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KMT vs PH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kennametal Inc. (KMT) vs. Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, financial stability, and relative market positioning, the AI currently favors Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) over Kennametal Inc. (KMT).
- KMT has delivered sharp earnings growth tied to tungsten pricing, but its recent results carry elevated working-capital and cash-flow risks that could prove cyclical.
- PH is benefiting from record backlog and strong aerospace demand, supported by a 70-year streak of consecutive annual dividend increases.
- The two companies differ dramatically in scale, with PH carrying a market capitalization roughly 45 times larger than KMT, reflecting very different risk and growth profiles.
- Explore further context on each name: KMT Major News and KMT Today's Price Move, plus PH Major News and PH Today's Price Move.
- For a broader view of AI-driven market signals, explore the curated list of Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to industrial and manufacturing markets often encounter two very different names: KMT, the ticker for Kennametal Inc., a materials-science and tooling specialist, and PH, the ticker for Parker-Hannifin Corporation, a diversified motion-and-control technologies leader. Although both operate in the broader industrials universe, they differ sharply in size, end-market mix, and growth drivers. This stock comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to help traders and long-term investors understand which name may offer a more durable opportunity in the current environment.
KMT Overview and Recent Performance
Kennametal Inc. (KMT) is an industrial technology company with more than 85 years of history, delivering tooling, materials science, and wear-resistant solutions to customers in aerospace and defense, earthworks, energy, general engineering, and transportation. The company serves roughly 100 countries with a workforce of approximately 8,100 employees.
In recent weeks, KMT's financial narrative has been dominated by elevated tungsten costs and the pricing actions taken to offset them. Its most recent fiscal quarter produced sharply higher sales and record adjusted margins, with strong growth in energy, earthworks, and aerospace and defense end markets. However, this surge was heavily influenced by favorable timing between raw-material pricing and costs—a benefit that may not be repeatable. At the same time, free operating cash flow turned negative as higher tungsten-driven inventory values and supplier advances strained working capital. This mixed picture has contributed to a pullback in the share price even as headline earnings beat expectations, underscoring the cyclical and execution-sensitive nature of the KMT story.
PH Overview and Recent Performance
Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) is a global leader in motion and control technologies, serving diversified industrial and aerospace markets. Its portfolio spans hydraulics, filtration, and engineered materials, with aerospace and defense representing its largest market vertical. The company has a market capitalization well above $100 billion and has raised its dividend for 70 consecutive fiscal years.
Recent market activity has favored PH, driven by persistent strength in its Aerospace Systems segment. Commercial OEM (original equipment manufacturer) and aftermarket demand have both advanced, while orders have outpaced shipments and total backlog has reached record levels. Management has raised guidance and pointed to double-digit adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) growth. Strategic acquisitions in aerospace and filtration have broadened the company's longer-cycle, higher-margin mix. While PH's premium valuation and slower organic growth in some industrial segments remain points of debate, the overall trend in orders, backlog, and cash generation has been consistently positive in recent months.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The contrast between these two companies is striking. PH is a large, diversified industrial franchise with meaningful exposure to long-cycle aerospace and defense programs, which tend to provide more predictable revenue streams and have underpinned a record backlog. KMT, by contrast, is a smaller, more cyclical tooling business whose recent profitability has been amplified by commodity pricing dynamics rather than purely organic demand.
On momentum, PH has demonstrated steadier relative performance, with consistent order growth and cash generation. KMT has shown explosive headline growth but with negative free operating cash flow and a share price that has cooled after its advance. On valuation, PH trades at a premium forward price-to-earnings multiple, while KMT screens much cheaper—reflecting the market's assessment that KMT's current earnings power may be partly temporary. In terms of risk, KMT faces raw-material volatility and working-capital strain, whereas PH's primary risks center on valuation and softer pockets of industrial demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, financial stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors PH over KMT. The preference reflects PH's more durable demand signals—record backlog, rising orders, and robust cash flow—versus KMT's reliance on commodity-driven pricing benefits that may be cyclical. While KMT offers a compelling value case and meaningful upside if pricing tailwinds persist, its negative free cash flow and working-capital pressures introduce uncertainty. PH's steadier earnings trajectory and long-standing dividend growth record position it as the more consistent choice under current market conditions, though the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KMT is a Hold and PH is a Buy.
KMT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
KMT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 14, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMT moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.
The 10-day moving average for KMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 61 cases where KMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KMT as a result. In 62 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
KMT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMT advanced for three days, in 194 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
KMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 105 of 179 cases where KMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.495) is normal, around the industry mean (3.237). KMT has a moderately low P/E Ratio (6.842) as compared to the industry average of (22.828). KMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.020). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.976) is also within normal values, averaging (2.217).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.
PH's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for PH moved out of oversold territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 52 cases where PH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +3.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PH advanced for three days, in 240 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
PH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 199 of 321 cases where PH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PH as a result. In 47 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PH turned negative on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 49%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.600) is normal, around the industry mean (4.069). P/E Ratio (32.132) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.908). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.247) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.473) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
KMT | PH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 40 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMT's Valuation (41) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PH (87). This means that KMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than PH’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Industrial Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for KMT (98). This means that PH’s stock grew significantly faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
PH's SMR Rating (38) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as KMT (40). This means that PH’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
PH's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as KMT (60). This means that PH’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
PH's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMT (94). This means that PH’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
| KMT | PH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 64% | 12 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KMT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KMT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KMT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
KMT (@Tools & Hardware) experienced а +3.23% price change this week, while PH (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +2.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +6.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.98%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +0.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.97%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
KMT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
PH is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tools & Hardware (+6.79% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
@Industrial Machinery (+0.31% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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KMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMT has been closely correlated with HLIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMT jumps, then HLIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMT | 100% | +5.57% | ||
| HLIO - KMT | 70% Closely correlated | +2.01% | ||
| MIDD - KMT | 69% Closely correlated | +3.80% | ||
| TNC - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | +3.45% | ||
| SXI - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | +4.14% | ||
| WTS - KMT | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.20% | ||
More | ||||
PH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PH has been closely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PH jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
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