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ODFL vs WERN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) vs. Werner Enterprises (WERN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ODFL has delivered robust year-to-date gains of over 41%, significantly outpacing WERN's approximately 15% rise, reflecting stronger momentum in less-than-truckload (LTL) freight.
- ODFL boasts a market capitalization exceeding $46 billion, dwarfing WERN's $2 billion, underscoring its dominant position in the trucking sector.
- Recent analyst sentiment favors ODFL ahead of earnings, with expectations of beats driven by pricing strength and freight recovery.
- WERN faces challenges from weak demand but shows intermodal expansion potential amid restructuring efforts.
- Both stocks benefit from improving trucking rates, though ODFL's premium service model provides better margin resilience.
- Valuation concerns linger for ODFL's high PE ratio, while WERN trades at a discount but with negative EPS.
Introduction
In the competitive trucking and freight sector, ODFL and WERN represent contrasting approaches to logistics: premium LTL services versus diversified truckload and intermodal operations. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance trends, and sector dynamics. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing value in transportation may find insights here, particularly amid freight demand recovery and upcoming earnings catalysts. Understanding relative strengths helps navigate volatility in this cyclical industry.
ODFL Overview and Recent Performance
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) operates as a leading less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier, emphasizing high-service regional and national freight in North America. In recent market activity, ODFL shares have surged, trading near 222 USD within a 52-week range of 126-227 USD, with year-to-date gains exceeding 41%. This momentum stems from resilient pricing power and volume stabilization despite softer freight demand earlier in the period. Analysts highlight ODFL's operational efficiency and expect earnings beats, fueled by sector recovery signals like rising trucking rates. Sentiment has shifted positively, though elevated valuation—PE ratio around 46—prompts caution on overbought risks.
WERN Overview and Recent Performance
Werner Enterprises (WERN) provides truckload, intermodal, and logistics services across North America. Shares recently hovered around 34 USD in a 52-week range of 23-38 USD, posting year-to-date advances of about 15%. Performance reflects mixed results, including Q4 revenue declines amid weak demand, but offset by restructuring and intermodal growth, such as expanded Mexico trailer fleets. Negative EPS underscores profitability pressures, yet stock rebounds signal optimism for demand uptick. Recent weeks show relative stability versus broader sector dips, with focus on cost controls influencing trader sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ODFL's premium LTL model prioritizes density and service quality for superior margins, contrasting WERN's broader truckload and intermodal exposure, which offers diversification but higher volume sensitivity. Growth drivers differ: ODFL leverages pricing discipline amid freight recovery, while WERN pursues intermodal expansion to counter truckload weakness. Recent momentum favors ODFL's consistent uptrend versus WERN's choppier path post-earnings misses. Risk factors include ODFL's rich valuation (PE ~46) versus WERN's negative earnings, amplifying cyclical downturn vulnerability. Both share sector exposure to trucking rates and demand, but ODFL commands stronger market sentiment and institutional preference in relative performance metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward ODFL for its superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and positive catalysts like anticipated earnings strength. WERN trails in stability and profitability metrics, though its value positioning could appeal in downturns. This probabilistic edge reflects observable momentum and sector leadership, not a guaranteed outcome.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ODFL is a Hold and WERN is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ODFL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWERN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ODFL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WERN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ODFL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WERN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ODFL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WERN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ODFL (@Trucking) experienced а -1.12% price change this week, while WERN (@Trucking) price change was +2.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -2.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +47.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
ODFL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
WERN is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-2.00% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| ODFL | WERN | ODFL / WERN | |
| Capitalization | 45.3B | 2.59B | 1,749% |
| EBITDA | 1.71B | 325M | 526% |
| Gain YTD | 39.177 | 45.242 | 87% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.83 | 92.41 | 50% |
| Revenue | 5.46B | 3.07B | 178% |
| Total Cash | 288M | 61.5M | 468% |
| Total Debt | 40M | 1.04B | 4% |
ODFL | WERN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 97 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 38 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WERN's Valuation (37) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ODFL (93). This means that WERN’s stock grew somewhat faster than ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WERN (97). This means that ODFL’s stock grew somewhat faster than WERN’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's SMR Rating (41) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WERN (92). This means that ODFL’s stock grew somewhat faster than WERN’s over the last 12 months.
WERN's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (46). This means that WERN’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
WERN's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (18). This means that WERN’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
| ODFL | WERN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 5 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 62% | 5 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 71% | 11 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 21 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 62% | 5 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 71% | 5 days ago 51% |
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ODFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ODFL has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ODFL jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ODFL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | 100% | -0.14% | ||
| SAIA - ODFL | 83% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| ARCB - ODFL | 82% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| MRTN - ODFL | 75% Closely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| WERN - ODFL | 69% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| HTLD - ODFL | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
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WERN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WERN has been closely correlated with SNDR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WERN jumps, then SNDR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WERN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WERN | 100% | -1.41% | ||
| SNDR - WERN | 83% Closely correlated | -1.65% | ||
| MRTN - WERN | 74% Closely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| HTLD - WERN | 74% Closely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| CVLG - WERN | 73% Closely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| SAIA - WERN | 73% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
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