AMBC
Price
$8.04
Change
+$0.02 (+0.25%)
Updated
Aug 15 closing price
Capitalization
373.07M
86 days until earnings call
MTG
Price
$27.51
Change
-$0.35 (-1.26%)
Updated
Aug 15 closing price
Capitalization
6.34B
73 days until earnings call
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AMBC vs MTG

Header iconAMBC vs MTG Comparison
Open Charts AMBC vs MTGBanner chart's image
Ambac Financial Group
Price$8.04
Change+$0.02 (+0.25%)
Volume$891.19K
Capitalization373.07M
MGIC Investment
Price$27.51
Change-$0.35 (-1.26%)
Volume$1.74M
Capitalization6.34B
AMBC vs MTG Comparison Chart in %
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AMBC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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MTG
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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AMBC vs. MTG commentary
Aug 17, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMBC is a Hold and MTG is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Aug 17, 2025
Stock price -- (AMBC: $8.04 vs. MTG: $27.51)
Brand notoriety: AMBC and MTG are both not notable
Both companies represent the Specialty Insurance industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AMBC: 90% vs. MTG: 71%
Market capitalization -- AMBC: $373.07M vs. MTG: $6.34B
AMBC [@Specialty Insurance] is valued at $373.07M. MTG’s [@Specialty Insurance] market capitalization is $6.34B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Specialty Insurance] industry ranges from $16.19B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Specialty Insurance] industry is $3.62B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AMBC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • AMBC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • MTG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, MTG is a better buy in the long-term than AMBC.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AMBC’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AMBC’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
  • MTG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, AMBC is a better buy in the short-term than MTG.

Price Growth

AMBC (@Specialty Insurance) experienced а +15.85% price change this week, while MTG (@Specialty Insurance) price change was +1.25% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Insurance industry was +0.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.20%.

Reported Earning Dates

AMBC is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2025.

MTG is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Specialty Insurance (+0.87% weekly)

Specialty insurance typically caters to niche-markets, and covers items that are special or unique and/or items that are not typically covered under other insurance policies. Restoration or purchase of a one-of-a-kind collector’s item, high-value home, recreational vehicles, sailboat or even jet skis, horses and farms, all-terrain vehicle, funerals, museums and fine art collections are some examples– one or more of which are covered by a specialty insurance provider. In some cases, a specialty insurance could also complement someone’s existing auto, home and umbrella policies. Markel Corp, for Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Assurant, Inc. and Athene Holding Ltd. are examples of specialty insurance providers.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
MTG($6.34B) has a higher market cap than AMBC($373M). MTG has higher P/E ratio than AMBC: MTG (9.02) vs AMBC (7.52). MTG YTD gains are higher at: 17.877 vs. AMBC (-36.443). AMBC has less debt than MTG: AMBC (150M) vs MTG (645M). MTG has higher revenues than AMBC: MTG (1.22B) vs AMBC (249M).
AMBCMTGAMBC / MTG
Capitalization373M6.34B6%
EBITDAN/AN/A-
Gain YTD-36.44317.877-204%
P/E Ratio7.529.0283%
Revenue249M1.22B20%
Total Cash315MN/A-
Total Debt150M645M23%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AMBC vs MTG: Fundamental Ratings
AMBC
MTG
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
8946
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
72
Overvalued
77
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
1003
SMR RATING
1..100
9766
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6147
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
848
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
4450

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AMBC's Valuation (72) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (77). This means that AMBC’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.

MTG's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Specialty Insurance industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMBC (100). This means that MTG’s stock grew significantly faster than AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

MTG's SMR Rating (66) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as AMBC (97). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

MTG's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as AMBC (61). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

AMBC's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Specialty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTG (48). This means that AMBC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTG’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AMBCMTG
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
57%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
49%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
71%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
64%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
65%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
65%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
66%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
64%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 10 days ago
70%
N/A
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
68%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
62%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
57%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
58%
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AMBC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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MTG
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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AMBC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMBC has been loosely correlated with MBI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMBC jumps, then MBI could also see price increases.

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Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AMBC
1D Price
Change %
AMBC100%
+0.25%
MBI - AMBC
39%
Loosely correlated
-0.16%
MTG - AMBC
36%
Loosely correlated
-1.26%
AMSF - AMBC
35%
Loosely correlated
-1.29%
AGO - AMBC
35%
Loosely correlated
-2.47%
AIZ - AMBC
35%
Loosely correlated
-0.20%
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