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Jul 25, 2018
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Is Facebook’s China Dream Getting Farther Away From Its Reach?

Is Facebook’s China Dream Getting Farther Away From Its Reach?

Facebook’s hopes of connecting with China might have been blocked, again.

For several hours, a Chinese government database showed that Facebook (FB) got the regulatory go-ahead to open a subsidiary in the eastern province of Zhejiang. But the more recent censoring of mention of the subsidiary in Chinese media could be hinting at FB's continued challenge in penetrating the elusive market.

 A New York Times article mentions that the approval has been withdrawn, according to a person familiar with the matter who did not want to be named since they were not authorized to speak on the record.

Having been banned from having its social networking website in the nation for over a decade, FB has apparently been trying to win access into the Chinese market through various strategies and  gestures for a while – including its founder Mark Zuckerberg’s  holding a Mandarin-language Q&A session with students,  and posting photos of his jog through Tiananmen Square.

 

Related Ticker: GOOG

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


GOOG's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 15 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GOOG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Following a +1.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOG advanced for three days, in 238 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

GOOG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOG as a result. In 46 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOOG turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.

GOOG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOOG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

The 50-day moving average for GOOG moved below the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The Aroon Indicator for GOOG entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GOOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.579) is normal, around the industry mean (0.974). P/E Ratio (14.084) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-39.046). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.212) is also within normal values, averaging (17.274). Dividend Yield (0.003) settles around the average of (0.979) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.320) is also within normal values, averaging (71.888).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 126.04B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107 to 3.48T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.48T. The lowest valued company is STBXF at 107.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. GIBO experienced the highest price growth at 123%, while SEAT experienced the biggest fall at -43%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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a holding company with interests in software, health care, transportation and other technologies

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

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Is Facebook’s China Dream Getting Farther Away From Its Reach?