Analysts Downgrades Hyatt (H, $68.25) over Slowing Global Economy
Wall street analyst, William Crow, recently downgraded Hyatt from outperform to market perform and removed its $80 price target. His rationale was that a challenging economic backdrop is expected to hurt the prospects of Hilton Hotels most, resulting in a substantial slowdown in the company’s asset sales in 2019.
Hyatt’s attractive stock valuation remains comparable with Hilton Hotels Corporation and Marriott International Inc. But while Hilton and Marriot have been successful in returning valuable capital to its shareholders, Hyatt’s shares have historically traded at modest discounts compared to Hilton’s and Marriot’s.
Although Hyatt has attained significant growth in 2018, analysts fear a significant decline in its planned asset sales in 2019 which can impact profitability.
Hyatt’s shareholder relations have markedly improved over the years, but whether shareholders benefit from Hyatt’s on-going investments in wellness and ‘experiential’ businesses is still uncertain.
Analysts further explain that the lack of detailed guidance on the part of the company has historically led to volatility around quarterly earnings. Furthermore, with the hotels betting big on Chinese consumers for driving growth, coupled with Apple facing a tough time in China, the hoteliers could be up for a bumpy ride in 2019.
Momentum Indicator for H turns negative, indicating new downward trend
H saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 100 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 100 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 71 cases where H's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for H moved below the 200-day moving average on March 12, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where H declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for H entered a downward trend on April 01, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where H's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for H just turned positive on March 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where H's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where H advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
H may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.488) is normal, around the industry mean (30.451). H has a moderately high P/E Ratio (77.127) as compared to the industry average of (31.992). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.217) is also within normal values, averaging (1.378). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.555) is also within normal values, averaging (2.508).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. H’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manager of hotels and resorts
Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines