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Feb 11, 2019
Emerging markets set for a 'rally' after last year's rout, says strategist - CNBC

Emerging markets set for a 'rally' after last year's rout, says strategist - CNBC

With the U.S. Federal Reserve pledging to be "patient" in future rate hikes, emerging markets should do better this year, and may in fact even have "a decent rally," one strategist told CNBC on Monday. READ MORE...

 

Related Ticker: MSD

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MSD in -1.62% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 05, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where MSD declined for three days, in 154 of 203 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSD as a result. In 53 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

MSD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MSD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

The Aroon Indicator for MSD entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MSD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +1.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSD advanced for three days, in 237 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

MSD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

Morgan Stanley Emerg Mkts Debt Fd Inc is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The Fund's primary investment objective is to produce high current income and as a secondary objective to seek capital appreciation, through investments mainly in debt securities of government and government-related issuers located in emerging countries, of entities organized to restructure the outstanding debt of such issuers and debt securities of corporate issuers in or organized under the laws of emerging countries.
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