QTEC
Price
$299.41
Change
-$11.07 (-3.57%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
4.47B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SMH
Price
$523.35
Change
-$33.35 (-5.99%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
66.97B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
Interact to see
Advertisement

QTEC vs SMH

QTEC vs SMH Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index Fund (QTEC) vs. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

Key Takeaways

  • QTEC tracks an equal-weighted index of NASDAQ-100 technology companies, offering broader exposure across software, hardware, and related services with approximately 48 holdings and a 0.55% expense ratio.
  • SMH tracks a market-cap-weighted index of 25 leading U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, delivering concentrated exposure to chipmakers and equipment providers with a lower 0.35% expense ratio.
  • QTEC provides greater diversification within the technology sector, while SMH emphasizes pure-play semiconductor leadership, resulting in higher concentration risk but potentially stronger alignment with semiconductor-specific demand cycles.
  • Both ETFs are passively managed and target growth-oriented technology themes, yet SMH’s narrower focus typically exhibits greater volatility tied to semiconductor earnings and supply-chain dynamics.
  • Structural differences in weighting methodology and sector breadth position QTEC as a tactical technology allocation and SMH as a specialized semiconductor bet within investor portfolios.

Introduction

Investors seeking technology exposure often evaluate specialized ETFs to capture sector growth while managing risk. QTEC and SMH both target high-growth technology areas but follow distinct strategies: one emphasizes broad technology participation within the NASDAQ-100, while the other concentrates on semiconductor leaders. These ETFs serve as complementary or alternative tools for investors aiming to tilt portfolios toward innovation-driven themes without overlapping directly in holdings or objectives.

First Trust NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index Fund (QTEC) Overview

QTEC is a passively managed ETF that seeks to replicate the NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index. The index selects technology-classified securities from the NASDAQ-100 and applies equal weighting, resulting in approximately 48 holdings. Top positions typically include companies such as Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Marvell Technology Inc., and Meta Platforms Inc., each representing roughly 2-3% of assets. Sector allocations center on information technology with meaningful exposure to communication services. The fund carries a 0.55% expense ratio and rebalances periodically to maintain equal weights, promoting balanced representation across holdings.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

SMH is a passively managed ETF designed to track the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index. The index comprises the 25 largest, most liquid U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, with market-cap weighting. Holdings number around 25-26, featuring heavy allocations to leaders such as NVIDIA Corp. (often exceeding 15-20% of assets), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. ADR, and Broadcom Inc. The fund maintains a 0.35% expense ratio and focuses exclusively on semiconductor production and equipment, resulting in high concentration within the electronic technology segment.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The semiconductor and broader technology sectors continue to benefit from sustained demand for artificial intelligence, data center expansion, and advanced computing. Macroeconomic factors including interest rate expectations, global supply chain resilience, and capital expenditure cycles influence both ETFs. Regulatory developments around export controls on advanced chips and geopolitical tensions affecting Taiwan and other key regions represent ongoing considerations. Capital flows into semiconductor infrastructure have supported thematic momentum, while broader technology valuations remain sensitive to earnings growth and competitive positioning among leading firms.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, SMH’s concentrated semiconductor focus has aligned closely with AI-driven demand, often producing more pronounced moves during chip-cycle upswings. QTEC’s equal-weighted, broader technology approach has provided smoother exposure across software and diversified hardware names, potentially moderating volatility relative to pure semiconductor plays. Relative positioning reflects differing sensitivities: SMH responds more directly to semiconductor-specific earnings and inventory trends, while QTEC captures a wider array of technology growth drivers. Liquidity profiles favor SMH due to higher average daily volume.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Visit the AI Screener to explore current opportunities across technology and semiconductor themes.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural characteristics, cost efficiency, and alignment with prevailing semiconductor momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable relative positioning to SMH. Its lower expense ratio, concentrated exposure to high-growth semiconductor leaders, and established liquidity profile support this assessment within a thematic technology allocation framework. Investors should evaluate both ETFs against individual risk tolerance and portfolio objectives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
QTEC vs. SMH commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is QTEC is a StrongBuy and SMH is a Hold.

Interact to see
Advertisement
SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for QTEC with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

QTEC's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 8 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QTEC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +1.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QTEC advanced for three days, in 310 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

QTEC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 263 of 295 cases where QTEC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QTEC as a result. In 79 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QTEC turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 47 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

QTEC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for QTEC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QTEC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SMH sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

SMH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 71 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 18 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SMH's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 316 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
QTECSMH
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 18 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
QTEC
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SMH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement

QTEC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QTEC has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QTEC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To QTEC
1D Price
Change %
QTEC100%
-3.57%
LRCX - QTEC
77%
Closely correlated
-11.76%
AMAT - QTEC
73%
Closely correlated
-8.16%
KLAC - QTEC
73%
Closely correlated
-9.55%
MU - QTEC
72%
Closely correlated
-6.26%
SWKS - QTEC
72%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
More
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
ETFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
JOBX4.320.11
+2.61%
Tradr 2X Long JOBY Daily ETF (JOBX)
RSPM39.340.41
+1.05%
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Materials ETF (RSPM)
EVTR49.170.40
+0.82%
Eaton Vance Total Return Bond ETF (EVTR)
XAPR38.69-0.11
-0.29%
FT Vest U.S. Equity Enhance & Moderate Buffer ETF - April (XAPR)
EMD9.23-0.08
-0.86%
Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund