ESSA ESSA Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ESSA in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025

ESSA moved above its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 54 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ESSA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 12 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ESSA as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ESSA just turned positive on April 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where ESSA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESSA advanced for three days, in of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 260 cases where ESSA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for ESSA moved below the 200-day moving average on April 29, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESSA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ESSA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.810) is normal, around the industry mean (1.035). P/E Ratio (9.489) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.206). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.366). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.494) is also within normal values, averaging (2.934).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ESSA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.