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ALK vs DAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alaska Air Group (ALK) vs. Delta Air Lines (DAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DAL has significantly outperformed ALK over the past year, with returns around 76% compared to ALK's roughly -3%.
- DAL shows stronger profitability, boasting a return on equity (ROE, a measure of how effectively a company uses shareholders' equity to generate profits) of nearly 25% versus ALK's under 2%.
- Recent quarterly results for ALK included revenue growth but an earnings per share (EPS, net profit allocated to each share) loss, contributing to stock volatility.
- DAL benefits from robust premium products and loyalty programs, supporting steady performance amid fuel cost pressures.
- Analyst consensus leans toward DAL with higher average price targets relative to current levels.
- Both stocks remain sensitive to oil prices and travel demand in recent market activity.
Introduction
Alaska Air Group (ALK) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) represent key players in the U.S. airline sector, offering investors exposure to domestic and international travel trends. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders monitoring relative performance amid fluctuating fuel costs, capacity adjustments, and shifting passenger demand in recent months. Sector-focused investors and those evaluating airline stocks for portfolio diversification can use these insights to assess market positioning, financial health, and momentum in the current environment.
ALK Overview and Recent Performance
Alaska Air Group (ALK) operates Alaska Airlines and regional carriers, with a strong West Coast presence and ongoing integration of Hawaiian Airlines. In recent quarters, the company reported quarterly revenue of $3.3 billion, up 5.2% year-over-year, but posted an adjusted EPS loss of $1.68 due to higher costs and integration expenses. Stock performance has been volatile, with a year-to-date decline of about 13% but a rebound of over 20% in the past month amid easing oil prices and positive sector sentiment. Key influences include fuel price fluctuations, Hawaiian merger progress, and broader airline capacity dynamics, contributing to mixed investor sentiment.
DAL Overview and Recent Performance
Delta Air Lines (DAL), one of the largest global carriers, emphasizes premium cabins, international routes, and a leading loyalty program. Recent quarterly revenue reached $15.85 billion with positive earnings, driven by strong demand and premium revenue streams despite fuel challenges. The stock has shown resilience, up modestly year-to-date and over 70% in the past year, with recent gains following guidance updates and route optimizations. Sentiment has been bolstered by operational efficiency, loyalty program strength, and analyst upgrades amid industry headwinds like fuel costs.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ALK and DAL operate in the cyclical airline industry, exposed to fuel volatility, labor costs, and travel demand, but differ in scale and strategy. DAL’s larger market cap ($47B vs. $5B) supports broader international exposure and premium revenue focus, while ALK emphasizes regional efficiency and West Coast dominance post-Hawaiian merger. Growth drivers favor DAL via loyalty programs, contrasting ALK’s integration risks. Recent momentum tilts to DAL with superior P/E (10.4 vs. 52.5) and margins (6.9% vs. 0.5%). Risk factors include high debt/equity ratios (ALK 179% vs. DAL 105%), but DAL exhibits greater stability. Market sentiment aligns with analysts’ higher conviction for DAL.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor DAL in the current environment, based on consistent upward trends, superior profitability metrics like ROE and margins, positive analyst revisions, and stronger relative positioning amid fuel and demand uncertainties. ALK shows recovery potential but trails in stability and growth catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a StrongBuy and DAL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDAL’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DAL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DAL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DAL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а -8.92% price change this week, while DAL (@Airlines) price change was -3.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -6.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
DAL is expected to report earnings on Jul 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-6.82% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| ALK | DAL | ALK / DAL | |
| Capitalization | 4.89B | 51.8B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 6.3B | 18% |
| Gain YTD | -16.759 | 14.125 | -119% |
| P/E Ratio | 85.45 | 11.50 | 743% |
| Revenue | 14.4B | 65.2B | 22% |
| Total Cash | 1.77B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 6.67B | 20.3B | 33% |
ALK | DAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 17 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DAL's Valuation (28) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (78). This means that DAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
DAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (100). This means that DAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
DAL's SMR Rating (39) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (90). This means that DAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
DAL's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (54). This means that DAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as DAL (26). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to DAL’s over the last 12 months.
| ALK | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 75% | 8 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| EAOM | 31.39 | N/A | N/A |
| iShares ESG Aware 40/60 Mod Allc ETF | |||
| JULB | 27.23 | -0.02 | -0.07% |
| Aptus July Buffer ETF | |||
| KJUL | 33.77 | -0.03 | -0.10% |
| Innovator Russell 2000 Pwr Bffr ETF™ Jul | |||
| DFUV | 54.29 | -0.06 | -0.11% |
| Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF | |||
| EES | 63.64 | -0.99 | -1.53% |
| WisdomTree US SmallCap Earnings ETF | |||
ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with SKYW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then SKYW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | -4.65% | ||
| SKYW - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| AAL - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | -2.58% | ||
| ALGT - ALK | 68% Closely correlated | -5.33% | ||
| SNCY - ALK | 65% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| JBLU - ALK | 59% Loosely correlated | -3.25% | ||
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DAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DAL has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DAL jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 100% | -1.55% | ||
| AAL - DAL | 83% Closely correlated | -2.58% | ||
| ALK - DAL | 76% Closely correlated | -4.65% | ||
| UAL - DAL | 73% Closely correlated | -3.38% | ||
| SNCY - DAL | 67% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| JBLU - DAL | 64% Loosely correlated | -3.25% | ||
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