SPTM
Price
$89.44
Change
+$0.56 (+0.63%)
Updated
Nov 6, 03:28 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
14.26B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SPY
Price
$735.44
Change
+$2.44 (+0.33%)
Updated
Nov 6, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
811.55B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SPTM vs SPY

SPTM vs SPY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 30, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF (SPTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

Key Takeaways

  • SPTM tracks the S&P Composite 1500 Index, giving exposure to large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. stocks across roughly 1,500 holdings, while SPY tracks the S&P 500 Index and holds approximately 500 large-cap names.
  • SPTM carries a materially lower expense ratio of 0.03%, compared with 0.0945% for SPY — a meaningful structural cost advantage over long holding periods.
  • SPY is the most liquid and heavily traded ETF in the world, with assets under management (AUM, the total value of fund assets) in the hundreds of billions of dollars and an exceptionally deep options market; SPTM is smaller but still highly liquid.
  • Both funds are top-heavy in mega-cap technology, but SPTM's mid- and small-cap sleeve makes it slightly less concentrated in its largest holdings than SPY.
  • Structurally, SPY is organized as a Unit Investment Trust (UIT, a fixed portfolio structure that cannot reinvest dividends or lend securities), while SPTM is a conventional open-ended fund that can do both.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: SPTM — its lower cost, broader diversification, and more efficient fund structure give it the durable edge for long-term, buy-and-hold investors.

Introduction

Two funds from the same issuer, State Street, offer different answers to the same question: how broadly should an investor own the U.S. equity market? SPY, the iconic S&P 500 tracker launched in 1993, has become the default instrument for institutions and traders seeking large-cap exposure and unmatched liquidity. SPTM, by contrast, extends that exposure across the S&P Composite 1500, folding in mid-cap and small-cap companies at a fraction of the cost. They do not compete as identical products; rather, they represent competing philosophies of diversification, cost, and structural efficiency. With market-cap concentration in a handful of mega-cap names near historic highs, this ETF comparison is especially relevant for investors evaluating sector exposure and relative positioning today.

SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF (SPTM) Overview

SPTM is a passively managed, index-based ETF that seeks to track the S&P Composite 1500 Index, which combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the S&P SmallCap 600. This float-adjusted, market-capitalization-weighted benchmark represents roughly 90% of the investable U.S. equity market, giving the fund approximately 1,500 holdings spanning large-, mid-, and small-cap segments.

The portfolio is anchored by the same mega-cap leaders that dominate the broader market. Top holdings include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, META, TSLA, and BRK.B. Information technology is the largest sector allocation, followed by financials and communication services. The expense ratio is just 0.03%, among the lowest in the industry. As an open-ended fund, SPTM can reinvest dividends and lend securities, enhancing its operational efficiency.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Overview

SPY is the original exchange-traded fund, launched in January 1993, and remains the largest and most liquid ETF in the world, with AUM in the hundreds of billions of dollars. It seeks to track the S&P 500 Index, a benchmark of approximately 500 large-cap U.S. companies selected by the S&P Index Committee and weighted by float-adjusted market capitalization.

Its top holdings mirror the mega-cap technology complex: NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, META, and TSLA, with information technology representing roughly 40% of the portfolio. The expense ratio is 0.0945%. Notably, SPY is structured as a Unit Investment Trust (UIT), meaning it cannot reinvest dividends between distributions or lend securities — a legacy constraint that creates a slight cash drag relative to open-ended funds. This structure is offset by SPY's unparalleled liquidity and its deep, highly active options market.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the same macro environment: a U.S. equity market whose performance has become increasingly concentrated in a small group of mega-cap technology and artificial intelligence-related names. Semiconductor and software leaders have driven a disproportionate share of index returns across recent market cycles, lifting the information technology weight in both funds to record territory. Interest rate expectations, Federal Reserve policy, and corporate earnings from the largest constituents are therefore the dominant drivers of sector exposure and fund performance for both vehicles.

Regulatory scrutiny of large technology platforms, geopolitical tensions affecting semiconductor supply chains, and shifting capital flows between growth and value segments all represent sector risks. For investors, the central question is whether to accept pure large-cap concentration through SPY or to dilute it modestly with the mid- and small-cap sleeve embedded in SPTM.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and recent market cycles, the two funds have moved in close lockstep because their largest holdings are nearly identical and market-cap weighting concentrates returns in the same mega-cap names. SPY, with its higher concentration in large-cap technology, tends to amplify upside when the sector rallies and to feel more downside pressure when those names correct. SPTM's inclusion of mid- and small-cap stocks historically provides a modest cushion during rotations away from mega-cap leadership, while its lower expense ratio compounds into a small but persistent return advantage over time.

In terms of relative positioning, SPY remains the preferred tool for traders, institutions, and anyone requiring deep liquidity, tight bid-ask spreads, and robust options strategies. SPTM is better suited to long-horizon investors seeking the broadest possible U.S. equity coverage at minimal cost. Volatility differences are generally narrow, but SPY's heavier large-cap tilt and concentration in its top ten holdings make it marginally more sensitive to mega-cap earnings cycles.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to identify trade ideas, trending stocks, and breakout candidates more efficiently than manual screening, supporting faster and more systematic decision-making. Explore the AI Screener to apply data-driven filters to your own ETF comparison.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor SPTM. Its 0.03% expense ratio versus SPY's 0.0945% provides a clear, compounding cost advantage, while its roughly 1,500 holdings deliver broader diversification and slightly lower concentration in mega-cap names. The open-ended fund structure allows dividend reinvestment and securities lending, removing the structural inefficiencies inherent in SPY's UIT design. SPY retains a decisive edge in liquidity, options depth, and institutional familiarity, which may make it preferable for active traders. However, for the long-term investor prioritizing cost efficiency, diversification, and structural strength, SPTM represents the more durable choice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SPTM vs. SPY commentary
Nov 06, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPTM is a Hold and SPY is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPTM with price predictions
Nov 05, 2026

SPTM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

SPTM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 38 cases where SPTM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 45 cases where SPTM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPTM advanced for three days, in 284 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPTM as a result. In 56 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPTM turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.

SPTM moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPTM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPTM entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPY with price predictions
Nov 05, 2026

SPY in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 35 of 39 cases where SPY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 291 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In 57 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SPTMSPY
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
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SPTM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPTM has been loosely correlated with AVGO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPTM jumps, then AVGO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SPTM
1D Price
Change %
SPTM100%
-4.30%
AVGO - SPTM
61%
Loosely correlated
-10.43%
MSFT - SPTM
60%
Loosely correlated
-3.58%
AAPL - SPTM
60%
Loosely correlated
-1.53%
AMZN - SPTM
58%
Loosely correlated
-2.19%
META - SPTM
57%
Loosely correlated
-3.96%
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