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AMAT vs AMD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMAT is a semiconductor equipment leader posting resilient results, though near-term revenue is pressured by U.S. export restrictions to China.
- AMD is delivering record revenue and aggressive AI growth targets, but its shares have shown sharp volatility, including their steepest monthly decline in years.
- The two companies occupy different layers of the chip ecosystem: AMAT sells the tools used to make chips, while AMD designs and sells the processors themselves.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: AMAT — its steadier uptrend, multiple analyst upgrades, and more consistent relative positioning currently appear more favorable than AMD's higher-growth but higher-volatility profile.
- For deeper context on each name, visit AMAT Major News and AMAT Today's Price Move, as well as AMD Major News and AMD Today's Price Move.
- To see how AI-driven strategies are positioning across this sector, explore the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Semiconductors power everything from personal computers to the data centers driving artificial intelligence, yet not all chip stocks are created equal. AMAT (Applied Materials) supplies the manufacturing equipment that fabricates chips, while AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) designs high-performance processors and AI accelerators. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing a "picks-and-shovels" equipment play against a direct AI-computing beneficiary. Both names have enjoyed strong 2025 gains, but their risk profiles, growth drivers, and recent momentum differ meaningfully. Understanding these contrasts can help traders and investors assess relative performance and market positioning in today's evolving semiconductor landscape.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials is one of the world's largest suppliers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, providing the deposition, etch, and other tools used to build integrated circuits for customers such as TSMC, Samsung, and Intel. Because chipmakers order equipment well in advance, AMAT's results are widely viewed as a barometer of future chip demand.
In its most recent fiscal quarter, Applied Materials posted revenue of $6.8 billion, down about 3% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS, a measure of profit per outstanding share) of $2.17 that narrowly beat analyst expectations. However, management's commentary about softer China sales — driven by tightening U.S. export controls — pressured sentiment, and the company has said restrictions could reduce fiscal 2026 revenue by roughly $600 million. Management also indicated it is preparing operations for stronger demand beginning in the second half of calendar 2026, and noted its AI-related business could grow at a roughly 40% pace. In recent weeks, AMAT shares rebounded toward a 16-month high, supported by a broker upgrade to "buy" citing a more bullish outlook for wafer fab equipment (WFE), the machinery used to process silicon wafers into chips. The 50-day moving average has acted as technical support, reflecting a relatively steady uptrend.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices designs central processing units (CPUs, the general-purpose "brains" of computers), graphics processing units (GPUs, processors optimized for parallel workloads like AI), and related accelerators. It competes directly with Nvidia in data-center AI chips and with Intel in PCs and servers.
AMD delivered record third-quarter revenue of $9.25 billion, up roughly 36% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.20 that exceeded consensus. Its data-center segment grew 22% to about $4.3 billion, while client and gaming revenue surged 73%. Management guided fourth-quarter revenue to around $9.6 billion, implying roughly 25% year-over-year growth. Strategic catalysts have also multiplied: a multi-year supply agreement with OpenAI covering up to 6 gigawatts of Instinct GPUs, a separate Oracle deployment of 50,000 GPUs, and CEO Lisa Su's projection of more than 35% compound annual revenue growth over the next three to five years. Despite these strengths, AMD shares fell after earnings as investors took profits, and the stock endured its worst month since 2022 as concerns over AI-chip demand and stretched valuations weighed on sentiment. A subsequent rally on news that a large language model was trained entirely on AMD hardware helped stabilize the recent decline.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMAT and AMD sit at different points in the semiconductor value chain, which shapes their growth drivers and risk profiles. AMAT is a capital-equipment supplier whose revenue depends on fab construction and capacity expansion across the industry; it benefits broadly from AI-driven demand but also carries exposure to China export policy and cyclical equipment spending. AMD is a chip designer whose fortunes are more directly tied to winning AI data-center share against Nvidia and to the pace of cloud and enterprise computing investment.
On momentum, AMD has delivered faster top-line growth and more headline-grabbing catalysts, including the OpenAI and Oracle partnerships. Yet its shares have been far more volatile, with sharp post-earnings selloffs and a notable monthly drawdown. AMAT's growth is slower and its near-term China headwinds are real, but its price action has been comparatively steadier, recently reaching a multi-month high amid analyst upgrades and a more constructive WFE outlook. In sector-exposure terms, both are semiconductor plays, but AMAT offers indirect, diversified leverage to the entire chip-building cycle, whereas AMD offers concentrated exposure to the competitive AI accelerator market. The trade-off is essentially stability and consistency versus higher growth potential and higher risk.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward AMAT. While AMD's growth narrative is compelling and its revenue trajectory is stronger, its recent volatility — including its steepest monthly decline in years — introduces less predictable price behavior. AMAT, by contrast, has maintained a more consistent uptrend, found technical support at its 50-day moving average, and attracted a notable analyst upgrade alongside rising price targets tied to an improving equipment outlook. These characteristics suggest a comparatively smoother and more stable trend, which aligns with the probabilistic, trend-following logic behind many AI-driven strategies. The preference is not a prediction of future returns but a reflection of relative stability and momentum in the current market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a Hold and AMD is a StrongBuy.
AMAT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 34 cases where AMAT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in 253 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In 61 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMAT entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.304) is normal, around the industry mean (5.644). P/E Ratio (28.486) is within average values for comparable stocks, (67.996). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.764) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
AMD in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
AMD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 35 cases where AMD's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMD advanced for three days, in 240 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMD as a result. In 61 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMD turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
AMD moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMD entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.905) is normal, around the industry mean (5.436). P/E Ratio (113.681) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.192). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.619) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (20.450) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
AMAT | AMD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMAT's Valuation (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMD (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMAT (64) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that AMD’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (70) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (65) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that AMD’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMD (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | AMD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 79% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while AMD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- AMD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AMD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- AMD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -14.71% price change this week, while AMD (@Semiconductors) price change was -11.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -9.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -31.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was -40.59%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -9.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -28.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
AMD is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-9.39% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-9.64% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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