Advertisement
ADI vs MCHP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Microchip Technology (MCHP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Analog Devices (ADI) reported record fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year-over-year, driven by industrial and data center demand.
- Microchip Technology (MCHP) has seen data center solutions revenue growth, with guidance toward $1 billion for the fiscal year amid broader semiconductor recovery.
- ADI completed or announced acquisitions including Alif Semiconductor to expand AI-native processing capabilities, while maintaining higher gross margins near 73-74%.
- MCHP offers a higher dividend yield of approximately 2.5% compared to ADI’s roughly 1.2%, providing income appeal in a cyclical sector.
- Market capitalization differs significantly, with ADI at approximately $175-180 billion versus MCHP at $38-40 billion, reflecting scale and valuation contrasts.
- Recent performance shows ADI with stronger year-to-date gains relative to MCHP, though both stocks operate in the analog and mixed-signal semiconductor space with shared industrial and automotive exposure.
Introduction
Analog Devices (ADI) and Microchip Technology (MCHP) represent two established players in the semiconductor industry, specializing in analog, mixed-signal, and embedded processing solutions. This comparison examines their business models, recent financial results, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating relative performance within the broader technology sector. Portfolio managers, sector analysts, and active traders monitoring semiconductor cycles may find the analysis relevant when assessing allocation decisions between large-cap stability and mid-cap growth potential in analog chips.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices (ADI) designs and manufactures analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits serving industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets. In recent market activity, the company delivered record fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of $4.02 billion, exceeding guidance and reflecting 40% year-over-year growth led by industrial and data center segments. Industrial revenue reached nearly $1.97 billion, supported by aerospace, defense, and automation demand. Sentiment has been influenced by strong execution, margin expansion to approximately 50% operating margin, and the announced acquisition of Alif Semiconductor to enhance AI capabilities in edge processing. Stock behavior has shown resilience amid broader sector volatility, with year-to-date gains outperforming many peers.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) provides microcontroller, mixed-signal, analog, and FPGA solutions primarily for automotive, industrial, data center, and consumer applications. Recent market activity highlights growth in data center revenue, with the company guiding toward $1 billion in annual solutions revenue amid inventory normalization and sequential sales improvement. Performance has been shaped by cyclical recovery in end markets and product expansions such as connectivity solutions for software-defined vehicles. The stock has exhibited more modest year-to-date appreciation compared with larger peers, reflecting its smaller scale and higher sensitivity to macroeconomic factors, while maintaining a focus on long-lifecycle products and free cash flow generation.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI-powered trading bots from hundreds available across thousands of tickers. Only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with prevailing market conditions earn placement in this section. Bots vary widely in trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and ticker coverage, allowing users to explore options suited to different risk tolerances and objectives. Factual ranges include diverse win rates, drawdown profiles, and return statistics that reflect real-time adaptability. Review the full selection on the Trending AI Robots page for detailed bot profiles and live performance data.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Analog Devices (ADI) and Microchip Technology (MCHP) both compete in analog and mixed-signal semiconductors but differ in scale and emphasis. ADI maintains a larger market capitalization and broader exposure to high-growth areas such as AI data center infrastructure and defense, supporting higher gross margins and revenue scale. MCHP emphasizes microcontrollers and connectivity with notable data center momentum and a higher dividend yield, appealing to income-oriented investors. Recent momentum favors ADI due to record quarterly results and acquisition-driven AI expansion, while MCHP shows steady recovery with lower valuation multiples. Risk factors include ADI’s larger size potentially limiting agility versus MCHP’s higher beta and debt levels. Sector exposure overlaps in industrial and automotive, yet ADI’s positioning in power management and optical components for AI infrastructure provides distinct tailwinds relative to MCHP’s microcontroller focus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in revenue growth, stability of margins, and catalysts from AI-related demand, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Analog Devices (ADI) over Microchip Technology (MCHP). ADI’s recent record results, data center acceleration, and strategic acquisitions align with sustained positioning in high-value segments, though outcomes remain subject to market conditions and execution variability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADI is a Hold and MCHP is a Hold.
ADI in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ADI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADI as a result. In 70 of 104 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADI just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
ADI moved above its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADI advanced for three days, in 203 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 138 of 233 cases where ADI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADI moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 66 cases where ADI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
ADI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.711) is normal, around the industry mean (7.975). P/E Ratio (46.963) is within average values for comparable stocks, (165.532). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.591) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.804) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
MCHP in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MCHP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +3.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHP advanced for three days, in 194 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCHP as a result. In 84 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MCHP turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
MCHP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
MCHP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MCHP entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MCHP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.562) is normal, around the industry mean (7.975). P/E Ratio (114.662) is within average values for comparable stocks, (165.532). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.233) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). MCHP has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.023) as compared to the industry average of (0.007). P/S Ratio (7.446) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MCHP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ADI | MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 97 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADI's Valuation (57) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (72). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (97). This means that ADI’s stock grew significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's SMR Rating (64) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (82). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (54). This means that ADI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's P/E Growth Rating (70) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (99). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | MCHP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 88% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 10 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 7 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while MCHP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCHP’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -1.39% price change this week, while MCHP (@Semiconductors) price change was -8.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -11.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-11.25% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Advertisement
ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with TXN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then TXN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | +2.08% | ||
| TXN - ADI | 82% Closely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 81% Closely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| MCHPP - ADI | 81% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | -2.73% | ||
| KLAC - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | -3.22% | ||
More | ||||
MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | +0.45% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 98% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 79% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 77% Closely correlated | +0.91% | ||
More | ||||