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T vs TMUS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AT&T (T) vs. T-Mobile US (TMUS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AT&T (T) and T-Mobile US (TMUS) both operate in the U.S. telecommunications sector, with T emphasizing fiber broadband expansion and TMUS focusing on postpaid wireless subscriber growth.
- Year-to-date through early July 2026, T posted approximately 13% total return while TMUS delivered about 10%, both outperforming the S&P 500’s roughly 9% gain.
- T offers a dividend yield near 5.3% with quarterly payouts recently declared at $0.2775 per share; TMUS provides a lower yield around 2.2% but has demonstrated stronger service revenue expansion.
- Both companies are scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 earnings in late July, with T on July 22 and TMUS on July 23.
- Recent market activity shows T navigating spectrum acquisition developments and fiber momentum, while TMUS maintains leadership in postpaid net additions amid broader industry competition.
- Valuation contrasts remain evident, with T trading at a lower forward earnings multiple relative to TMUS’s premium pricing.
Introduction
AT&T (T) and T-Mobile US (TMUS) represent two of the largest publicly traded telecommunications providers in the United States, offering investors exposure to wireless services, broadband connectivity, and 5G infrastructure. This comparison examines their relative performance, business positioning, and recent developments to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating sector allocation decisions. Market participants seeking to understand differences in growth trajectories, dividend profiles, and competitive dynamics may find the analysis particularly relevant amid evolving consumer demand for bundled connectivity solutions.
AT&T Overview and Recent Performance
AT&T Inc. (T) provides wireless, broadband, and enterprise communications services across the United States. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $21, reflecting a year-to-date gain of approximately 13% as of early July 2026. Performance has been supported by ongoing fiber network expansion and plans to integrate additional spectrum assets. Sentiment has remained constructive around the company’s Build-A-Plan wireless offering and dividend stability, with the board declaring a quarterly common dividend of $0.2775 per share payable in August. Upcoming second-quarter earnings, scheduled for release on July 22, 2026, are expected to provide further clarity on subscriber trends and free cash flow generation.
TMUS Overview and Recent Performance
T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) focuses primarily on postpaid wireless services and has expanded into home internet offerings. The shares have traded near $180 in recent sessions, delivering a year-to-date return of approximately 10% through early July 2026. Recent market activity highlights continued strength in service revenues and postpaid account additions, with management previously raising full-year guidance. Analyst coverage remains generally favorable, and the company is set to report second-quarter results on July 23, 2026. Broader sentiment reflects steady operational execution despite competitive pressures in the wireless market.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AT&T (T) and T-Mobile US (TMUS) differ in business emphasis: T balances wireless operations with aggressive fiber broadband deployment, while TMUS prioritizes wireless scale and postpaid net additions. Growth drivers for T center on convergence bundling and network modernization, whereas TMUS benefits from sustained postpaid momentum and average revenue per account expansion. Recent momentum favors T on a year-to-date total return basis, though TMUS has delivered stronger multi-year service revenue growth. Risk factors include regulatory spectrum costs and competitive intensity for both, with T carrying higher leverage tied to fiber investments and TMUS facing potential ownership restructuring considerations. Sector exposure remains similar within telecommunications, yet market sentiment has rewarded T’s dividend profile and TMUS’s growth narrative differently in recent periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency in service metrics, earnings momentum, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term performance to T-Mobile US (TMUS). The assessment reflects TMUS’s demonstrated ability to sustain postpaid growth and raise guidance amid competitive conditions, though outcomes remain subject to earnings results and broader market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is T is a Buy and TMUS is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
T’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTMUS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- T’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TMUS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
T’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TMUS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- T’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TMUS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
T (@Major Telecommunications) experienced а +6.11% price change this week, while TMUS (@Major Telecommunications) price change was +3.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Telecommunications industry was -0.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
T is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
TMUS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Telecommunications (-0.95% weekly)Major telecommunications include companies that make communication possible across the globe – by providing voice and data transmission via multiple channels such as phone or the Internet, through airwaves or cables, through wires or wirelessly. The ease with which we connect with anyone, anywhere in the world is thanks in large part to the infrastructure created by the telecom industry. Some major telecom players include AT&T Inc., Verizon Communications Inc. and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.
| T | TMUS | T / TMUS | |
| Capitalization | 150B | 204B | 74% |
| EBITDA | 54B | 31.8B | 170% |
| Gain YTD | -10.127 | -6.253 | 162% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.26 | 20.02 | 36% |
| Revenue | 127B | 90.5B | 140% |
| Total Cash | 4.55B | 3.52B | 129% |
| Total Debt | 157B | 121B | 130% |
T | TMUS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
T's Valuation (19) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (42) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that T’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
T's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (70) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that T’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
T's SMR Rating (45) in the Major Telecommunications industry is in the same range as TMUS (48) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry. This means that T’s stock grew similarly to TMUS’s over the last 12 months.
TMUS's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry is in the same range as T (63) in the Major Telecommunications industry. This means that TMUS’s stock grew similarly to T’s over the last 12 months.
TMUS's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Wireless Telecommunications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for T (96) in the Major Telecommunications industry. This means that TMUS’s stock grew somewhat faster than T’s over the last 12 months.
| T | TMUS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 55% | 29 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 68% |
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T and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, T has been closely correlated with VZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if T jumps, then VZ could also see price increases.
TMUS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMUS has been loosely correlated with TEO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TMUS jumps, then TEO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMUS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS | 100% | +0.43% | ||
| TEO - TMUS | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| CMCSA - TMUS | 27% Poorly correlated | +1.70% | ||
| S - TMUS | 27% Poorly correlated | +3.75% | ||
| VOD - TMUS | 26% Poorly correlated | +5.10% | ||
| CHTR - TMUS | 25% Poorly correlated | +0.49% | ||
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