IYE
Price
$65.17
Change
-$1.99 (-2.96%)
Updated
Nov 5, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.82B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PSCE
Price
$49.46
Change
-$2.63 (-5.05%)
Updated
Nov 5 closing price
Net Assets
104.91M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IYE vs PSCE

IYE vs PSCE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) vs. Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF (PSCE)

Key Takeaways

  • IYE (iShares U.S. Energy ETF) is a large-cap, market-capitalization-weighted fund dominated by integrated oil majors, while PSCE (Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF) targets small-cap exploration, production, and oilfield-services companies.
  • IYE holds roughly 44 stocks with about 70% of assets in its top 10 names, creating meaningful single-company concentration; PSCE holds roughly 33–36 names with a more evenly distributed, but still concentrated, small-cap portfolio.
  • Expense ratios are close but differ: IYE charges about 0.37%, while PSCE is slightly cheaper at 0.29%.
  • IYE offers broader liquidity and exposure to diversified energy giants; PSCE provides higher-beta, more commodity-sensitive exposure tied to smaller producers and service providers.
  • Both funds are passively managed and non-diversified, making them pure-play vehicles for energy-sector exposure rather than diversified core holdings.

Introduction

Energy remains one of the most cyclically sensitive corners of the U.S. equity market, and investors choosing between IYE and PSCE are effectively deciding how much risk they want to take within the same broad sector. These two ETFs do not compete directly on identical holdings; instead, they offer alternative slices of the energy complex. IYE concentrates on large, diversified, dividend-paying majors, while PSCE reaches into smaller exploration and production (E&P) and oilfield-services names. This ETF comparison clarifies how sector exposure, fund performance, and relative positioning differ between a large-cap core energy fund and a small-cap, higher-volatility alternative.

iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) Overview

IYE seeks to track the Russell 1000 Energy RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index, a market-capitalization-weighted benchmark of large-cap U.S. energy equities. The fund is passively managed and non-diversified, generally investing at least 80% of assets in index components. It holds approximately 44 securities, with the top 10 positions accounting for roughly 70% of the portfolio, underscoring its concentrated, mega-cap tilt.

Its largest holdings are XOM (ExxonMobil), CVX (Chevron), COP (ConocoPhillips), MPC (Marathon Petroleum), VLO (Valero Energy), PSX (Phillips 66), WMB (Williams Companies), EOG (EOG Resources), SLB (SLB), and KMI (Kinder Morgan). The net expense ratio is approximately 0.37%. With meaningful exposure to integrated majors, refiners, and midstream operators, IYE provides a relatively stable, dividend-oriented path into energy.

Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF (PSCE) Overview

PSCE tracks the S&P SmallCap 600 Capped Energy Index, a float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted subset of the S&P SmallCap 600 focused on U.S. energy companies. The fund is passively managed and non-diversified, normally investing at least 90% of assets in index securities. It holds roughly 33–36 names spanning exploration and production, oilfield services, refining, and energy infrastructure, with a net expense ratio of 0.29%.

Top holdings include AROC (Archrock), SM (SM Energy), MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas), NE (Noble Corporation), KGS (Kodiak Gas Services), WHD (Cactus), CNR (Core Natural Resources), and OII (Oceaneering International). Because these are smaller, more specialized businesses, PSCE generally exhibits higher volatility and greater sensitivity to commodity prices and drilling activity than IYE.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within a sector shaped by crude oil and natural gas prices, global supply-and-demand balances, and capital-discipline decisions by producers. Recent market cycles have been influenced by OPEC+ production policy, U.S. shale output trends, refining margins, and the pace of global economic growth. Midstream names in IYE benefit from fee-based cash flows and steady dividends, while PSCE's E&P and service providers are more leveraged to commodity price swings and rig counts.

Longer-term themes such as energy transition, electrification demand, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export growth also affect relative positioning. Regulatory developments around permitting and emissions, as well as shareholder-return policies such as buybacks and dividends, continue to shape capital flows into the sector. Small-cap energy companies typically carry higher financial and operational leverage, making PSCE more responsive to both positive and negative commodity moves.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and across recent market cycles, the two funds have tended to diverge along the large-cap versus small-cap spectrum. IYE's mega-cap concentration has historically provided more stability during commodity downturns, supported by strong balance sheets and diversified revenue streams. PSCE, by contrast, has shown greater upside sensitivity during rallies in oil and natural gas prices, as smaller producers and service firms recover more sharply from cyclical troughs.

Relative performance is closely tied to the earnings cycles of top holdings, interest-rate expectations, and commodity trends. When energy prices rise broadly, PSCE's higher-beta profile often outperforms; when volatility increases or commodity prices soften, IYE's integrated-major and midstream exposure tends to hold up better. Investors should therefore view IYE as a lower-volatility, core-sector vehicle and PSCE as a tactical, higher-risk expression of the same thematic view.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to uncover signals aligned with your own energy-sector strategy.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IYE for most investors seeking broad, durable energy exposure. IYE offers superior liquidity, lower single-name operational risk, a more diversified revenue base through integrated majors and midstream operators, and a slightly higher but still modest expense ratio. Its large-cap holdings generally exhibit more consistent trends and lower volatility than PSCE's small-cap, commodity-sensitive lineup. PSCE remains a viable tactical tool for investors with a strong conviction on rising commodity prices and improving drilling activity, given its higher beta and sharper cyclical sensitivity. The AI verdict, framed in probabilistic terms, leans toward IYE for risk-adjusted positioning and toward PSCE only for higher-risk, momentum-oriented objectives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IYE vs. PSCE commentary
Nov 06, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IYE is a Hold and PSCE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IYE with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

IYE's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 40 of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 76 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.

IYE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 338 of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

IYE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 296 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PSCE with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

PSCE sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

PSCE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 02, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PSCE as a result. In 75 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

PSCE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PSCE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator for PSCE entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for PSCE's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +0.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PSCE advanced for three days, in 305 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

PSCE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IYEPSCE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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IYE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To IYE
1D Price
Change %
IYE100%
-4.60%
XOM - IYE
88%
Closely correlated
-4.62%
CVX - IYE
88%
Closely correlated
-3.69%
COP - IYE
87%
Closely correlated
-5.17%
EOG - IYE
86%
Closely correlated
-5.23%
OVV - IYE
84%
Closely correlated
-5.61%
More

PSCE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSCE has been closely correlated with MTDR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PSCE jumps, then MTDR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PSCE
1D Price
Change %
PSCE100%
-7.87%
MTDR - PSCE
85%
Closely correlated
-7.25%
PTEN - PSCE
85%
Closely correlated
-9.36%
BTE - PSCE
82%
Closely correlated
-7.11%
OIS - PSCE
71%
Closely correlated
-3.72%
HOS - PSCE
70%
Closely correlated
-1.76%
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