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Dec 12, 2022
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Broadcom (AVGO, $544.72) tops Q4 earnings expectations

Broadcom (AVGO, $544.72) tops Q4 earnings expectations

Broadcom posted fourth quarter earnings that handily topped the Street expectations. The chipmaker also indicated that it will maintain its current dividend strategy.

Adjusted earnings came in at $10.45 per share, well above analysts’ forecast of 17 cents. Revenues climbed +21% year-over-year to $8.93 billion. The company’s broadband revenues were up +20% while wireless revenues grew +13%.

Looking ahead, Broadcom expects adjusted earnings of around $5.94 per share for the current quarter, and predicts revenues to be $8.9 billion (i.e. flattish vs. the prior period).

Broadcom announced that it will maintain its current dividend policy of paying out 50% of its prior-year free cash flow to shareholders, even amidst Broadcom's assumption of around $8 billion in VMware debt (following the chipmaker’s acquisition of the latter. Broadcom shareholders will own around 88% of the company upon the deal’s completion, with VMware holding the remaining 12%).

Related Ticker: AVGO

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AVGO's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for AVGO entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 116 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 85 of the 116 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVGO as a result. In 63 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AVGO turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 63%.

AVGO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVGO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +6.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVGO advanced for three days, in 268 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

AVGO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AVGO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AVGO's P/B Ratio (15.904) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.097). P/E Ratio (41.156) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.355). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.346) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (18.622) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 201.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.99T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.99T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -11%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27%. SQNS experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while INTC experienced the biggest fall at -35%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -60%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of digital and analog semiconductor products

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
3421 Hillview Avenue
Phone
+1 650 427-6000
Employees
33000
Web
https://www.broadcom.com
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Broadcom (AVGO, $544.72) tops Q4 earnings expectations