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ADI vs MCHP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Microchip Technology (MCHP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Analog Devices (ADI) reported record fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year-over-year, driven by industrial and data center demand.
- Microchip Technology (MCHP) has seen data center solutions revenue growth, with guidance toward $1 billion for the fiscal year amid broader semiconductor recovery.
- ADI completed or announced acquisitions including Alif Semiconductor to expand AI-native processing capabilities, while maintaining higher gross margins near 73-74%.
- MCHP offers a higher dividend yield of approximately 2.5% compared to ADI’s roughly 1.2%, providing income appeal in a cyclical sector.
- Market capitalization differs significantly, with ADI at approximately $175-180 billion versus MCHP at $38-40 billion, reflecting scale and valuation contrasts.
- Recent performance shows ADI with stronger year-to-date gains relative to MCHP, though both stocks operate in the analog and mixed-signal semiconductor space with shared industrial and automotive exposure.
Introduction
Analog Devices (ADI) and Microchip Technology (MCHP) represent two established players in the semiconductor industry, specializing in analog, mixed-signal, and embedded processing solutions. This comparison examines their business models, recent financial results, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating relative performance within the broader technology sector. Portfolio managers, sector analysts, and active traders monitoring semiconductor cycles may find the analysis relevant when assessing allocation decisions between large-cap stability and mid-cap growth potential in analog chips.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices (ADI) designs and manufactures analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits serving industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets. In recent market activity, the company delivered record fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of $4.02 billion, exceeding guidance and reflecting 40% year-over-year growth led by industrial and data center segments. Industrial revenue reached nearly $1.97 billion, supported by aerospace, defense, and automation demand. Sentiment has been influenced by strong execution, margin expansion to approximately 50% operating margin, and the announced acquisition of Alif Semiconductor to enhance AI capabilities in edge processing. Stock behavior has shown resilience amid broader sector volatility, with year-to-date gains outperforming many peers.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) provides microcontroller, mixed-signal, analog, and FPGA solutions primarily for automotive, industrial, data center, and consumer applications. Recent market activity highlights growth in data center revenue, with the company guiding toward $1 billion in annual solutions revenue amid inventory normalization and sequential sales improvement. Performance has been shaped by cyclical recovery in end markets and product expansions such as connectivity solutions for software-defined vehicles. The stock has exhibited more modest year-to-date appreciation compared with larger peers, reflecting its smaller scale and higher sensitivity to macroeconomic factors, while maintaining a focus on long-lifecycle products and free cash flow generation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Analog Devices (ADI) and Microchip Technology (MCHP) both compete in analog and mixed-signal semiconductors but differ in scale and emphasis. ADI maintains a larger market capitalization and broader exposure to high-growth areas such as AI data center infrastructure and defense, supporting higher gross margins and revenue scale. MCHP emphasizes microcontrollers and connectivity with notable data center momentum and a higher dividend yield, appealing to income-oriented investors. Recent momentum favors ADI due to record quarterly results and acquisition-driven AI expansion, while MCHP shows steady recovery with lower valuation multiples. Risk factors include ADI’s larger size potentially limiting agility versus MCHP’s higher beta and debt levels. Sector exposure overlaps in industrial and automotive, yet ADI’s positioning in power management and optical components for AI infrastructure provides distinct tailwinds relative to MCHP’s microcontroller focus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in revenue growth, stability of margins, and catalysts from AI-related demand, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Analog Devices (ADI) over Microchip Technology (MCHP). ADI’s recent record results, data center acceleration, and strategic acquisitions align with sustained positioning in high-value segments, though outcomes remain subject to market conditions and execution variability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADI is a Buy and MCHP is a Buy.
ADI | MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 88 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADI's Valuation (56) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (70). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (88). This means that ADI’s stock grew significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's SMR Rating (64) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (82). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (54). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's P/E Growth Rating (78) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (99). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | MCHP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 14 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 79% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MCHP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCHP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.03% price change this week, while MCHP (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +61.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.41% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with TXN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then TXN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | +1.92% | ||
| TXN - ADI | 82% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| MCHPP - ADI | 81% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 81% Closely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +2.87% | ||
| KLAC - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +2.36% | ||
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | +1.39% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 98% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 79% Closely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 77% Closely correlated | +2.62% | ||
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