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IR vs JCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ingersoll Rand (IR) vs. Johnson Controls International (JCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different end markets: IR focuses on industrial flow creation and life-science equipment, while JCI centers on commercial HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) and building fire-and-security systems.
- Momentum favors JCI: JCI has delivered substantially stronger relative performance in recent months, aided by data-center demand, while IR has shown more muted share-price gains.
- Both beat estimates: Each company recently posted better-than-expected quarterly results and raised forward guidance.
- Scale and valuation differ: JCI is a much larger business with a higher trailing valuation multiple and a higher dividend yield than IR.
- Risk profiles diverge: IR faces broader industrial cyclicality, while JCI benefits from secular electrification and data-center spending but carries integration and backlog-concentration considerations.
Introduction
Ingersoll Rand and Johnson Controls International operate in adjacent corners of the industrial and building-technology landscape, yet their growth drivers and market positioning differ meaningfully. This stock comparison is designed for traders and investors weighing a diversified industrial compounder against a building-solutions leader riding powerful secular demand from data centers and electrification. By examining recent earnings, relative performance, and market sentiment, readers can better assess which business aligns with their portfolio objectives in the current market environment. The analysis below uses recent performance data and fundamentals to compare these two names side by side without favoring either stock by framing alone.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
IR, or Ingersoll Rand, is a diversified industrial manufacturer focused on mission-critical flow creation, compression, and life-science and industrial technologies. The company serves a broad customer base across manufacturing, energy, and pharmaceutical end markets through more than 80 brands. Its revenue is split between its Industrial Technologies & Services segment and its smaller Precision & Science Technologies segment.
In recent weeks, IR has posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Its latest report showed adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.86, above the consensus estimate of $0.83, with revenue rising roughly 8.5% year over year on healthy order momentum. Management also raised its full-year revenue growth outlook, citing strengthening demand and the realization of delayed longer-cycle orders. Despite these solid fundamentals, the stock has traded with more modest momentum than its peer, with year-to-date returns in the low single digits and a 52-week range well below its prior highs. Investor sentiment has been tempered by margin pressures in some regions and broader industrial cyclicality, even as free cash flow and order trends have improved.
JCI Overview and Recent Performance
JCI, or Johnson Controls International, is a global leader in building products and technology solutions, specializing in commercial HVAC and refrigeration, fire detection and suppression, and building security and automation. Headquartered in Cork, Ireland, the company divested its residential and light commercial HVAC business in 2025, sharpening its focus on commercial buildings and data centers.
Over recent months, JCI has delivered notably strong results. Its latest quarterly report showed revenue up roughly 9% year over year with organic growth of about 10%, while adjusted EPS came in well above consensus. Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance and highlighted sustained order momentum, with data-center demand driving a sharp increase in orders and backlog. This execution has translated into strong share-price performance, with year-to-date and one-year returns substantially outpacing the broader market. The stock recently traded near its 52-week high, and several sell-side analysts have maintained constructive ratings on the name, reflecting confidence in its margin expansion and secular growth tailwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two names lies in their business models and demand drivers. IR is a broad industrial supplier whose fortunes track capital spending and manufacturing activity across multiple sectors, giving it diversified but cyclical exposure. JCI is more concentrated in commercial buildings, where secular trends such as data-center construction, electrification, and decarbonization provide a longer-duration growth runway.
On recent momentum, JCI has clearly led, supported by accelerating organic growth and expanding operating margins, while IR has posted solid but comparatively modest gains. In terms of scale, JCI generates substantially more revenue and carries a much larger market capitalization. Valuation metrics also differ: JCI trades at a higher trailing price-to-earnings ratio but offers a meaningfully higher dividend yield, whereas IR maintains a comparatively lower trailing multiple with a minimal payout. Risk profiles reflect these differences—IR is exposed to industrial cyclicality and regional margin pressure, while JCI's concentration in large, longer-cycle data-center projects introduces backlog and execution sensitivity. Overall, JCI currently shows stronger trend consistency, while IR represents a broader industrial growth story at a lower headline valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative momentum, earnings beats, and margin expansion, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward JCI in the current environment. The stock's sustained upward trend, accelerating organic growth, rising guidance, and strong data-center-driven order momentum present a more favorable combination of catalysts and stability than IR's more moderate trajectory. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: JCI's premium valuation and backlog concentration introduce risks, while IR's diversified industrial footprint and lower multiple could appeal under different market conditions. The AI's preference reflects relative positioning at this moment, not a fixed conclusion.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IR is a StrongBuy and JCI is a Buy.
IR | JCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IR's Valuation (65) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as JCI (68) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to JCI’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (62) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's SMR Rating (39) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (73) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as IR (54) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (91) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | JCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while JCI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- JCI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JCI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JCI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +3.65% price change this week, while JCI (@Building Products) price change was +1.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.33%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -0.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.60%.
Reported Earning Dates
IR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
JCI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-2.22% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Building Products (-0.48% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
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IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.
JCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JCI has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JCI jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI | 100% | -1.24% | ||
| IR - JCI | 77% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| TT - JCI | 75% Closely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| SPXC - JCI | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| CARR - JCI | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.51% | ||
| AAON - JCI | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
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