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KGC vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both KGC and NEM have surged over 120% in the past year, driven by elevated gold prices, with KGC showing slightly stronger returns at around 125%.
- NEM, the world's largest gold producer, recently beat Q1 earnings estimates with record free cash flow amid higher realized gold prices.
- KGC boasts impressive profit margins and analyst targets suggesting significant upside potential ahead of its upcoming earnings.
- NEM offers greater scale with a market cap over three times that of KGC and diversification into copper production.
- KGC exhibits higher volatility (beta of 1.40) compared to NEM's lower beta of 0.47, appealing to different risk appetites.
- Recent market activity highlights robust sector momentum, positioning both stocks favorably in a gold-friendly environment.
Introduction
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) and Newmont Corporation (NEM) stand as prominent players in the gold mining sector, benefiting from sustained gold price strength amid geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to help traders and investors evaluate relative opportunities. Value-oriented investors may favor the larger, more diversified NEM, while momentum traders might eye KGC's outperformance. In recent market activity, both have demonstrated resilience, offering insights into sector dynamics and potential trade-offs in growth versus stability.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is a mid-tier gold producer with operations across the Americas, West Africa, and key assets like the Tasiast mine in Mauritania and Paracatu in Brazil. The company focuses on cost-efficient production and exploration, with recent expansions enhancing its pipeline. In recent weeks, KGC shares have traded around $33, reflecting year-to-date gains of about 15% and over 120% annually, outperforming broader gold mining peers. Sentiment has been buoyed by record Q4 margins, strong free cash flow generation, and analyst projections for substantial earnings growth. Gold price rallies have amplified profitability, though shares pulled back slightly post-earnings earlier in the year. Upcoming quarterly results are anticipated to underscore operational strength, influencing near-term momentum.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM), the global leader in gold production, operates Tier 1 assets worldwide, including significant copper byproducts from mines like Nevada's Carlin and Boddington in Australia. Its scale supports robust reserve replacement and dividends. Recently, NEM shares hovered near $117, with year-to-date returns of approximately 18% and 120% over the past year. Q1 results exceeded expectations, delivering record free cash flow of over $3 billion on a 66% rise in realized gold prices and $0.26 dividend declaration. Positive sentiment stems from strong production volumes and cost management, despite some operational challenges in regions like Ghana. Elevated gold prices continue to drive performance in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KGC and NEM both thrive on gold price tailwinds but differ in scale and exposure. NEM’s business model emphasizes mega-projects and copper diversification (about 15% of EBITDA), providing revenue stability, while KGC focuses on mid-tier gold assets with lower all-in sustaining costs (AISC, a key metric for mine profitability). Growth drivers include NEM’s acquisitions like Newcrest and KGC’s Great Bear project. Recent momentum favors KGC’s sharper one-year gains, but NEM shows steadier recent quarterly beats. Risk factors: KGC faces higher geopolitical exposure in Mauritania, while NEM contends with regulatory hurdles. Market sentiment leans positive for both, with NEM’s lower beta suiting conservative portfolios amid gold sector volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently favors KGC over NEM in the near term, based on superior one-year relative performance, higher growth score projections, and consistent trend strength in recent market activity. While NEM excels in stability and scale, KGC’s momentum and undervaluation metrics suggest greater upside probability for momentum-driven traders. This edge may shift with earnings outcomes or gold price swings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KGC is a StrongBuy and NEM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KGC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KGC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
KGC (@Precious Metals) experienced а -2.44% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| KGC | NEM | KGC / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 30.6B | 107B | 29% |
| EBITDA | 5.15B | 16.2B | 32% |
| Gain YTD | -8.924 | 0.819 | -1,090% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.89 | 13.00 | 84% |
| Revenue | 7.96B | 25B | 32% |
| Total Cash | 2.19B | 8.78B | 25% |
| Total Debt | 738M | 5.53B | 13% |
KGC | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 57 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (28) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (60). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (57). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (37). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (60). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KGC (83). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than KGC’s over the last 12 months.
| KGC | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 61% |
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