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ALL vs THG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Allstate Corporation (ALL) vs. The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALL commands a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $55 billion compared to THG's $6.25 billion, reflecting greater scale in the property and casualty insurance sector.
- ALL trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.61 versus THG's 9.79, indicating potentially richer valuation on earnings.
- Year-to-date (YTD) performance shows ALL up 3.10% and THG at 2.33%, with ALL demonstrating stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks offer comparable dividend yields around 2%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Analysts anticipate robust earnings per share (EPS) growth for both ahead of Q1 reports, driven by improved underwriting and investment income.
- Over the past year, ALL has edged out THG with 12.86% returns versus 10.61%.
Introduction
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) and The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) are prominent players in the property and casualty insurance sector, offering exposure to personal and commercial lines amid evolving market dynamics like catastrophe risks and interest rate shifts. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, valuations, and positioning, aiding traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term stability. With both firms approaching quarterly earnings amid favorable sector tailwinds, understanding relative strengths in scale, profitability, and sentiment can inform portfolio decisions in today's competitive insurance landscape.
ALL Overview and Recent Performance
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is a leading U.S. insurer focused on personal lines such as auto and homeowners insurance, alongside protection services. In recent weeks, ALL shares have shown resilience, trading around $214 within a 52-week range of $188 to $219. Performance has benefited from strong net investment income and underwriting improvements, contributing to a trailing twelve-month (TTM) EPS of $38.06 and revenue of $67.68 billion. Market sentiment has lifted following positive analyst updates and anticipation of Q1 results, with the stock outperforming the sector in recent market activity, including gains exceeding 3% over the prior month. Factors like elevated return on equity (39.52%) have bolstered investor confidence.
THG Overview and Recent Performance
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) provides commercial, personal, and specialty insurance products, with a focus on middle-market businesses and regional personal lines. Shares recently closed near $178, within a 52-week range of $161 to $188. Recent performance reflects mixed momentum, with YTD gains of 2.33% amid steady revenue of $6.59 billion TTM and EPS of $18.13. Analyst price target raises signal optimism ahead of Q1 earnings, supported by operating income growth, though shares have faced some pullbacks in volatile sessions. Sentiment is influenced by solid return on equity (20.60%) and dividend consistency, navigating sector challenges like claims pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALL and THG operate in property and casualty insurance but differ in scale and focus: ALL emphasizes national personal auto/home policies, while THG targets commercial middle-market and regional personal lines. Growth drivers for ALL include expansive protection services and robust investment income, contrasting THG's strength in specialty commercial underwriting. Recent momentum favors ALL with superior YTD and one-year returns, though both face similar risks from catastrophe losses and rate fluctuations. ALL's lower P/E and higher profit margins (15.19% vs. 10.05%) highlight valuation edges, while THG offers niche exposure with slightly higher beta (0.30 vs. 0.22). Sector tailwinds like rising rates support net investment income for both, but ALL's scale provides greater stability amid sentiment shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward ALL based on consistent upward trends, attractive valuation metrics like a sub-6 P/E ratio, and stronger relative performance in recent market activity. THG remains compelling for commercial insurance exposure, but ALL's scale, profitability, and momentum position it more favorably amid approaching earnings catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALL is a Buy and THG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALL’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileTHG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALL’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- THG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while THG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- THG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ALL (@Property/Casualty Insurance) experienced а +0.28% price change this week, while THG (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was +2.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALL is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
THG is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Property/Casualty Insurance (+2.22% weekly)Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.
| ALL | THG | ALL / THG | |
| Capitalization | 57.1B | 6.92B | 826% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 7.579 | 9.263 | 82% |
| P/E Ratio | 4.90 | 9.97 | 49% |
| Revenue | 67.6B | 6.66B | 1,015% |
| Total Cash | 5.4B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 7.49B | 844M | 888% |
ALL | THG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 32 Undervalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALL's Valuation (32) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (34). This means that ALL’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
ALL's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (29). This means that ALL’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
ALL's SMR Rating (25) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (45). This means that ALL’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
ALL's Price Growth Rating (32) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as THG (47). This means that ALL’s stock grew similarly to THG’s over the last 12 months.
THG's P/E Growth Rating (81) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as ALL (97). This means that THG’s stock grew similarly to ALL’s over the last 12 months.
| ALL | THG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 49% | 14 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 54% |
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ALL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALL has been closely correlated with HIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALL jumps, then HIG could also see price increases.
THG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, THG has been closely correlated with HIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if THG jumps, then HIG could also see price increases.