The 10-day moving average for AA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AA as a result. In 79 of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for AA entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for AA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AA just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where AA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +3.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AA advanced for three days, in 233 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
AA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AA's P/B Ratio (1.458) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.134). P/E Ratio (8.415) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.110). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (0.345). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.898) is also within normal values, averaging (0.849).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
The RSI Oscillator for CSTM moved into overbought territory on October 22, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CSTM just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where CSTM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +1.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CSTM advanced for three days, in 221 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
CSTM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 52 of 66 cases where CSTM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CSTM as a result. In 70 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The 50-day moving average for CSTM moved below the 200-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CSTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for CSTM entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CSTM's P/B Ratio (2.782) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.134). P/E Ratio (6.427) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.110). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (0.345). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.380) is also within normal values, averaging (0.849).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CSTM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CSTM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AA | CSTM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 5 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AA's Valuation (39) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CSTM (49) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that AA’s stock grew similarly to CSTM’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as AA (100) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's SMR Rating (19) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as AA (48) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as AA (63) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.
AA's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Aluminum industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CSTM (96) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that AA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CSTM’s over the last 12 months.
| AA | CSTM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AA’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while CSTM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CSTM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
AA (@Aluminum) experienced а +1.62% price change this week, while CSTM (@Aluminum) price change was +0.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aluminum industry was -9.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was -36.55%.
AA is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
CSTM is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.
A.I.dvisor tells us that AA and CENX have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that AA and CENX's prices will move in lockstep.
A.I.dvisor tells us that CSTM and AA have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that CSTM and AA's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CSTM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSTM | 100% | -6.22% | ||
| AA - CSTM | 29% Poorly correlated | -4.98% | ||
| CENX - CSTM | -2% Poorly correlated | -5.42% | ||
| KALU - CSTM | -2% Poorly correlated | -25.31% |
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