailwinds like data centers and sustainability. With broader economic shifts influencing industrials, understanding their contrasts in momentum, catalysts, and positioning provides clarity on potential trade-offs in the current environment.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) is a global provider of mission-critical flow creation products, including air compressors, vacuum pumps, and fluid handling equipment across its Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies segments. Serving industries like manufacturing, clean energy, and medical applications, the company emphasizes aftermarket services and acquisitions for growth.
In recent market activity, IR shares have traded around $75.82, near the lower end of the 52-week range ($72.45-$100.96), reflecting a year-to-date decline of about 4.3%. Q1 2026 results showed adjusted EPS of $0.77 beating estimates by 4%, with revenue at $1.85 billion (up 8% year-over-year), though order delays from geopolitical tensions tempered sentiment. The acquisition of Fox s.r.l. bolsters metering and dosing capabilities, signaling strategic expansion amid a robust backlog. Analyst adjustments post-earnings included lowered price targets but maintained buy ratings, highlighting resilience despite macro headwinds.
JCI Overview and Recent Performance
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) specializes in building technologies, including HVAC systems, building automation, fire/security solutions, and energy management via its OpenBlue platform. Focused on commercial buildings post-divestitures, it targets decarbonization and efficiency for data centers, healthcare, and manufacturing.
Recent weeks have seen JCI shares rise to around $144.82, near 52-week highs ($87.77-$147.32), with year-to-date gains exceeding 21%. Momentum stems from the Nantum AI acquisition enhancing AI-driven energy optimization and strong data center demand, including reference designs for AI factories. Anticipation builds for Q2 earnings expecting $6.1 billion revenue and $1.12 adjusted EPS (up 36.6% year-over-year). Positive analyst updates, like Citi's $150 target, underscore positioning in high-growth areas, though rising expenses pose margin risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both firms leverage industrial expertise, but diverge in focus: IR emphasizes compression and precision pumps for manufacturing/clean energy, while JCI prioritizes integrated building systems with AI-enhanced HVAC and security. Growth drivers contrast sharply—JCI rides data center/AI tailwinds and sustainability mandates, fueling 20%+ YTD gains, versus IR's steadier M&A (e.g., Fox) amid softer orders.
Recent momentum favors JCI (near highs, 64% 1-year return) over IR (near lows, -1% 1-year), with JCI's larger scale ($88B vs. $30B market cap) enabling broader exposure. Risk factors include geopolitical delays for IR and expense pressures for JCI; sentiment tilts bullish on JCI's catalysts versus IR's stability trade-off.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors JCI based on superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and catalysts like data center growth/AI integrations outweighing IR's earnings beats amid softer momentum. While IR offers relative stability and acquisition upside, JCI's positioning suggests higher probability of near-term gains in industrials.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IR is a Hold and JCI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileJCI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- IR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JCI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JCI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- JCI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -7.10% price change this week, while JCI (@Building Products) price change was +2.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -1.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -1.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
IR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
JCI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-1.68% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Building Products (-1.29% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| IR | JCI | IR / JCI | |
| Capitalization | 27.5B | 87.3B | 32% |
| EBITDA | 1.69B | 3.52B | 48% |
| Gain YTD | -11.152 | 19.851 | -56% |
| P/E Ratio | 47.53 | 43.76 | 109% |
| Revenue | 7.78B | 24.4B | 32% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 698M | - |
| Total Debt | 4.84B | 9.52B | 51% |
IR | JCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 25 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IR's Valuation (80) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as JCI (81) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to JCI’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (68) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's SMR Rating (40) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (83) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Price Growth Rating (25) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (65) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as IR (33) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | JCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 10 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 60% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| NML | 10.48 | 0.07 | +0.67% |
| Neuberger Energy Infrastructure and Income Fund Inc. | |||
| MBNE | 29.00 | N/A | N/A |
| State Street® Nuveen Muncpl Bd ESG ETF | |||
| DFUV | 52.14 | -0.67 | -1.27% |
| Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF | |||
| BKCI | 52.13 | -0.68 | -1.28% |
| BNY Mellon Concentrated Internatnl ETF | |||
| SEMY | 16.68 | -0.34 | -2.00% |
| GraniteShares YieldBOOST Semcndctrs ETF | |||
JCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JCI has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JCI jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI | 100% | -1.34% | ||
| IR - JCI | 77% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| TT - JCI | 64% Loosely correlated | -3.13% | ||
| CARR - JCI | 55% Loosely correlated | -3.09% | ||
| SPXC - JCI | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| TREX - JCI | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.98% | ||
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