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IR vs TT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ingersoll Rand (IR) vs. Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IR (Ingersoll Rand) is an acquisition-driven industrial company focused on mission-critical flow creation and life science technologies, while TT (Trane Technologies) is a climate-focused HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) and refrigeration leader benefiting from surging data center cooling demand.
- TT has shown stronger recent momentum, with record bookings and a backlog of roughly $12 billion, whereas IR is in the earlier stages of an order recovery with a more modest growth profile.
- Both companies beat Wall Street earnings estimates in recent quarters, but TT's organic growth and demand visibility currently outpace IR's acquisition-led expansion.
- IR offers a diversified industrial and life sciences footprint with recurring aftermarket revenue, while TT carries higher exposure to the fast-growing AI and cloud-driven data center build-out.
- Margin pressure is a shared theme: both firms reported adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margin contraction as inflation and investment costs weighed on results.
- For more detail on each name, explore the IR Major News and IR Today's Price Move pages, as well as TT Major News and TT Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven strategies are currently positioning across these and other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Ingersoll Rand and Trane Technologies are two prominent industrial names that frequently attract the attention of both growth and value-oriented investors, yet they serve very different demand drivers. IR operates across mission-critical flow creation and life sciences and industrial solutions, while TT is a global climate innovator centered on HVAC and refrigeration systems. Comparing the two is useful for investors weighing diversified industrial recovery against the structural tailwind of data center and energy-efficiency investment. This stock comparison examines recent performance, market positioning, and the observable factors that could shape relative performance in the months ahead.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) provides air, fluid, clean energy, and medical technologies under more than 80 brands, serving industrial and life sciences customers worldwide. The company's strategy leans heavily on bolt-on acquisitions, recurring aftermarket revenue, and its "Execution Excellence" operating system.
In recent weeks, IR has reported improving order trends and a book-to-bill ratio above one, signaling that new orders are outpacing sales. First-quarter 2026 revenue rose about 8% year over year to roughly $1.85 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) up 7%, while second-quarter revenue climbed roughly 9% to $2.05 billion. Organic growth, however, has been modest, with acquisitions and favorable foreign exchange contributing meaningfully to the top line. Adjusted EBITDA margin compressed to around 25.4% as pricing in China and higher investment costs offset gains. Management has maintained a full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook in the low-to-mid single digits, and analysts generally rate the stock a Buy with a consensus price target near $102.
TT Overview and Recent Performance
Trane Technologies plc (TT) designs and services heating, cooling, ventilation, and transport refrigeration systems, positioning itself as a leader in sustainable climate solutions. Its largest segment, Americas Commercial HVAC, has become a focal point for investors tracking the rapid build-out of AI and cloud data centers.
Recent market activity has been notably strong for TT. In the first quarter of 2026, enterprise bookings rose 27% and the backlog reached a then-record $10.7 billion; by the second quarter, bookings jumped 39% to $7.8 billion and the backlog set a new record of roughly $12.1 billion, up about 70% year over year. Revenue grew 11% to $6.35 billion in the second quarter, with adjusted EPS up 11%. This momentum prompted management to raise full-year revenue and EPS guidance. The trade-off has been margin pressure: adjusted operating margin contracted modestly as inflation and capacity investments offset strong volumes. Analysts remain constructive, with several firms raising price targets on the back of data center demand and the Stellar Energy acquisition.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a curated Trending AI Robots section that highlights the AI trading bots best suited to current market conditions. While Tickeron offers hundreds of AI Trading Bots trading thousands of different tickers, only a select group earns placement in this list. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, statistics, and basket of tickers, meaning no two are alike. This variety allows traders and investors to filter for approaches that match their own risk tolerance and objectives, from shorter-term momentum systems to longer-horizon trend strategies. Exploring the Trending AI Robots page can help you identify which automated strategies are currently gaining traction across names like these.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply in their growth engines and market positioning. TT is riding a structural, demand-driven upswing tied to data center cooling and energy efficiency, reflected in exceptional bookings and a record backlog that provides strong forward visibility. IR, by contrast, is a more diversified industrial and life sciences operator whose growth relies on acquisitions and a cyclical recovery in short-cycle demand, giving it a steadier but less explosive near-term trajectory.
On valuation and sentiment, TT trades at a premium multiple consistent with its faster organic growth, while IR's valuation reflects its acquisition-driven model and more gradual recovery. Risk profiles also differ: IR is exposed to industrial demand cycles, pricing pressure in China, and integration risk from frequent M&A (mergers and acquisitions), whereas TT faces commodity-cost inflation, competitive pressure in HVAC, and concentration risk around the data center cycle. Both companies have demonstrated disciplined cash generation and shareholder returns, but TT's demand visibility currently stands out relative to IR's more moderate guidance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, bookings momentum, backlog depth, and demand catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor TT in the current environment. The company's record backlog, double-digit organic growth, and clear alignment with the expanding data center and energy-efficiency themes represent stronger, more durable momentum than IR's earlier-stage order recovery. That said, this is a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive forecast: IR's diversified footprint and improving book-to-bill ratio make it a credible contender if industrial demand broadens, and valuation considerations could narrow the gap. The AI's preference reflects relative positioning, not a guarantee of future outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IR is a Hold and TT is a Hold.
IR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
The 10-day moving average for IR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 55 cases where IR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +2.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IR advanced for three days, in 211 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
IR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 185 of 269 cases where IR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IR as a result. In 46 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IR turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.
IR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.876) is normal, around the industry mean (3.949). P/E Ratio (31.049) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.002). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.619) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.547) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TT in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
TT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 38 cases where TT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 57 cases where TT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The 10-day moving average for TT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +3.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TT advanced for three days, in 232 of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 266 cases where TT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TT moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 52%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TT as a result. In 54 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TT turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
TT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for TT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.443) is normal, around the industry mean (3.137). P/E Ratio (33.720) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.023). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.596) is also within normal values, averaging (1.238). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. TT's P/S Ratio (4.241) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.941).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
IR | TT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IR's Valuation (63) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as TT (88) in the null industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (60) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that TT’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
TT's SMR Rating (28) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (73) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that TT’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Price Growth Rating (50) in the null industry is in the same range as IR (59) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that TT’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
TT's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (88) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that TT’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | TT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 59% | 7 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -4.57% price change this week, while TT (@Building Products) price change was -4.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -2.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.26%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was +0.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
IR is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
TT is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-2.90% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Building Products (+0.91% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
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IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.