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CSAN Stock Cosan SA (CSAN, $7.82) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on November 13, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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CSAN - Cosan SA
MACD signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
MACD signal
Price: $7.82
Daily change: -$0.05 (-0.64%)
Daily volume: 590.6K
Capitalization: $3.7B
Industry: Oil Refining/Marketing
This is a Bearish indicator signaling CSAN's price could decline from here. Traders may explore shorting the stock or put options. A.I. dvisor identified 42 similar cases where CSAN's MACD histogram became negative, and of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success:

CSAN sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

CSAN saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 13, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for CSAN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 10, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CSAN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CSAN entered a downward trend on November 15, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CSAN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 15, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CSAN as a result. In of 65 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CSAN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.582) is normal, around the industry mean (9.176). P/E Ratio (24.944) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.489). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.721) is also within normal values, averaging (0.620).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CSAN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CSAN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

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CSAN
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General Information

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
Avenue Brigadeiro Faria Lima
Phone
+55 1138979797
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.cosan.com.br