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RPM vs SHW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? RPM International (RPM) vs. The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- RPM and SHW operate in the specialty coatings and paints sector, with SHW holding a significantly larger market capitalization and global retail presence.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks trailing the broader S&P 500 year-to-date, reflecting sector-specific pressures amid economic uncertainty.
- RPM reported record fiscal 2026 results in July, including sales growth and higher adjusted earnings, supporting relative stability in recent weeks.
- SHW demonstrated solid first-quarter performance earlier in the year and maintains reaffirmed full-year guidance ahead of its upcoming earnings release.
- Valuation and scale differences highlight SHW’s premium positioning versus RPM’s more focused specialty segments and acquisition-driven growth.
- Sector exposure to construction, industrial, and consumer markets creates similar cyclical sensitivities, though differing business models influence relative momentum.
Introduction
This comparison examines RPM International Inc. and The Sherwin-Williams Company, two established players in the paints and coatings industry. Both companies serve overlapping end markets including construction, industrial applications, and consumer products, making them relevant benchmarks for investors tracking materials sector performance. Professional traders and portfolio managers evaluating relative value, momentum, or sector allocation within specialty chemicals may find the analysis useful for assessing positioning amid current market conditions. The review draws on verifiable recent developments to highlight contrasts in scale, performance drivers, and market sentiment without forward-looking speculation.
RPM Overview and Recent Performance
RPM International Inc. is a multinational provider of specialty coatings, sealants, building materials, and related services across construction, performance coatings, and consumer segments. In recent market activity, shares have traded in a range near the lower end of the 52-week span, with prices fluctuating around the $104–$108 level amid broader market volatility. Sentiment received support from the company’s July announcement of record fiscal 2026 results, featuring net sales of approximately $7.86 billion, up 6.7% year-over-year, and record adjusted diluted earnings per share. These outcomes reflected contributions from acquisitions and segment-level growth, contributing to measured price stability in the weeks following the release despite the stock remaining below its longer-term moving averages.
SHW Overview and Recent Performance
The Sherwin-Williams Company is a leading global manufacturer and distributor of paints, coatings, and related products, operating through an extensive network of company-owned stores and serving professional, industrial, and retail customers. In recent market activity, shares have hovered in the $310–$330 range following a pullback from earlier summer levels, with the stock closing near $317 in late July. Performance has been influenced by prior-quarter results showing sales growth and earnings expansion, alongside maintained full-year guidance. The company approaches its next earnings report with expectations focused on sequential trends, while the share price has remained below the 200-day moving average amid sector headwinds and general market rotation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
RPM and SHW share exposure to coatings demand tied to construction and industrial activity, yet differ markedly in scale and distribution. SHW operates a far larger retail footprint and commands greater market capitalization, supporting broader brand reach but also higher fixed costs. RPM emphasizes specialty segments and acquisitions for growth, contributing to recent record results that contrast with SHW’s steadier but more mature profile. Recent momentum favors RPM following its fiscal-year earnings release, while SHW contends with pre-earnings positioning. Risk factors for both include cyclical sensitivity to housing and manufacturing trends; SHW’s size may provide resilience, whereas RPM’s agility in niches offers potential offsets. Market sentiment reflects cautious sector rotation, with neither stock outperforming the broader index in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term trend continuation to RPM, driven by its documented record fiscal results and segment performance. SHW maintains solid fundamentals but faces uncertainty around its imminent quarterly update. This assessment reflects probabilistic evaluation of trend stability and catalysts rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RPM is a StrongBuy and SHW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RPM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSHW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- RPM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SHW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RPM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHW’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
RPM (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +0.87% price change this week, while SHW (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +7.49% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
RPM is expected to report earnings on Oct 07, 2026.
SHW is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.83% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| RPM | SHW | RPM / SHW | |
| Capitalization | 13.8B | 83.7B | 16% |
| EBITDA | 1.15B | 4.56B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 5.800 | 6.636 | 87% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.86 | 31.81 | 66% |
| Revenue | 7.71B | 23.9B | 32% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 217M | - |
| Total Debt | 2.9B | 13.8B | 21% |
RPM | SHW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 34 Fair valued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 42 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RPM's Valuation (34) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHW (90). This means that RPM’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHW’s over the last 12 months.
RPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (63) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SHW (65). This means that RPM’s stock grew similarly to SHW’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's SMR Rating (19) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as RPM (42). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to RPM’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as RPM (51). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to RPM’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as RPM (58). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to RPM’s over the last 12 months.
| RPM | SHW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 57% | 10 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 50% |
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RPM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RPM has been closely correlated with PPG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RPM jumps, then PPG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RPM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPM | 100% | -3.04% | ||
| PPG - RPM | 76% Closely correlated | -6.03% | ||
| SHW - RPM | 75% Closely correlated | -2.93% | ||
| FUL - RPM | 70% Closely correlated | -2.36% | ||
| AVNT - RPM | 66% Closely correlated | -3.28% | ||
| AXTA - RPM | 66% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
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SHW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHW has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHW jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHW | 100% | -2.93% | ||
| RPM - SHW | 74% Closely correlated | -3.04% | ||
| PPG - SHW | 71% Closely correlated | -6.03% | ||
| AXTA - SHW | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.72% | ||
| AVNT - SHW | 64% Loosely correlated | -3.28% | ||
| FUL - SHW | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.36% | ||
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