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published in Blogs
Oct 20, 2023

Candy Sector Enjoys a Sweet Surge: Average Gain of 6.47% Over the Week📈

The candy industry encapsulates a diverse array of companies, from chocolate manufacturers and confectioners to snack makers. This domain includes firms that produce chocolates right from the beans, others that procure chocolate to create candies, and some that focus exclusively on non-chocolate confections. Iconic brands like Hershey, Sanfilippo (John B.) & Son, and Tootsie Roll Industries fit right into this category.

🌐 Tickers in Industry - $SJM, $GIS,$HSY, $MDLZ, $TR, $STKL, $JBSS, $TWNK

Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Down (TA&FA)  - Annualized Return + 56%

💼Stellar Performers Within this sector, Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) and General Mills (NYSE:GIS) stand out as the more prominent names. The recent market capitalization average across these companies is an impressive $22.8B, with a spectrum that ranges from $452.4M for STKL up to a whopping $86.4B for MDLZ.

Price Movement Insights Over the last week, stocks within this group recorded an average price growth of 5.52%. However, on a broader timeline, the monthly and quarterly averages were -2.63% and -15.81% respectively. SunOpta (STKL) stole the limelight with an exceptional price growth of 41.14%, while Hershey (HSY) experienced a minimal decline at -0.3%.

Volume Dynamics The trading volume trend points to heightened activity. The group's average weekly volume growth was 12.58%, monthly volume grew by 25.67%, and there was an astonishing 72.45% surge quarterly. Notably, SunOpta's stock volume saw a one-day explosion, surpassing its 65-Day Volume Moving Average by a massive 298%. Likewise, Hostess Brands and JM Smucker Company witnessed notable spikes in their trading volume, marking daily growths of 242% and 171% of their 65-Day Volume Moving Averages, respectively.

Food: Specialty/Candy Industry Breakdown This specific industry segment covers firms that specialize in diverse products such as chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, and seasonings. Major players include the Hershey Company, McCormick & Company, and J.M. Smucker Company. The products from this segment find eager consumers in both institutions/restaurants and households.

The average market capitalization in this broader industry stands at $7.6B. The range is quite expansive, from as low as $6.2K for OGGFF to a towering $327.8B for NSRGY. In terms of price growth, the average weekly growth across the entire industry was recorded at 0.1%. On a monthly and quarterly basis, the industry faced downturns of -5.71% and -7.31% respectively. FITSF emerged as the shining star with a price surge of 98.52%, while NUZE bore the brunt with a decline of -44.57%.

Volume Analysis for the Specialty/Candy Industry Here too, volume trends were notable. The weekly average volume growth showed a decline of -5.96%, but on a brighter note, monthly and quarterly volume growth were up by 19.11% and 77.14% respectively.

Fundamental Analysis Companies within these groups have diverse ratings when analyzed from a fundamental perspective, providing investors with varied options based on their investment preferences.

SJM : On October 18, 2023, the RSI Oscillator for SJM transitioned from the oversold zone. This movement often suggests a possible change in trend from bearish to bullish. Investors and traders might consider this an opportune moment to enter the stock or explore call options. Historical analysis by the A.I.dvisor reveals that out of 22 comparable RSI shifts, 13 instances resulted in an upward stock movement. This indicates a 59% likelihood of SJM's stock following an ascending trajectory.

GIS : On October 16, 2023, GIS marked its third consecutive day of positive gains, registering a 2.79% uptrend. Such a consistent upward trajectory is typically seen as an encouraging sign for potential stock appreciation. Historical patterns show that when GIS experienced three days of gains, it continued to rise in 182 out of 345 instances over the subsequent month. This suggests a 53% probability of sustained bullish performance. Investors should monitor GIS closely in the coming weeks.

HSY : As of October 17, 2023, HSY's Stochastic Oscillator has shifted upwards from its oversold position, hinting at potential bullish momentum for the stock. Investors might consider this an opportune time to acquire the stock or explore call options. Based on historical data, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 57 similar shifts, finding that in 36 occurrences, HSY experienced an uptick in subsequent days. This indicates a 63% likelihood of the stock continuing its upward trajectory. Investors should keep a close watch on HSY's performance.

Related Ticker: SJM, GIS, HSY, MDLZ, TR, STKL, JBSS, TWNK

SJM's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for SJM entered a downward trend on January 02, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 165 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 165 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SJM as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for SJM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for SJM moved below the 200-day moving average on December 27, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SJM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SJM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SJM advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SJM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.752) is normal, around the industry mean (6.547). P/E Ratio (22.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.022). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.551) is also within normal values, averaging (2.471). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.581) is also within normal values, averaging (67.660).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SJM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SJM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ), Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NASDAQ:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ:CPB), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 9.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.25K to 327.81B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 327.81B. The lowest valued company is OGGFF at 6.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21%. ATPC experienced the highest price growth at 60%, while AMNC experienced the biggest fall at -77%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 117%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 143% and the average quarterly volume growth was 160%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of fruit spreads, peanut butter and other food products

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Specialty Or Candy
Address
One Strawberry Lane
Phone
+1 330 682-3000
Employees
5800
Web
https://www.jmsmucker.com