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Feb 04, 2019
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THE STREET: Papa John's Gets Lifeline From Starboard Value

THE STREET: Papa John's Gets Lifeline From Starboard Value

Papa John's International Inc. got a brand-new chairman.

Starboard Value LP will make a $200 million investment in the troubled pizza chain and the investment firm's CEO will become chairman, the companies confirmed early on Monday. READ MORE...

Related Ticker: PZZA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


PZZA in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026

PZZA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 47 cases where PZZA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PZZA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 34 of 51 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 65 cases where PZZA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +4.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PZZA advanced for three days, in 175 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PZZA as a result. In 65 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PZZA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator for PZZA entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-1.373) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.482). P/E Ratio (23.625) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.524). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.304) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.097) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.339) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PZZA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PZZA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Co (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 10B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.6K to 187.98B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 187.98B. The lowest valued company is HLTY at 1.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. WING experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while GENK experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 27% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of pizza delivery and restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Industry
Restaurants
Address
2002 Papa John's Boulevard
Phone
+1 502 261-7272
Employees
9400
Web
https://www.papajohns.com
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