Infrastructure investment remains one of the most durable themes in the U.S. equity market, supported by federal funding programs, grid modernization needs, and long-term demographic trends. Within this space, ACA (Arcosa, Inc.) and GVA (Granite Construction Incorporated) represent two distinct approaches to capitalizing on these tailwinds. Arcosa manufactures and distributes infrastructure-related products — aggregates, utility structures, wind towers, and transportation equipment — while Granite operates as one of the largest heavy civil contractors in the United States, with a growing materials business. This stock comparison examines how these two mid-to-large-cap infrastructure names measure up across financial performance, strategic direction, and relative market positioning in the current environment.
Arcosa, Inc., headquartered in Dallas, Texas, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions across three operating segments: Construction Products (aggregates, specialty materials), Engineered Structures (utility structures, wind towers), and Transportation Products (inland barges). The company has undergone a deliberate portfolio transformation over the past several years, most notably with the $1.2 billion acquisition of Stavola, an aggregates-led construction materials company, which closed in late 2024.
Full-year 2025 was a record-setting year for ACA. The company reported revenues of $2.88 billion, representing 12% growth year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA surged 30% to $583 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 280 basis points (a basis point equals one-hundredth of a percentage point) to 20.2%. The Stavola acquisition proved highly accretive, contributing meaningfully to both top-line growth and margin expansion. Engineered Structures also delivered robust performance, with utility structures revenue up 20% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, driven by elevated customer investment in grid modernization and record backlog levels. The company ended 2025 with net debt to adjusted EBITDA of just 2.3 times, achieving its leverage target ahead of schedule.
In a pivotal strategic move, Arcosa announced in February 2026 an agreement to sell its barge business for $450 million in cash, a transaction expected to close in the second quarter of 2026. This divestiture positions the company to focus on its core growth platforms — construction materials and engineered structures. Management issued 2026 guidance for revenue of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $590 million to $640 million, signaling confidence in continued growth despite anticipated near-term softness in wind tower volumes.
Granite Construction Incorporated, based in Watsonville, California, is one of the nation's largest diversified infrastructure contractors and materials producers. The company operates through two segments: Construction, which executes large-scale transportation, water, and infrastructure projects, and Materials, which produces aggregates, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete. Granite's vertically integrated model — whereby its own materials supply feeds its construction projects — is a cornerstone of its strategy to capture margin across the value chain.
Fiscal year 2025 proved to be another record year for GVA. Revenue climbed 10% to $4.4 billion, while adjusted EBITDA increased 31% to $527 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) reached $6.07, up 26% from the prior year. Granite's Committed and Awarded Projects (CAP) — a key forward-looking metric representing future revenue from executed contracts — reached an all-time high of $7.0 billion, a 32% increase year-over-year. This backlog provides strong visibility into 2026 and beyond. The Materials segment was a standout performer, with cash gross profit surging 60% for the full year, driven by higher aggregates and asphalt pricing and volumes.
Granite has been active on the acquisition front, completing several strategic deals in recent quarters — including Warren Paving, Papich Construction, and Cinderlite — that strengthened its footprint in the Southeast, California, and Nevada. The company provided 2026 guidance for revenue of $4.9 billion to $5.1 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12.0% to 13.0%, reflecting expectations for continued organic growth from its record CAP and a full-year contribution from acquired businesses. Analysts have taken note: Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Neutral rating in late 2025, while DA Davidson has maintained a Buy recommendation.
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While both ACA and GVA are beneficiaries of U.S. infrastructure spending, their business models present a study in contrasts. Arcosa is primarily a manufacturing and products company, generating a 20.2% adjusted EBITDA margin in 2025 — substantially higher than Granite's approximately 12% margin. This reflects the different economics of manufacturing standardized products (aggregates, utility poles, wind towers) versus executing complex, multi-year construction contracts with inherently narrower margins.
On the other hand, Granite's $7.0 billion CAP provides a level of revenue visibility that is not directly available in Arcosa's business. Granite's backlog represents roughly 1.5 years of forward revenue at current run rates, offering a cushion against macroeconomic uncertainty. Arcosa's backlog is concentrated in its engineered structures segment — $435 million in utility structures and $628 million in wind towers at year-end 2025 — which, while at record levels, represents a smaller proportion of total revenue compared to Granite's CAP.
Risk profiles also differ materially. Arcosa's wind tower business is subject to project-based demand cycles and is expected to experience a volume decline in 2026 before recovering in 2027. The barge divestiture, while strategically sound, introduces transition risk. Granite's primary risk lies in project execution — large fixed-price contracts can be vulnerable to cost overruns, labor shortages, or weather disruptions. Granite's higher SG&A (selling, general, and administrative) expense ratio, partly driven by significant stock-based compensation, also weighs on operating leverage compared to Arcosa.
From a market sentiment perspective, both stocks have attracted institutional attention. Granite's lower put/call ratio of 0.23 indicates bullish options market sentiment, while Arcosa's consistent upward revisions to guidance throughout 2025 reinforced confidence in its transformation narrative. The key trade-off for investors is between Arcosa's higher and expanding margins paired with portfolio simplification, and Granite's massive project pipeline and broader revenue base, albeit at structurally lower profitability.
Based on observable trends in margin trajectory, strategic clarity, and relative financial efficiency, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely tilt in favor of ACA in the current environment. Arcosa's expanding adjusted EBITDA margin — which reached 20.2% in 2025 — combined with its ongoing portfolio optimization through the barge divestiture, suggests a company successfully pivoting toward higher-quality, higher-return businesses. The speed with which the company achieved its leverage target and the strong integration of Stavola are positive signals of management execution. Granite's record CAP and robust acquisition pipeline are compelling, but its lower margin profile and higher construction-execution risk introduce greater variability. That said, neither stock is without challenges. A probabilistic AI assessment would likely recognize Arcosa's steadier margin expansion and more focused business mix as aligning with conditions that favor consistency and capital efficiency, while acknowledging that Granite's backlog-driven growth story could outperform if infrastructure spending accelerates beyond current expectations.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ACA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGVA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
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If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ACA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GVA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
ACA (@Engineering & Construction) experienced а +0.14% price change this week, while GVA (@Engineering & Construction) price change was -2.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was -4.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.76%.
ACA is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
GVA is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
| ACA | GVA | ACA / GVA | |
| Capitalization | 7.09B | 5.29B | 134% |
| EBITDA | 581M | 189M | 307% |
| Gain YTD | 36.737 | 5.075 | 724% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.48 | 32.12 | 101% |
| Revenue | 2.91B | 4.97B | 59% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.05B | - |
| Total Debt | 1.52B | 1.73B | 88% |
ACA | GVA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GVA's Valuation (45) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as ACA (73) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that GVA’s stock grew similarly to ACA’s over the last 12 months.
ACA's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GVA (26) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ACA’s stock grew similarly to GVA’s over the last 12 months.
ACA's SMR Rating (76) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GVA (97) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ACA’s stock grew similarly to GVA’s over the last 12 months.
ACA's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as GVA (61) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ACA’s stock grew similarly to GVA’s over the last 12 months.
GVA's P/E Growth Rating (67) in the Engineering And Construction industry is in the same range as ACA (90) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that GVA’s stock grew similarly to ACA’s over the last 12 months.
| ACA | GVA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 63% | 12 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 66% |