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Nov 19, 2020
Macy's ( M, $8.90) reports narrower-than-expected Q3 loss

Macy's ( M, $8.90) reports narrower-than-expected Q3 loss

Macy's Inc.  reported a third quarter loss  narrower than expected.

The retail company’s adjusted loss for the three months ending in October was came in at -19 cents per share, better than the Street consensus forecast of -79 cents per share loss. In the prior-year quarter, earnings were in the positive territory, +7 cents per share.

Revenues dropped -22% year-over-year to $3.99 billion, a figure that also exceeded analysts' estimates of  $3.86 billion.

Same-store sales fell - 21% year-over-year.  But online revenues surged + 27%.

 

 

Related Ticker: M

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


M sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

M saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 11, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where M's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on M as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where M declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

M broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where M advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 199 cases where M Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. M’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. M’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.333) is normal, around the industry mean (2.278). P/E Ratio (10.132) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.086). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.205) is also within normal values, averaging (2.615). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.296) is also within normal values, averaging (20.175).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 5.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. DDS experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while KSS experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -25 (-100 ... +100)
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an operator of department stores

Industry DepartmentStores

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Industry
Department Stores
Address
151 West 34th Street
Phone
+1 212 494-1621
Employees
85581
Web
https://www.macysinc.com
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