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NVDA vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NVDA boasts a massive market cap of $4.78 trillion and TTM revenue of $216 billion, dwarfing NVMI's $16 billion cap and $881 million revenue.
- NVMI has delivered superior YTD performance at 57% versus NVDA's 5.4%, and 163% over one year compared to 73%.
- Both stocks operate in the semiconductor space, with NVDA leading AI infrastructure and NVMI specializing in metrology (precision measurement) solutions for chip manufacturing.
- NVDA trades at a lower trailing P/E of 40 versus NVMI's 65, reflecting its scale but also higher growth expectations.
- Recent market activity shows volatility in chips, with NVMI gaining momentum from metrology demand amid advanced node production.
- Tickeron's AI robots highlight semiconductor strategies with up to 169% annualized returns, underscoring sector strength.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits NVDA, a dominant force in AI chips and data center infrastructure, against NVMI, a precision metrology provider essential for semiconductor fabrication. Both benefit from surging demand for advanced chips in AI, gaming, and high-performance computing. Traders seeking exposure to semiconductor growth, investors eyeing relative performance in volatile markets, and those tracking AI ecosystem plays will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and valuation trade-offs. In recent market activity, sector tailwinds like AI infrastructure buildout have driven contrasts in scale, growth rates, and risk profiles.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a leading AI infrastructure company, designing graphics processing units (GPUs) and platforms for data centers, gaming, professional visualization, and automotive applications. Its Compute & Networking and Graphics segments power accelerated computing for AI training and inference. In recent weeks, NVDA shares have navigated volatility, closing around $196.50 amid broader chip sector pressures but rebounding in pre-market trading. Year-to-date gains stand at 5.4%, with 73% over the past year, supported by 73% quarterly revenue growth (yoy) to $216 billion TTM. Sentiment reflects robust AI demand from cloud providers, offset by concerns over U.S. export curbs to China and peer competition, yet analyst targets average $269, signaling upside potential.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. (NVMI), based in Israel, develops metrology and process control systems for semiconductor manufacturing, offering dimensional, materials, and chemical measurement platforms critical for lithography, etch, deposition, and advanced packaging steps. Serving logic, foundry, memory, and packaging sectors, it ensures yield optimization in advanced nodes. Recent market activity has propelled NVMI shares to around $516, up 4.75% in the latest session, with YTD returns of 57% and 163% over one year far outpacing benchmarks. TTM revenue reached $881 million, with 14% quarterly growth (yoy), driven by metrology demand in AI chip production. Positive analyst initiations, like Barclays' Overweight at $465, bolster sentiment amid upcoming Q1 results.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NVDA and NVMI both thrive in semiconductors but diverge sharply in scale and role: NVDA's fabless design of AI GPUs contrasts NVMI's niche metrology tools enabling precise fab processes. Growth drivers differ—NVDA leverages explosive data center demand (73% quarterly revenue growth), while NVMI rides advanced packaging and node shrinks (14% growth, 29% margins). Recent momentum favors NVMI with stronger YTD/1Y returns, but NVDA offers stability via its $4.8T cap versus $16B. Risk factors include NVDA's beta of 2.24 and China exposure, against NVMI's 1.78 beta but smaller liquidity. Sector exposure ties both to AI, yet NVDA dominates end-market sentiment, trading at lower P/E (40 vs. 65) and superior ROE (101% vs. 23%). Trade-offs: NVDA for scale and catalysts, NVMI for relative outperformance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward NVDA in the current environment, citing its unmatched trend consistency in AI infrastructure, superior revenue scale ($216B TTM), and catalysts like hyperscale cloud partnerships amid 73% growth. While NVMI shows stronger short-term momentum, NVDA's positioning offers higher probability of sustained upside, balanced by lower forward P/E and dominant market share.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NVDA is a StrongBuy and NVMI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NVDA’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNVMI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NVDA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NVDA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NVDA (@Semiconductors) experienced а +10.56% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +6.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +8.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +47.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +78.48%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +29.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +138.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+8.41% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.17% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| NVDA | NVMI | NVDA / NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 5.33T | 16.7B | 31,928% |
| EBITDA | 145B | 276M | 52,536% |
| Gain YTD | 17.669 | 60.191 | 29% |
| P/E Ratio | 44.78 | 66.09 | 68% |
| Revenue | 216B | 881M | 24,518% |
| Total Cash | 62.6B | 1.05B | 5,968% |
| Total Debt | 11B | 799M | 1,377% |
NVDA | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 13 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (74) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (81) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (8) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVMI (41) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (16) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVMI (37) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (42) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| NVDA | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 67% | 9 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 73% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DEEF | 39.94 | 0.31 | +0.78% |
| Xtrackers FTSE Develop ex US Mulfact ETF | |||
| NVOH | 25.23 | 0.14 | +0.54% |
| NOVO NORDISK A/S (B SHARES) ADRHEDGED | |||
| HEQT | 33.18 | 0.01 | +0.03% |
| Simplify Hedged Equity ETF | |||
| VGMS | 51.24 | -0.10 | -0.19% |
| Vanguard Multi-Sector Income Bond ETF | |||
| TLTW | 22.20 | -0.13 | -0.58% |
| iShares 20+ Year Trs Bd Buywrt Stgy ETF | |||
NVMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVMI has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVMI jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVMI | 100% | +0.94% | ||
| LRCX - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | +0.68% | ||
| KLAC - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| CAMT - NVMI | 76% Closely correlated | +1.03% | ||
| AMAT - NVMI | 74% Closely correlated | +1.88% | ||
| ASML - NVMI | 69% Closely correlated | -1.65% | ||
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