VIS
Price
$325.09
Change
+$12.60 (+4.03%)
Updated
Nov 9 closing price
Net Assets
7.44B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLI
Price
$168.89
Change
+$6.22 (+3.82%)
Updated
Nov 9 closing price
Net Assets
29.5B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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VIS vs XLI

VIS vs XLI Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 25, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF Shares (VIS) vs. Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI)

Key Takeaways

  • Same sector, different depth: Both funds target the U.S. industrials sector, but VIS holds roughly 390–400 companies across large-, mid-, and small-caps, while XLI holds only about 81–84 large-cap names drawn from the S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 index).
  • Concentration differs: XLI carries a more concentrated, mega-cap-heavy profile, whereas VIS spreads risk across a broader, deeper multi-cap universe.
  • Costs are nearly identical: VIS charges a 0.09% expense ratio, and XLI charges 0.08%, making both among the cheapest ways to own industrials.
  • Overlapping anchors: The two funds share nearly the same top holdings, including Caterpillar (CAT), GE Aerospace (GE), and RTX (RTX).
  • Positioning question: The choice largely comes down to whether investors prefer broad diversification (VIS) or concentrated large-cap exposure to sector leaders (XLI).

Introduction

Industrial-sector ETFs have drawn renewed attention as investors weigh reshoring trends, defense spending, infrastructure investment, and the electrification of the economy. The Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF Shares (VIS) and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) both offer passive access to U.S. industrials, yet they are not identical vehicles. VIS captures the entire investable industrial market, while XLI targets only the large-cap industrial names within the S&P 500. Understanding their structural differences is essential for investors seeking precise sector exposure and relative positioning.

Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF Shares (VIS) Overview

VIS is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the MSCI US Investable Market Industrials 25/50 Index. That benchmark spans large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. companies classified under the industrials sector of the GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard). With roughly 390–400 holdings, VIS is one of the broadest industrials funds available and meaningfully diversifies company-specific risk.

Its largest positions include Caterpillar (CAT), GE Aerospace (GE), RTX (RTX), GE Vernova (GEV), and Deere & Co. (DE), with additional weight in Eaton (ETN), Boeing (BA), Union Pacific (UNP), Uber Technologies (UBER), and Parker-Hannifin (PH). The top ten names collectively represent roughly 30% of assets. Industrials account for about 91–92% of the portfolio, with a smaller technology sleeve reflecting GICS reclassifications. The fund charges a 0.09% expense ratio and employs a full-replication approach where feasible.

Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) Overview

XLI is a passively managed ETF that seeks to correspond generally to the Industrial Select Sector Index, which contains the industrial companies of the S&P 500. As a result, XLI is exclusively large-cap and holds approximately 81–84 names. This gives it a more concentrated, mega-cap-tilted profile and greater sensitivity to a handful of dominant industry leaders.

Its top holdings closely mirror VIS, led by Caterpillar (CAT), GE Aerospace (GE), RTX (RTX), and GE Vernova (GEV), followed by Union Pacific (UNP), Deere & Co. (DE), Eaton (ETN), Boeing (BA), and Uber Technologies (UBER). The top ten holdings represent roughly 39% of assets, a higher concentration than VIS. The fund carries a 0.08% expense ratio and is structured as a non-diversified fund under its prospectus.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs operate within the same macro currents shaping U.S. industrials. Reshoring and supply-chain reconfiguration have supported domestic manufacturing and capital-goods demand. Defense and aerospace budgets remain elevated amid geopolitical tension, benefiting large primes and their suppliers. Electrification, data-center buildout, and grid modernization have reinforced demand for electrical equipment and power-related machinery, a tailwind visible in holdings such as GE Vernova and Eaton. At the same time, the sector remains cyclical: transportation, machinery, and construction names are sensitive to interest-rate expectations, freight volumes, and broader economic growth. Tariffs and trade policy add a layer of input-cost and margin risk that can affect relative positioning across subsectors.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have tended to move in close correlation because of their shared top holdings. However, their return profiles diverge at the margins. XLI's large-cap concentration means its fund performance is more heavily influenced by the earnings cycles of mega-cap names in aerospace, defense, and electrical equipment. VIS's inclusion of mid- and small-cap industrials introduces exposure to smaller, more domestically oriented companies that can respond differently to economic acceleration or credit conditions.

During recent market cycles, large-cap industrial leaders have often driven sector leadership, favoring XLI's concentrated tilt. Conversely, VIS's broader base can offer slightly lower single-name concentration risk and different volatility characteristics. Both funds carry similar beta profiles relative to the broad market, but XLI's narrower roster can make it marginally more sensitive to swings in its largest constituents.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your sector analysis and uncover actionable ideas.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently express a modest preference for XLI. Its concentrated exposure to large-cap sector leaders aligns with the trend consistency and sector momentum that have characterized recent industrial leadership in aerospace, defense, and electrical equipment. XLI also offers a slightly lower expense ratio and deep liquidity, reflecting its substantially larger asset base. That said, VIS retains a structural edge in diversification and cost efficiency for investors who prefer broader, multi-cap coverage with reduced single-name concentration. The final choice depends on whether an investor prioritizes concentrated momentum or diversified resilience.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
VIS vs. XLI commentary
Nov 10, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is VIS is a Hold and XLI is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VIS with price predictions
Nov 09, 2026

VIS's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VIS turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where VIS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VIS as a result. In 81 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

VIS moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +4.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VIS advanced for three days, in 283 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

VIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VIS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator for VIS entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLI with price predictions
Nov 09, 2026

Momentum Indicator for XLI turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XLI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 81 of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLI advanced for three days, in 277 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

XLI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLI turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.

XLI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for XLI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator for XLI entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
VISXLI
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
78%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
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VIS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VIS has been closely correlated with AME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VIS jumps, then AME could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VIS
1D Price
Change %
VIS100%
+4.03%
AME - VIS
82%
Closely correlated
+4.19%
EMR - VIS
79%
Closely correlated
+4.42%
CAT - VIS
78%
Closely correlated
+7.21%
TKR - VIS
76%
Closely correlated
+6.66%
WAB - VIS
76%
Closely correlated
+5.15%
More

XLI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLI has been closely correlated with AME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLI jumps, then AME could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XLI
1D Price
Change %
XLI100%
+3.82%
AME - XLI
82%
Closely correlated
+4.19%
EMR - XLI
78%
Closely correlated
+4.42%
CAT - XLI
77%
Closely correlated
+7.21%
WAB - XLI
76%
Closely correlated
+5.15%
TT - XLI
73%
Closely correlated
+4.68%
More
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