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Dec 27, 2018
Gap (GPS, $25.82) Will Soon Close Fifth Avenue Store, To Fight Thinning Sales

Gap (GPS, $25.82) Will Soon Close Fifth Avenue Store, To Fight Thinning Sales

 The Gap is shuttering its Fifth Avenue store in New York, as confirmed by the company.

At the beginning of November, Gap had more than 1,000 stores around the world and nearly 800 stores in North America. But weakening sales and squeezed margins in recent years rendered many of those stores unprofitable and led to the company’s plan to start shutting them down. The closing of the Fifth Avenue store, scheduled for January 20, is only a part of the planned closures of hundreds of Gap stores.

According to Gap CEO Art Peck, closing stores could save Gap up to $100 million in profit.

In its latest quarter, Gap's sales declined -7% compared to a year ago. Other brands owned by Gap are Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta, which reportedly are in a better position compared to the company’s namesake brand.

Related Ticker: GAP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


GAP's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for GAP moved out of overbought territory on August 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 29 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GAP as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GAP just turned positive on July 10, 2026. Looking at past instances where GAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GAP moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 200 cases where GAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.029) is normal, around the industry mean (3.441). P/E Ratio (8.175) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.263). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.108) is also within normal values, averaging (1.923). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.512) is also within normal values, averaging (0.775).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 9.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 179.95B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 179.95B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. CATO experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while MYSZ experienced the biggest fall at -88%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -44% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -18 (-100 ... +100)
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an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

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