Compare predictions AA vs CSTM
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AA is a StrongBuy and CSTM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCSTM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CSTM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CSTM’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CSTM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AA (@Aluminum) experienced а +6.92% price change this week, while CSTM (@Aluminum) price change was +3.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aluminum industry was +0.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.46%.
Reported Earning Dates
AA is expected to report earnings on Oct 18, 2023.
CSTM is expected to report earnings on Oct 25, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aluminum (+0.57% weekly)Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.
| AA | CSTM | AA / CSTM | |
| Capitalization | 5.15B | 2.62B | 196% |
| EBITDA | -542M | 502M | -108% |
| Gain YTD | -38.728 | 44.886 | -86% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.32 | 11.79 | 62% |
| Revenue | 10.9B | 7.77B | 140% |
| Total Cash | 990M | 158M | 627% |
| Total Debt | 1.81B | 2.03B | 89% |
AA | CSTM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 33 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 31 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AA's Valuation (16) in the Aluminum industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CSTM (65) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that AA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CSTM’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AA (100) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew somewhat faster than AA’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's SMR Rating (33) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AA (95) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew somewhat faster than AA’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AA (80) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew somewhat faster than AA’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for AA (87) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew significantly faster than AA’s over the last 12 months.
| AA | CSTM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 80% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 6 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 85% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TDSE | 21.64 | 0.01 | +0.07% |
| Cabana Target Drawdown 16 ETF | |||
| NDIV | 25.74 | -0.23 | -0.87% |
| Amplify Natural Resources Div Inc ETF | |||
| DJAN | 32.08 | -0.31 | -0.96% |
| FT Cboe Vest US Equity Dp Bffr ETF Jan | |||
| LVHI | 26.62 | -0.33 | -1.22% |
| Franklin Intl Low Volatility Hi Div ETF | |||
| ARKK | 37.97 | -1.07 | -2.74% |
| ARK Innovation ETF | |||
CSTM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CSTM has been closely correlated with KALU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CSTM jumps, then KALU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CSTM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSTM | 100% | -4.03% | ||
| KALU - CSTM | 68% Closely correlated | -4.03% | ||
| AA - CSTM | 61% Loosely correlated | -4.13% | ||
| CENX - CSTM | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.73% |