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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 28, 2025

Week (February 24 - 28) in Review: Financial Leaders

The week of February 24-28, 2025, was marked by significant market volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic policy shifts. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of impending tariffs—25% on Mexican and Canadian goods and an additional 10% on Chinese imports—set to commence on March 4, led to widespread market reactions. These tariffs not only affected traditional financial markets but also had a pronounced impact on cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin experiencing a sharp decline of over 7%, falling below the $80,000 mark.

Global Overview

In response to the announced tariffs, global markets experienced heightened volatility. Inverse (short) ETFs saw notable gains as investors sought protective measures against anticipated market downturns. The ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ) rose by 15.75%, the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF (SPXS) increased by 7.93%, and the ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) climbed by 7.87%. Conversely, major cryptocurrencies faced significant losses; Bitcoin (BTC) dropped by 15.80%, Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 19.77%, and XRP fell by 20.39%.

Sector Overview

The financial sector demonstrated resilience amid the turbulence, with the iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (EUFN) gaining 2.55%. The real estate sector also showed positive movement; the Cohen & Steers Quality Income Realty Fund (RQI) increased by 1.94%, and the Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF (KBWY) rose by 1.87%. In contrast, the technology sector faced challenges, as evidenced by declines in the First Trust NASDAQ-100-Tech Sector ETF (QTEC) by 6.44%, the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) by 8.36%, and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) by 9.32%.

International Overview

European markets remained relatively stable during this period. The JPMorgan BetaBuilders Europe ETF (BBEU) experienced a marginal increase of 0.05%, while the WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity ETF (HEDJ) and the iShares Core MSCI Europe ETF (IEUR) saw slight declines of 0.06% and 0.07%, respectively. In contrast, Latin American markets faced more pronounced downturns; the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) decreased by 2.98%, and the VanEck Brazil Small-Cap ETF (BRF) fell by 5.69%. North American markets were not immune to the volatility, with the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) declining by 4.91%.

Summary

The financial landscape during the week of February 24-28, 2025, was characterized by significant fluctuations driven by geopolitical developments and economic policy announcements. While certain sectors and regions demonstrated resilience, the overarching trend was one of caution and market correction. Investors are advised to stay informed and consider diversification strategies to navigate the ongoing volatility.

 Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SQQQ, SPXS, SPXU, BTC, ETH, XRP.X, EUFN, RQI, KBWY, QTEC, SOXX, ARKK, BBEU, HEDJ, IEUR, EWZ, BRF, QQQ

SQQQ's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 1 day

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SQQQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 46 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 30, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SQQQ as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SQQQ just turned positive on May 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where SQQQ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SQQQ advanced for three days, in of 245 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SQQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

SQQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on April 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SQQQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for SQQQ moved below the 200-day moving average on May 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SQQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SQQQ entered a downward trend on May 30, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index®. The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial companies listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The fund is non-diversified.
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