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LTC vs WELL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LTC Properties (LTC) vs. Welltower (WELL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LTC and WELL are healthcare real estate investment trusts (REITs) with significant exposure to senior housing properties.
- LTC offers a higher dividend yield near 5.3% and has seen recent analyst upgrades, supporting its smaller market capitalization of approximately $2.3 billion.
- WELL demonstrates stronger scale with a market capitalization exceeding $165 billion and consistent net operating income (NOI) growth exceeding 20% in its senior housing segment over multiple quarters.
- Recent market activity shows LTC with year-to-date gains around 29%, while WELL has advanced approximately 25% year-to-date amid broader sector recovery.
- Trade-offs include LTC's higher yield and focused portfolio versus WELL's larger operational platform and growth momentum in senior housing.
- Market sentiment remains positive for both amid demographic tailwinds in senior care, with differences in risk profiles tied to portfolio size and operating models.
Introduction
Healthcare real estate investment trusts (REITs) such as LTC and WELL provide investors exposure to the senior housing sector, which benefits from long-term demographic trends. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Institutional and retail investors focused on income generation, sector-specific growth, or diversified real estate portfolios may find this analysis relevant for evaluating trade-offs between scale, yield, and operational exposure.
LTC Overview and Recent Performance
LTC Properties, Inc. operates as a healthcare REIT with a portfolio of nearly 190 properties concentrated in seniors housing communities and skilled nursing centers across the United States. The company employs a mix of triple-net leases, seniors housing operating portfolio (SHOP) structures, and joint ventures. In recent weeks, LTC has traded near $42 to $43 per share, reflecting year-to-date appreciation of approximately 29%. Analyst upgrades from firms including Deutsche Bank and RBC Capital Markets, along with acquisitions such as senior housing communities in Minnesota, have supported sentiment. Performance has been influenced by stable occupancy trends and a dividend yield around 5.3%, though the smaller scale introduces greater concentration risk compared to larger peers.
WELL Overview and Recent Performance
Welltower Inc. is a leading healthcare REIT with a diversified portfolio exceeding 2,500 senior and wellness housing communities in the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada. The company emphasizes operating partnerships and data-driven capital allocation in its senior housing segment. Recent market activity shows WELL trading near $229 per share, with year-to-date gains of about 25% despite a pullback from July highs above $255. Fifteen consecutive quarters of over 20% same-store NOI growth in senior housing have bolstered momentum, though quarterly earnings in July fell slightly short of estimates. The stock's larger market capitalization above $165 billion reflects its scale and broader investor base.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LTC and WELL both target senior housing but differ markedly in scale and execution. WELL maintains a global footprint and operating-company model that supports higher growth in NOI, while LTC relies more on triple-net leases for predictable cash flows and a higher dividend yield. Recent momentum favors WELL on absolute growth metrics and analyst price targets, whereas LTC has recorded stronger percentage year-to-date returns and multiple rating upgrades. Risk factors include LTC's smaller size and potential volatility from operating exposure, contrasted with WELL's higher valuation multiples and sensitivity to broader real estate sentiment. Sector exposure remains aligned, yet WELL offers greater diversification across asset types and geographies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency in senior housing NOI, portfolio stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to WELL for its demonstrated scale and sustained operating momentum. LTC presents a compelling alternative where higher yield and recent analyst support align with income-focused objectives. This assessment draws from verifiable performance differentials and does not constitute investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LTC is a Hold and WELL is a Hold.
LTC | WELL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 9 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LTC's Valuation (15) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is significantly better than the same rating for WELL (94). This means that LTC’s stock grew significantly faster than WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as LTC (24). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to LTC’s over the last 12 months.
LTC's SMR Rating (64) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (86). This means that LTC’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
LTC's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (45). This means that LTC’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LTC (68). This means that WELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than LTC’s over the last 12 months.
| LTC | WELL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 2 days ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LTC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while WELL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LTC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WELL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LTC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WELL’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LTC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WELL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
LTC (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) experienced а +0.14% price change this week, while WELL (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) price change was -1.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Publishing: Books/Magazines industry was -2.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.46%.
Reported Earning Dates
LTC is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
WELL is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Publishing: Books/Magazines (-2.54% weekly)The industry includes companies that publish and market books and magazines/periodicals. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Meredith Corporation and Scholastic Corporation are some of the biggest companies in this industry. Like many other industries, publishing companies have branched out into online/digital publications (while retaining their original print business), to capture the burgeoning market in electronic media. Business could be cyclical in certain cases, since weak consumer sentiment during an economic downturn might depress sales of some magazines and books.
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LTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LTC has been closely correlated with NHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LTC jumps, then NHI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTC | 100% | +0.77% | ||
| NHI - LTC | 76% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| OHI - LTC | 74% Closely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| CTRE - LTC | 69% Closely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| VTR - LTC | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| WELL - LTC | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.34% | ||
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WELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WELL has been closely correlated with VTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WELL jumps, then VTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELL | 100% | -1.43% | ||
| VTR - WELL | 80% Closely correlated | -1.52% | ||
| AHR - WELL | 73% Closely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| OHI - WELL | 67% Closely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| CTRE - WELL | 66% Closely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| LTC - WELL | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.47% | ||
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