Analysis and predictions ABR vs BXMT
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABR is a StrongSell and BXMT is a StrongSell.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABR’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileBXMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ABR’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- BXMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BXMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BXMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ABR (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а -5.97% price change this week, while BXMT (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was -2.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was -1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABR is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2023.
BXMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 25, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (-1.66% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| ABR | BXMT | ABR / BXMT | |
| Capitalization | 2.69B | 3.66B | 74% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 14.687 | 7.876 | 186% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.38 | 13.33 | 63% |
| Revenue | 687M | 699M | 98% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 9.47B | 20B | 47% |
ABR | BXMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 13 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 95 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ABR's Valuation (18) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as BXMT (20). This means that ABR’s stock grew similarly to BXMT’s over the last 12 months.
ABR's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is significantly better than the same rating for BXMT (100). This means that ABR’s stock grew significantly faster than BXMT’s over the last 12 months.
BXMT's SMR Rating (12) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ABR (13). This means that BXMT’s stock grew similarly to ABR’s over the last 12 months.
ABR's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as BXMT (44). This means that ABR’s stock grew similarly to BXMT’s over the last 12 months.
ABR's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as BXMT (26). This means that ABR’s stock grew similarly to BXMT’s over the last 12 months.
| ABR | BXMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 37% |
BXMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BXMT has been closely correlated with STWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BXMT jumps, then STWD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BXMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXMT | 100% | -1.98% | ||
| STWD - BXMT | 85% Closely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| KREF - BXMT | 81% Closely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| LADR - BXMT | 80% Closely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| ACRE - BXMT | 80% Closely correlated | -3.27% | ||
| ARI - BXMT | 78% Closely correlated | -1.42% | ||
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