Investors seeking technology exposure often evaluate First Trust NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index Fund (QTEC) and iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) as complementary yet differentiated options. These ETFs do not compete directly but instead provide alternative pathways within the broader technology landscape: one emphasizing a technology subset of the NASDAQ-100 and the other targeting the semiconductor value chain. In the current environment of sustained demand for advanced computing, artificial intelligence infrastructure, and digital transformation, understanding their structural distinctions helps investors align allocations with specific risk tolerances and thematic preferences.
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index Fund (QTEC) tracks the NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index, selecting technology companies from the broader NASDAQ-100. The fund maintains approximately 48 holdings with a rules-based, market-capitalization-weighted approach and quarterly rebalancing. Top positions typically include companies such as Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Intel Corporation, Marvell Technology, Inc., and Meta Platforms, Inc., each representing roughly 2.5%–2.7% of assets. Sector allocations center on information technology (approximately 84%) with smaller allocations to communication services and consumer discretionary. The expense ratio is 0.55%. As a passive, rules-based equity ETF, QTEC delivers diversified exposure to large-cap technology firms without leverage or active management.
iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) seeks to track the NYSE Semiconductor Index, providing targeted exposure to U.S.-listed semiconductor companies across design, manufacturing, and equipment segments. The fund holds approximately 30–34 securities with market-capitalization weighting and quarterly rebalancing. Top holdings often include Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Intel Corporation, Micron Technology, Inc., NVIDIA Corporation, and Broadcom Inc., with individual weights frequently exceeding 6%–9%. Nearly all assets reside in information technology, specifically semiconductors and semiconductor equipment. The expense ratio is 0.33%–0.34%. SOXX operates as a passive index-tracking ETF focused exclusively on the semiconductor industry.
The semiconductor and broader technology sectors continue to benefit from structural demand drivers including artificial intelligence training and inference workloads, data center expansion, automotive electrification, and 5G/edge computing adoption. Capital expenditure by hyperscale cloud providers and chip designers remains elevated, supporting equipment and memory segments. Supply-chain normalization and geopolitical considerations around export controls and onshoring initiatives introduce ongoing variables. Regulatory developments in export policy and domestic manufacturing incentives continue to shape investment flows into both semiconductor manufacturing and related technology infrastructure.
In recent market cycles, SOXX has demonstrated higher volatility and stronger sensitivity to semiconductor earnings seasons and capacity utilization trends due to its concentrated holdings. QTEC has exhibited comparatively moderated movements, reflecting its broader technology exposure that includes software and services companies less directly tied to fabrication cycles. During periods of semiconductor strength driven by memory or logic demand, SOXX has tended to outperform on a relative basis, while QTEC has provided ballast when software or internet segments led rotations. Both ETFs respond to interest-rate expectations and growth sentiment, yet SOXX’s narrower focus amplifies exposure to chip-cycle inflection points.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on ETFs such as QTEC and SOXX may find the platform useful for refining screening criteria.
Based on observable structural factors including lower expense ratio, higher liquidity, concentrated semiconductor momentum, and alignment with current capital expenditure trends, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favor to iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) for investors prioritizing pure-play sector exposure and cost efficiency, while acknowledging that First Trust NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index Fund (QTEC) may suit portfolios seeking broader technology diversification.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The 10-day moving average for QTEC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QTEC as a result. In 82 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QTEC turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
QTEC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QTEC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for QTEC entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QTEC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 52 of 57 cases where QTEC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +5.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QTEC advanced for three days, in 307 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
QTEC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator for SOXX entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 136 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 120 of the 136 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 88%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOXX as a result. In 73 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SOXX turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
SOXX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SOXX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SOXX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 52 cases where SOXX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +11.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXX advanced for three days, in 311 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
SOXX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
| QTEC | SOXX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 89% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 7 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 88% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QTEC has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QTEC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QTEC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QTEC | 100% | +3.82% | ||
| LRCX - QTEC | 79% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| AMAT - QTEC | 76% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| AMD - QTEC | 76% Closely correlated | +7.32% | ||
| MU - QTEC | 75% Closely correlated | +11.89% | ||
| KLAC - QTEC | 75% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SOXX has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SOXX jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SOXX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOXX | 100% | +6.01% | ||
| LRCX - SOXX | 90% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| AMAT - SOXX | 88% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| KLAC - SOXX | 86% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| ASML - SOXX | 85% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| ENTG - SOXX | 84% Closely correlated | +11.29% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
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| Defiance Pure Space Daily 2X Strategy ETF (SPCL) | |||
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| Neuberger Disrupters ETF (NBDS) | |||
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| State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) | |||
| MMU | 9.46 | 0.02 | +0.21% |
| Western Asset Managed Municipals Fund | |||
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| Proshares Ultrashort Semiconductors (SSG) | |||