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ADC vs FCPT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) vs. Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ADC and FCPT, retail-focused real estate investment trusts (REITs), have delivered comparable year-to-date gains of approximately 12%, underscoring sector resilience.
- FCPT offers a higher dividend yield at 5.77% compared to ADC's 4.03%, appealing to income-oriented investors.
- ADC trades at a premium trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 44.95 versus FCPT's 23.31, reflecting stronger growth expectations.
- ADC maintains lower debt-to-equity at 52.95% compared to FCPT's 98.05%, suggesting relatively lower financial risk.
- Recent momentum favors ADC with an 8.8% total return over the past month amid positive analyst updates.
- FCPT bolstered its acquisition capacity with a $200 million delayed-draw loan, enhancing growth prospects.
Introduction
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) and Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) represent prominent players in the net lease REIT segment, focusing on retail properties with long-term leases to creditworthy tenants. This comparison is particularly relevant for income-focused investors and traders seeking stable dividends amid fluctuating interest rates and retail sector dynamics. Both stocks have shown resilience in recent market activity, with similar year-to-date performance, yet differ in scale, yield profiles, and growth trajectories. Traders may find value in evaluating their relative momentum, valuation metrics, and sector exposures to inform positioning in a recovering real estate environment.
ADC Overview and Recent Performance
Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) is a fully integrated, self-administered REIT specializing in single-tenant net lease retail properties across all 50 states, with a portfolio of 2,674 properties totaling 55.5 million square feet as of late 2025. Its business model emphasizes acquisitions and developments anchored by investment-grade retailers, delivering predictable cash flows. In recent weeks, ADC shares have exhibited upward momentum, posting an 8.8% total return over the past month and 14.1% over three months, driven by a Q4 adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) beat of $1.11 per share against consensus estimates and a Truist price target increase to $82. Positive sentiment stems from robust quarterly revenue growth of 18.5% year-over-year and ongoing portfolio expansion, despite elevated P/E ratios signaling growth pricing.
FCPT Overview and Recent Performance
Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) operates as a net lease REIT primarily focused on restaurant properties leased to operator tenants like Darden Restaurants, emphasizing sale-leaseback transactions for stable rental income. The portfolio supports high occupancy through long-term leases. Recent market activity has seen mixed performance for FCPT, with year-to-date gains near 12%, bolstered by a $200 million delayed-draw term loan to fund acquisitions and extend debt maturities at low rates. Analyst price targets around $28 suggest undervaluation relative to recent trading levels, though a downgrade to outperform by Raymond James tempered some enthusiasm. Influences include steady quarterly revenue growth of 6.9% and a compelling dividend yield, offset by higher leverage concerns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ADC and FCPT share net lease REIT structures but diverge in portfolio focus: ADC offers broader retail diversification versus FCPT's restaurant concentration, exposing the latter to food service cyclicality. Growth drivers include ADC's superior quarterly revenue (18.5%) and EPS growth (23.9%) compared to FCPT's 6.9% and 5.6%, respectively. Recent momentum tilts toward ADC with stronger short-term returns, while FCPT counters with higher yield and ROE (7.30% vs. 3.48%). Risk factors highlight FCPT's elevated debt-to-equity, potentially amplifying interest rate sensitivity against ADC's conservative balance sheet. Market sentiment remains constructive for both amid retail recovery, though ADC's scale ($9.6B market cap vs. $2.8B) provides relative stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward ADC due to its consistent recent momentum, lower leverage, superior growth metrics, and positive analyst revisions amid stable retail trends. While FCPT offers attractive yield and acquisition catalysts, ADC's risk-adjusted positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term, barring shifts in rate expectations or sector sentiment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADC is a StrongBuy and FCPT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileFCPT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FCPT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FCPT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- FCPT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADC (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +3.30% price change this week, while FCPT (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was +2.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +3.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADC is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
FCPT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+3.49% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| ADC | FCPT | ADC / FCPT | |
| Capitalization | 9.11B | 2.77B | 328% |
| EBITDA | 650M | 231M | 281% |
| Gain YTD | 7.137 | 11.290 | 63% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.99 | 22.77 | 180% |
| Revenue | 750M | 301M | 249% |
| Total Cash | 25.1M | 29.6M | 85% |
| Total Debt | 3.76B | 1.21B | 310% |
ADC | FCPT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 65 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FCPT's Valuation (80) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (83). This means that FCPT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's Profit vs Risk Rating (48) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FCPT (61). This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to FCPT’s over the last 12 months.
FCPT's SMR Rating (80) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (89). This means that FCPT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
FCPT's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ADC (53). This means that FCPT’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's P/E Growth Rating (55) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as FCPT (65). This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to FCPT’s over the last 12 months.
| ADC | FCPT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 32% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 34% | 10 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 51% |
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FCPT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FCPT has been closely correlated with GLPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FCPT jumps, then GLPI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FCPT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCPT | 100% | +1.77% | ||
| GLPI - FCPT | 68% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| EPRT - FCPT | 68% Closely correlated | +1.75% | ||
| NNN - FCPT | 67% Closely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| EPR - FCPT | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| EQR - FCPT | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.04% | ||
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