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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 17, 2019

Nu Skin (NUS, $38.60) lowers earnings and sales outlook following China's scrutiny program on health products

Nu Skin Enterprises shares fell as much as -20% on Wednesday, after the company expressed concerns over headwinds from China’s increased scrutiny on health products.

The company, which develops and sells personal care products, revealed that it is adjusting its guidance for the year, mainly due to a dampened revenue outlook in Mainland China following the government’s 100-day campaign to review and scrutinize the health products and direct selling industries.

The increased scrutiny on the direct selling industry has reportedly led to a tightening of regulations on sales meetings - something that could adversely affect customer sentiment, as hinted by NU Skin CEO Ritch Wood. China accounted for 33% of Nu Skin’s revenue in 2018.

The company is scheduled to release its second quarter earnings reports on August 6. But as of now, Nu Skin  is expecting its second-quarter earnings to range between 82 and 84 cents per share – down from its prior forecast of 91 to 98 cents per share. It now expects revenue between $622 million and $623 million, compared to its previous expectation of $660 million to $680 million.

Nu Skin has also lowered its full-year guidance. It now forecasts an earnings per share range of $3.20 to $3.35, compared to prior estimate of $3.80 to $4.05 a share. Its full year revenue expectation now sits between $2.48 billion to $2.52 billion, which is a range lower than its previous prediction of $2.76 billion to $2.81 billion.

 

Related Ticker: NUS

Momentum Indicator for NUS turns positive, indicating new upward trend

NUS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 95 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 64 cases where NUS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NUS advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 186 cases where NUS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NUS moved out of overbought territory on June 02, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NUS turned negative on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NUS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NUS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.811) is normal, around the industry mean (17.380). P/E Ratio (79.294) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.360). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.832). Dividend Yield (0.091) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.341) is also within normal values, averaging (116.662).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NUS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NUS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 25.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 81.32K to 381.78B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 381.78B. The lowest valued company is QNTA at 81.32K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. DQWS experienced the highest price growth at 200%, while HIMS experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 301% and the average quarterly volume growth was 286%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of personal care products and nutritional supplements

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
75 West Center Street
Phone
+1 801 345-1000
Employees
15200
Web
https://www.nuskin.com