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RPM vs SHW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? RPM International (RPM) vs. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- RPM International (RPM) leans into construction, infrastructure, and specialty chemicals, while Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is anchored by its dominant architectural paint store network.
- RPM has faced near-term margin pressure from softening do-it-yourself (DIY) demand and restructuring costs, whereas SHW has leaned on pricing power and market share gains.
- SHW trades at a premium valuation relative to RPM, reflecting its scale and pricing discipline, but RPM offers a lower forward multiple and a 52-year dividend growth streak.
- Analyst sentiment has recently turned more constructive on RPM, while SHW's outlook hinges on muted end-market demand recovery.
- Both companies compete in overlapping coatings markets but diverge sharply in business mix, growth drivers, and market positioning.
Introduction
Investors comparing RPM and SHW are weighing two of North America's most established coatings and specialty chemical franchises. While both serve construction and industrial customers, they occupy different positions in the value chain and trade on different growth narratives. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors and traders evaluating relative performance, sector exposure, and risk within the paints, coatings, and building materials space. By examining recent market activity, earnings trends, and strategic developments, readers can better understand how these two companies differ in market positioning and what factors are currently shaping sentiment toward each.
RPM Overview and Recent Performance
RPM International Inc. manufactures and sells specialty coatings, sealants, building materials, and related services through its Construction Products Group, Performance Coatings Group, and Consumer Group. The company recently simplified its reporting structure from four segments to three as part of an ongoing reorganization.
In recent weeks, RPM's shares have been pressured by softening DIY demand and higher selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses tied to growth investments and facility consolidations. Its most recent fiscal quarter showed year-over-year sales growth, but adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) declined as costs outpaced revenue gains. Management has pointed to its MAP 3.0 efficiency initiative and improving infrastructure exposure as paths to margin recovery.
Sentiment has nonetheless brightened among some analysts, with at least one major firm upgrading the stock in recent weeks, citing infrastructure demand, a low valuation, and the company's long history of consecutive annual dividend increases. RPM remains more exposed to construction and infrastructure markets than many paint peers, a positioning that could support growth if non-residential building activity strengthens.
SHW Overview and Recent Performance
SHW, The Sherwin-Williams Company, is one of the world's largest paint and coatings manufacturers, organized around its Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. Its competitive strength lies in a controlled distribution network of company-owned stores serving professional painters.
Recent market activity has favored SHW's relative stability and pricing power. The company implemented targeted price increases and reported high-single-digit sales growth in its most recent quarter, supported by new account wins, share gains, and contributions from the Suvinil acquisition in Latin America. Adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) both rose, and management raised its full-year profit outlook even while cautioning that broad-based demand recovery remains limited.
Unlike RPM, SHW has leaned heavily on pricing discipline and store productivity to offset soft end markets such as new residential construction. Its Protective & Marine business has delivered consistent growth, driven by data centers, semiconductor infrastructure, and manufacturing reshoring. However, SHW's premium valuation reflects investor expectations that these execution advantages will persist.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The sharpest contrast between RPM and SHW lies in business mix and valuation. RPM is a diversified specialty chemical and building products company with meaningful infrastructure and construction exposure, while SHW is a more concentrated architectural paint leader with a proprietary retail store network.
- Growth drivers: RPM leans on infrastructure demand, acquisitions, and its MAP 3.0 cost program; SHW leans on pricing, store productivity, and share gains in Protective & Marine and commercial segments.
- Recent momentum: SHW has demonstrated steadier earnings execution, raising guidance, while RPM has navigated margin compression and softer DIY trends.
- Risk factors: RPM faces near-term cost inflation from restructuring and SG&A investments; SHW faces a premium multiple and persistent weakness in new residential demand.
- Valuation and sentiment: RPM trades at a lower forward earnings multiple and has attracted recent analyst upgrades, while SHW commands a premium valuation justified by its pricing power and market position.
Ultimately, RPM offers a lower-priced, value-oriented profile with dividend consistency, whereas SHW offers premium quality, scale, and pricing discipline at a higher valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, pricing power, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward SHW in the current environment. SHW has demonstrated steadier relative performance, raised its profit outlook, and shown the ability to generate growth through pricing and share gains even amid muted demand. RPM, by contrast, presents a potentially attractive value case with recent analyst upgrades and infrastructure exposure, but its near-term margin pressure and softer DIY segment introduce greater uncertainty. A data-driven model would likely favor SHW's more consistent trend and stability, while acknowledging RPM's positioning as a catalyst-dependent turnaround candidate.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RPM is a StrongBuy and SHW is a Buy.
RPM's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RPM turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where RPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RPM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RPM as a result. In 43 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +1.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RPM advanced for three days, in 165 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
RPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for RPM moved below the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RPM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Aroon Indicator for RPM entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RPM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.834) is normal, around the industry mean (2.342). P/E Ratio (19.168) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.663) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.619) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
SHW in +3.96% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 15, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SHW advanced for three days, in 171 of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHW as a result. In 40 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHW just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
SHW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
SHW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SHW entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SHW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: SHW's P/B Ratio (20.884) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.342). P/E Ratio (30.312) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.143) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.266) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
RPM | SHW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 37 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RPM's Valuation (76) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SHW (100). This means that RPM’s stock grew similarly to SHW’s over the last 12 months.
RPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SHW (74). This means that RPM’s stock grew similarly to SHW’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's SMR Rating (18) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as RPM (45). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to RPM’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as RPM (50). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to RPM’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as RPM (51). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to RPM’s over the last 12 months.
| RPM | SHW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 57% | 6 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 45% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RPM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SHW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- RPM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SHW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RPM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHW’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
RPM (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +1.71% price change this week, while SHW (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +3.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -1.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
RPM is expected to report earnings on Jan 06, 2027.
SHW is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-1.78% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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RPM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RPM has been closely correlated with PPG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RPM jumps, then PPG could also see price increases.
SHW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHW has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHW jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.