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KGC vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KGC, a gold producer, reported record Q1 2026 free cash flow of $838 million, driving strong annual returns but recent price pullbacks amid market volatility.
- WPM, a precious metals streaming company, expanded its portfolio with a new royalty deal on Spanish Mountain Gold, supporting steady margins over 63%.
- KGC trades at a lower P/E ratio of 12.57 compared to WPM's 38.96, indicating relative value in production amid high gold prices.
- Both stocks show YTD gains around 3-6%, but KGC boasts over 100% one-year return versus WPM's 55%, reflecting differing momentum.
- Streaming model of WPM offers lower operational risk than KGC's mining exposure, influencing relative stability.
Introduction
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) operate in the precious metals sector, with KGC focused on gold mining production and WPM on streaming and royalties. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid elevated gold prices and sector volatility. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye KGC's growth, while long-term investors might prefer WPM's stability. Key metrics like free cash flow, margins, and relative returns provide insights into their appeal in the current environment.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is a global gold mining company with operations in the Americas, West Africa, and Russia, producing gold and silver. In recent market activity, KGC shares have experienced volatility, trading around $29.55 with a 52-week range of $13.28 to $39.11 and market cap near $35 billion. Q1 2026 results highlighted record free cash flow of approximately $838 million and net income of $843 million, alongside shareholder returns and a new share buyback program. Strong gold prices boosted sentiment, though shares dipped post-earnings amid broader sector pressures, with one-year returns exceeding 100%. Operational efficiency and low debt/equity (8.2%) support resilience.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) is a leading precious metals streaming company, providing upfront capital to miners in exchange for future production at fixed prices, primarily silver and gold. Shares recently hovered near $125.84, within a 52-week range of $75.42 to $165.76, with a $57 billion market cap. Recent weeks saw portfolio growth via a royalty financing deal with Spanish Mountain Gold, enhancing gold exposure without operational risks. High profit margins (63.58%) and return on equity (18.45%) underscore efficiency, though shares faced pullbacks in line with sector trends. One-year performance stands at about 56%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KGC and WPM both benefit from gold strength but differ in models: KGC's direct mining exposes it to costs and execution risks, while WPM's streaming yields higher margins with fixed-cost leverage. Growth drivers include KGC's production ramps and FCF for buybacks versus WPM's deal pipeline. Recent momentum favors KGC with superior one-year gains, but WPM shows stability (beta 1.17 vs. 1.37). Risks: operational for KGC, counterparty for WPM. Sentiment tilts toward value in KGC amid its lower valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward KGC based on stronger trend consistency, superior one-year relative performance, attractive P/E valuation, and robust free cash flow catalysts positioning it for upside in a high-gold-price environment. WPM remains compelling for risk-averse positioning with superior margins, but momentum favors KGC probabilistically in near-term market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KGC is a StrongBuy and WPM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KGC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWPM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KGC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KGC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KGC (@Precious Metals) experienced а -3.80% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was -1.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -10.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.77%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-10.56% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| KGC | WPM | KGC / WPM | |
| Capitalization | 31.4B | 55.3B | 57% |
| EBITDA | 5.15B | 2.4B | 215% |
| Gain YTD | -6.360 | 3.893 | -163% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.19 | 30.76 | 36% |
| Revenue | 7.96B | 2.75B | 290% |
| Total Cash | 2.19B | 2.17B | 101% |
| Total Debt | 738M | 7.66M | 9,632% |
KGC | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (28) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (41). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (37). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (43). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (50). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's P/E Growth Rating (80) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (93). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| KGC | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 80% | 8 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 56% |
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WPM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WPM has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WPM jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.