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AA
Stock ticker:
NYSE
AS OF
Jul 1 closing price
Price
$44.77
Change
-$0.97 (-2.12%)
Capitalization
8.26B

AA Price Prediction, Alcoa Corp AI Recommendations

Stock market charts, price targets, analyst ratings and a financial calendar
AI
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EDT Jul 01, 2022

AA sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

AA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 10, 2022. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 09, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AA as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AA entered a downward trend on July 01, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AA advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.804) is normal, around the industry mean (1.557). P/E Ratio (11.723) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.865). AA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.061). P/S Ratio (0.676) is also within normal values, averaging (0.512).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.

AI
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
AI
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

AA is expected to report earnings to fall 6.54% to $2.86 per share on July 15

Alcoa Corp AA Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'22
Est.
$2.86
Q1'22
Beat
by $0.18
Q4'21
Beat
by $0.57
Q3'21
Beat
by $0.29
Q2'21
Beat
by $0.20
The last earnings report on April 20 showed earnings per share of $3.06, beating the estimate of $2.88. With 6.63M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 8.26B.
AI
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AA paid dividends on June 03, 2022

Alcoa Corp AA Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.10 per share was paid with a record date of June 03, 2022, and an ex-dividend date of May 16, 2022. Read more...
AI
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA).

Industry description

Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aluminum Industry is 6.06B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 138.37K to 48.08B. DKIAF holds the highest valuation in this group at 48.08B. The lowest valued company is NORNQ at 138.37K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18%. ALMMF experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while NHYKF experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aluminum Industry was -46%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 29% and the average quarterly volume growth was 112%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 26
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a miner of bauxite and aluminum

Industry Aluminum

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Aluminum
Address
201 Isabella Street
Phone
+1 412 315-2900
Employees
13800
Web
https://www.alcoa.com

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AA and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AA has been closely correlated with CENX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AA jumps, then CENX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AA
1D Price
Change %
AA100%
-1.76%
CENX - AA
75%
Closely correlated
-1.22%
KALU - AA
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.04%
ACH - AA
51%
Loosely correlated
+0.32%
CSTM - AA
43%
Loosely correlated
+0.45%