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ABG vs PAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) vs. Penske Automotive Group (PAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ABG (Asbury Automotive Group) is a U.S.-focused automotive retailer, while PAG (Penske Automotive Group) is a diversified international transportation-services company with global dealerships and commercial-truck operations.
- PAG has announced a take-private agreement at $212 per share in cash, providing a concrete catalyst and downside anchor, whereas ABG is trading well below its 52-week high after a volatile stretch.
- ABG rallied on its recent quarterly results after completing its Tekion dealer-management-system (DMS) rollout, yet it remains down roughly 25% year to date versus the broader market's gains.
- PAG has gained more than 30% year to date and trades near its 52-week high, supported by a buyout premium and a steady, rising dividend.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: PAG currently presents the more favorable risk/reward profile, driven by a definitive cash catalyst and stronger trend consistency.
- For real-time updates, explore ABG Major News and ABG Today's Price Move, as well as PAG Major News and PAG Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are currently favored by the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) and Penske Automotive Group (PAG) are two of the largest publicly traded auto retailers in the United States, but their businesses and recent market trajectories have diverged sharply. Both generate diversified revenue from new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, and finance and insurance, making them useful proxies for automotive demand and consumer credit conditions. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors and traders evaluating relative performance and market positioning within the automotive-retail sector, particularly given a major corporate event reshaping one of these names while the other navigates a technology-led transformation.
ABG Overview and Recent Performance
Asbury Automotive Group, headquartered near Atlanta, Georgia, is a regional collection of automobile dealerships operating primarily across the Sun Belt, Rocky Mountain, Texas, and Northeastern markets, with a brand mix weighted toward luxury and import vehicles. Its growth strategy has emphasized acquisitions, digital retailing tools such as Clicklane, and a multiyear transition to the Tekion dealer-management system.
In recent weeks, ABG drew attention after reporting third-quarter results that missed consensus estimates on revenue and adjusted earnings, yet the stock rose sharply as management confirmed the Tekion rollout had reached completion across its stores. Sentiment has been influenced by a mix of analyst upgrades, including Buy ratings and a higher price target, alongside concerns about a net leverage ratio near 3.5x and elevated selling, general, and administrative costs. Despite the post-earnings pop, the shares remain down roughly 25% year to date, reflecting persistent pressure on vehicle margins and a still-soft same-store sales environment.
PAG Overview and Recent Performance
Penske Automotive Group, based in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, is a diversified international transportation-services company with light-vehicle dealerships in the U.S. and overseas markets, a large commercial-truck retailing business, and a stake in Penske Transportation Solutions. This broader geographic and product diversification distinguishes it from a more domestically concentrated retailer like ABG.
Recent market activity has been defined by a significant corporate development: PAG reached an agreement to be taken private by an entity owned by Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co. at $212 per share in cash, valuing the company at approximately $16.3 billion, with closing expected in the first quarter of 2027. The shares jumped on the announcement and have since traded near the offer price, which acts as a reference point for valuation. Supported by a buyout premium, a rising quarterly dividend, and a year-to-date gain exceeding 30%, PAG's stock has shown stronger trend consistency, though the fixed takeover price also caps near-term upside.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI Trading Bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, but only a select group earns a place in its curated Trending AI Robots section. These bots are selected for their suitability to current market conditions, and they vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance, and the sets of tickers they monitor. Because each bot is built around a distinct methodology—ranging from short-term momentum approaches to longer-horizon trend strategies—traders can evaluate a range of statistical profiles rather than a single one-size-fits-all signal. For those following the automotive sector or comparing names like ABG and PAG, reviewing these automated strategies can offer an additional, data-driven perspective on relative positioning. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to see which strategies are currently leading.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most in business model, catalyst profile, and market positioning. ABG is a domestically focused, acquisition-driven retailer undergoing a cost-intensive technology transition, which presents both a long-term efficiency opportunity and near-term margin and leverage risks. PAG offers broader international and commercial-vehicle exposure, a steadier dividend track record, and—critically—a definitive cash offer that anchors its valuation.
In terms of momentum, PAG's shares have outperformed over the trailing year, buoyed by the buyout premium, while ABG has lagged the broader market despite a recent rebound. Risk factors also contrast: ABG carries higher net leverage and depends on the successful execution of its DMS rollout to improve margins, whereas PAG faces deal-execution risk and limited upside while the transaction is pending. Sector exposure is similar in that both depend on consumer discretionary spending and interest-rate-sensitive vehicle financing, but PAG's diversification and its large commercial-truck segment provide a somewhat different earnings mix.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor PAG over ABG in the current environment. The decisive factors are trend consistency and a clear catalyst: PAG has sustained a strong year-to-date advance, trades near its 52-week high, and is anchored by a defined cash offer that limits downside relative to a name without such support. ABG's post-earnings rally and analyst upgrades are encouraging, but the stock's weaker year-to-date trend, elevated leverage, and reliance on future efficiency gains introduce more uncertainty. Accordingly, PAG currently presents the more stable, catalyst-driven risk/reward profile of the two, though the assessment remains probabilistic rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABG is a Buy and PAG is a Buy.
ABG in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ABG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 20 of 24 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ABG as a result. In 73 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ABG just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where ABG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
ABG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +12.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ABG advanced for three days, in 218 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ABG moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 30 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ABG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
ABG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ABG entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ABG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.927) is normal, around the industry mean (1.554). P/E Ratio (7.528) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.811). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.449) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.207) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ABG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
PAG's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for PAG moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where PAG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAG as a result. In 62 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAG just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
PAG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PAG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +0.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAG advanced for three days, in 206 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 138 of 241 cases where PAG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
PAG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.398) is normal, around the industry mean (1.554). P/E Ratio (15.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.811). PAG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.087) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.438) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
ABG | PAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ABG's Valuation (52) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAG (86). This means that ABG’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAG’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for ABG (100). This means that PAG’s stock grew significantly faster than ABG’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's SMR Rating (54) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ABG (60). This means that PAG’s stock grew similarly to ABG’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ABG (42). This means that PAG’s stock grew similarly to ABG’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ABG (50). This means that PAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than ABG’s over the last 12 months.
| ABG | PAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | about 1 month ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PAG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ABG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAG’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PAG’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
ABG (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а +4.35% price change this week, while PAG (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -3.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABG is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
PAG is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-3.16% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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ABG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABG has been closely correlated with GPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ABG jumps, then GPI could also see price increases.
PAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAG has been closely correlated with ABG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAG jumps, then ABG could also see price increases.