Investors tracking the automotive retail sector often encounter two prominent names: Asbury Automotive Group and Sonic Automotive. Both operate expansive networks of franchised dealerships across the United States, selling new and used vehicles while generating substantial revenue from parts, service, and finance and insurance (F&I) operations. Despite operating in the same industry, these two companies have charted notably different courses in recent market activity — one powered by strong price momentum, the other shaped by large-scale M&A (mergers and acquisitions) and portfolio optimization. This comparison examines how ABG and SAH stack up across key dimensions including recent performance, business strategy, risk exposure, and what an AI-driven analytical framework might conclude about their relative positioning in the current market environment.
ABG, headquartered in Duluth, Georgia, is one of the largest automotive retail and service companies in the U.S., with annual revenues reaching an all-time record of $18 billion in fiscal 2025. The company operates new-vehicle franchises, used-vehicle centers, and collision repair facilities across numerous states. A defining event in recent weeks was the July 2025 completion of its acquisition of The Herb Chambers Automotive Group — the sixteenth-largest privately held dealership group in the country, with roughly $3 billion in annual revenue. This acquisition meaningfully expands ABG's footprint, particularly in the New England market. At the same time, ABG has divested several stores as part of a portfolio optimization strategy, generating net proceeds in the range of $250–$270 million.
On the earnings front, ABG reported second-quarter 2025 net income of $153 million, or $7.76 per diluted share, alongside all-time record parts and service gross profit of $355 million. The company also recorded its fourth consecutive quarter of sequential improvement in same-store used retail gross profit per unit. Despite these operational achievements, ABG's stock price has been under pressure in recent months — down modestly on a year-over-year basis — weighed by broader sector concerns including rising inventory levels and JPMorgan's July 2025 downgrade of the stock to Underweight. The market appears to be balancing ABG's strong execution and acquisition-driven growth against macroeconomic uncertainty in the auto retail space.
SAH, based in Charlotte, North Carolina, is another major force in U.S. automotive retail, reporting all-time record annual revenues of $15.2 billion in fiscal 2025 — a 7% increase from the prior year. Sonic operates through three distinct segments: Franchised Dealerships, EchoPark (its used-vehicle retail brand), and Powersports. The company achieved all-time record annual gross profit of $2.4 billion in 2025, driven by strength in fixed operations (parts, service, and collision repair) and F&I.
A standout storyline for SAH has been the turnaround in its EchoPark segment, which posted a 703% improvement in reported segment income for the full year 2025 versus 2024, along with all-time record adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $49.2 million. The Powersports segment also delivered record results. However, SAH's headline net income for 2025 was weighed down by a $173.8 million non-cash impairment charge recorded in the second quarter, making adjusted figures more representative of underlying performance. On an adjusted basis, full-year net income rose 17% year-over-year to $229.2 million, or $6.60 per diluted share. SAH also returns capital to shareholders through a quarterly dividend — recently raised to $0.38 per share — and repurchased approximately 1.3 million shares during 2025. The stock has surged more than 60% year-to-date, a striking contrast to ABG's flatter price action, though it was similarly downgraded by JPMorgan in mid-2025.
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While ABG and SAH share a common industry, their strategic profiles diverge in meaningful ways. ABG is the larger company by revenue ($18 billion vs. $15.2 billion) and market capitalization (roughly $4.2 billion vs. $3.2 billion), and it generates superior net profit margins — approximately 3.05% versus SAH's 0.72% — reflecting operational efficiency and disciplined cost management. ABG's selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) as a percentage of gross profit run significantly lower than SAH's, giving it a structural profitability advantage. However, ABG does not pay a dividend, directing excess capital toward acquisitions and share repurchases instead.
SAH, by contrast, offers investors a dividend yield near 1.7%, supported by a quarterly payout that has grown in recent years. Insider ownership is another differentiator: approximately 62% of SAH's shares are held by insiders, compared to roughly 1.3% for ABG — a factor that can align management incentives closely with shareholder interests. SAH's EchoPark and Powersports segments provide diversification beyond traditional franchised dealerships, though these units remain smaller contributors relative to the core franchise business. On valuation, ABG trades at a notably lower trailing P/E ratio (around 7.5) compared to SAH (above 30 on a trailing reported basis, though lower on a forward or adjusted basis), reflecting the market's differing assessment of each company's earnings quality and growth trajectory.
Both companies face shared risks. Rising new-vehicle inventory, tariff policy uncertainty, and softening consumer demand have prompted analyst downgrades across the auto retail sector. SAH's high short float — above 10% in recent data — suggests elevated bearish sentiment, while ABG's short float is similarly elevated. These headwinds create a challenging backdrop that tests both companies' ability to sustain profitability.
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, fundamental stability, and catalyst profiles, a quantitative AI-driven framework would likely find merit in both stocks but for different reasons. SAH's undeniable price momentum — with year-to-date gains exceeding 60% and strong relative strength across multiple timeframes — would capture the attention of trend-following and momentum-oriented AI models. The EchoPark turnaround and Powersports growth provide tangible operational catalysts. However, SAH's higher valuation multiple, lower net margins, and elevated short interest introduce risk factors that volatility-aware AI systems would weigh carefully.
ABG, meanwhile, presents a more balanced picture from a stability standpoint. Its lower P/E ratio, stronger net margins, and the transformative Herb Chambers acquisition — which meaningfully expands revenue and geographic reach — offer a combination of value and growth catalyst that fundamental-oriented AI models tend to favor. The company's disciplined approach to portfolio optimization, evidenced by concurrent divestitures and share repurchases, further supports a narrative of deliberate capital allocation. While ABG lacks SAH's recent price momentum, its operating consistency and acquisition-driven growth trajectory may appeal to AI systems that prioritize durability over near-term velocity. On balance, while SAH currently leads on momentum, ABG's stronger fundamentals and recent M&A catalyst could position it as the more probabilistically favored choice for AI systems emphasizing risk-adjusted, factor-balanced analysis.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSAH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABG’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SAH’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
ABG (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а +2.87% price change this week, while SAH (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was -8.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.89%.
ABG is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
SAH is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
| ABG | SAH | ABG / SAH | |
| Capitalization | 4.31B | 2.9B | 149% |
| EBITDA | 1.07B | 666M | 160% |
| Gain YTD | -0.357 | 49.702 | -1% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.62 | 14.58 | 59% |
| Revenue | 18B | 15.5B | 116% |
| Total Cash | 35.7M | 19.2M | 186% |
| Total Debt | 5.53B | 4.67B | 118% |
ABG | SAH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SAH's Valuation (12) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ABG (68). This means that SAH’s stock grew somewhat faster than ABG’s over the last 12 months.
SAH's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ABG (74). This means that SAH’s stock grew somewhat faster than ABG’s over the last 12 months.
SAH's SMR Rating (45) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ABG (62). This means that SAH’s stock grew similarly to ABG’s over the last 12 months.
SAH's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ABG (43). This means that SAH’s stock grew similarly to ABG’s over the last 12 months.
ABG's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as SAH (62). This means that ABG’s stock grew similarly to SAH’s over the last 12 months.
| ABG | SAH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 69% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FNDE | 41.28 | 0.27 | +0.66% |
| Schwab Fundamental Emerging MarketsEqETF | |||
| NUHY | 21.25 | -0.03 | -0.12% |
| Nuveen ESG High Yield Corporate Bd ETF | |||
| AGGH | 19.77 | -0.09 | -0.45% |
| Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF | |||
| ONDG | 2.47 | -0.08 | -2.99% |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF | |||
| BITU | 9.08 | -0.56 | -5.81% |
| ProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABG has been closely correlated with AN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ABG jumps, then AN could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SAH has been closely correlated with GPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SAH jumps, then GPI could also see price increases.