IYE
Price
$66.97Alerts
Change
+$1.21 (+1.84%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.77B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLE
Price
$63.36Alerts
Change
+$1.15 (+1.85%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
40.55B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IYE vs XLE

IYE vs XLE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) vs. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)

Key Takeaways

  • Both funds are broad U.S. energy plays, but IYE tracks a wider Russell 1000 Energy index while XLE tracks only the large-cap S&P 500 energy segment.
  • Holdings breadth differs sharply: IYE holds roughly 40 companies, whereas XLE concentrates in about 24 mega-cap names.
  • Cost is XLE's clear edge, with a 0.08% expense ratio versus roughly 0.37% for IYE.
  • Both are heavily concentrated in ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), which together represent roughly 40% of each portfolio.
  • IYE offers modestly broader diversification, including some mid-cap and services names outside the S&P 500.

Introduction

Energy has re-emerged as one of the market's most closely watched sectors, driven by commodity pricing, capital discipline, and shifting demand expectations. For investors seeking U.S. energy exposure, iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) are two of the most recognizable vehicles. They do not compete on strategy so much as on scope: both are passively managed, market-cap-weighted funds covering the same sector, but they draw from different index universes. This ETF comparison examines how their structural differences, cost profiles, and relative positioning translate into meaningfully different risk-and-return characteristics for investors.

iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) Overview

IYE is a passively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to track the Russell 1000 Energy RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index, a benchmark covering U.S. energy companies across the large- and mid-cap spectrum. The fund typically holds roughly 40 securities, giving it a somewhat broader footprint than many energy sector peers.

Its portfolio is still top-heavy: ExxonMobil (XOM) accounts for roughly 23% of assets, followed by Chevron (CVX) near 16%, ConocoPhillips (COP) at about 6.5%, and refiners Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Valero Energy (VLO) near 5% each. Names such as Phillips 66 (PSX), Williams (WMB), EOG Resources (EOG), and SLB (SLB) round out the top ten. The fund carries an expense ratio of approximately 0.37% and is classified as non-diversified.

Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) Overview

XLE is also passively managed, seeking to replicate the Energy Select Sector Index, which consists of the energy companies within the S&P 500. This gives XLE a narrower, large-cap-only mandate, with about 24 holdings concentrated among the sector's biggest players.

The portfolio skews even more heavily toward the majors: ExxonMobil (XOM) is near 24%, Chevron (CVX) around 18%, and ConocoPhillips (COP) about 7%. Refiners Valero (VLO), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), and Phillips 66 (PSX) each sit near 4.7%, with Williams (WMB), EOG Resources (EOG), and SLB (SLB) close behind. Its standout feature is cost: an expense ratio of just 0.08%, among the lowest in the energy category.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the same macro environment. Crude oil and natural gas prices remain central drivers, influenced by global supply dynamics, OPEC+ policy decisions, and geopolitical risk. At the same time, U.S. producers have emphasized shareholder returns, buybacks, and free cash flow discipline over aggressive volume growth, which has supported valuations in recent market cycles.

Refining margins, liquefied natural gas (LNG) export demand, and oilfield services activity add secondary layers of exposure across both portfolios. Meanwhile, the sector faces structural questions around the long-term energy transition, which can affect capital allocation and sentiment even among traditional oil and gas names. These cross-currents make relative positioning within the energy value chain an important differentiator between funds.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Because their top holdings overlap heavily, IYE and XLE have generally moved in tandem over recent weeks and months, with fund performance closely tracking the fortunes of the integrated majors. However, structural differences produce subtle divergences. XLE's large-cap-only, lower-cost profile has tended to keep it tightly aligned with the biggest, most liquid energy names, while IYE's broader Russell 1000 reach adds modest exposure to mid-cap producers and services firms that can amplify volatility in either direction.

Relative positioning has often hinged on the refining and oilfield services segments, which carry somewhat different earnings cycles than integrated oil giants. When mid-cap and services names outperform, IYE's wider net can provide an edge; when mega-cap leadership dominates, XLE's concentration and cost efficiency tend to shine. Both funds carry elevated single-stock risk given their dependence on XOM and CVX.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening, making it a practical complement to any ETF comparison workflow.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor XLE for cost-conscious investors seeking efficient, large-cap energy exposure, given its materially lower expense ratio and deep liquidity. However, the AI's preference could tilt toward IYE when broader diversification and mid-cap participation are prioritized, or when services and smaller producers exhibit stronger trend momentum. In probabilistic terms, XLE presents a more cost-efficient and concentrated core holding, while IYE offers a wider net that may better capture dispersion across the energy value chain. The optimal choice depends on an investor's preference for concentration versus breadth.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IYE vs. XLE commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IYE is a Hold and XLE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IYE with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

IYE's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 340 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

IYE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 293 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 74 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

IYE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLE with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

Momentum Indicator for XLE turns negative, indicating new downward trend

XLE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 70 of the 82 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.

XLE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in 356 of 387 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

XLE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 316 of 350 cases where XLE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IYEXLE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 6 days ago
80%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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IYE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To IYE
1D Price
Change %
IYE100%
+0.40%
CVX - IYE
89%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
XOM - IYE
89%
Closely correlated
-0.16%
COP - IYE
87%
Closely correlated
+0.83%
EOG - IYE
86%
Closely correlated
+2.08%
OVV - IYE
84%
Closely correlated
+1.82%
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