Analysis and predictions AER vs UPBD
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AER is a Hold and UPBD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AER’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUPBD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AER’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UPBD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AER’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UPBD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AER’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UPBD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AER (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) experienced а +1.72% price change this week, while UPBD (@Packaged Software) price change was +4.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +1.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +169.64%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +2.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
AER is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2024.
UPBD is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+1.82% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Packaged Software (+2.16% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| AER | UPBD | AER / UPBD | |
| Capitalization | 17.6B | 1.92B | 919% |
| EBITDA | 4.55B | 1.46B | 312% |
| Gain YTD | 14.612 | -6.035 | -242% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.22 | 210.50 | 3% |
| Revenue | 7.58B | 3.99B | 190% |
| Total Cash | 1.63B | 93.7M | 1,736% |
| Total Debt | 46.6B | 1.6B | 2,913% |
AER | UPBD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 95 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPBD's Valuation (10) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is significantly better than the same rating for AER (76). This means that UPBD’s stock grew significantly faster than AER’s over the last 12 months.
AER's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as UPBD (68). This means that AER’s stock grew similarly to UPBD’s over the last 12 months.
AER's SMR Rating (49) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UPBD (90). This means that AER’s stock grew somewhat faster than UPBD’s over the last 12 months.
AER's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as UPBD (52). This means that AER’s stock grew similarly to UPBD’s over the last 12 months.
UPBD's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AER (79). This means that UPBD’s stock grew somewhat faster than AER’s over the last 12 months.
| AER | UPBD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 63% | 9 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 68% |
AER and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AER has been closely correlated with AL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AER jumps, then AL could also see price increases.
UPBD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UPBD has been closely correlated with PRG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UPBD jumps, then PRG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UPBD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPBD | 100% | +0.38% | ||
| PRG - UPBD | 67% Closely correlated | -2.08% | ||
| AAN - UPBD | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.48% | ||
| ALLY - UPBD | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.56% | ||
| OMF - UPBD | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.54% | ||
| SYF - UPBD | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.80% | ||
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